UFC 250: Nunes vs Spencer Main Card Odds, Props and Predictions

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UFC 250 Nunes vs Spencer Main Card

On Saturday, June 6th, the UFC returns to Las Vegas, Nevada, for its UFC 250 PPV featuring a world title main event as Amanda Nunes defends her featherweight belt against Felicia Spencer.

The co-featured bout of the evening is a Top 10 bantamweight matchup between Raphael Assuncao and Cody Garbrandt. Also on the PPV card is a Top 5 bantamweight bout between Aljamain Sterling and Cory Sandhagen. In total, there are three exciting bantamweight fights on the main card.

The UFC 250 PPV portion of the event features five fights and is set to begin at 10 PM ET. The UFC 250 preliminary card has a total of seven fights and begins at 6 PM ET. UFC betting sites have released odds and prop bets for the entire UFC 250 main card.

Let’s step inside the betting octagon to take a look at these odds, examine the props, identify any betting value, and force the predictions to tap out.

Sean O’Malley vs Eddie Wineland

  • Sean O’Malley (-500)
  • Eddie Wineland (+400)
  • Over (-150)/Under (+130) 1.5 rounds

The exciting Sean O’Malley returns to action against veteran Eddie Wineland in a bantamweight clash that will open up the PPV portion of UFC 250.

Wineland is the second biggest underdog for the entire event as he fights for the first time in a year. Wineland is 1-2 in his last three fights and is 6-7 overall in the UFC dating back to 2011. He was a former bantamweight contender and the first WEC champ for this weight class. 15 of his 24 pro wins have come via TKO/KO.

Sean O’Malley returned to the octagon in March after a two year absence due to a USADA violation. He defeated Jose Quinonez via 1st round TKO and improved his UFC record to 3-0. The unbeaten bantamweight envisions another knockout victory this weekend:

“All my fights I see a first-round knockout. I’ll be too fast for him and anyone that steps in the cage with me. Every fight prediction is a first-round knockout. I just think the way I’m going to go out there and finish him will be pretty spectacular. I’m planning on another viral knockout. That last knockout over Jose was decent. I want a signature Sugar knockout like the ones that go viral and make people jump out of their seat.”

Seven of O’Malley’s 11 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. I believe he will pick up his 8th this weekend (-135). With two strikers going at it, I just don’t see this fight going the full distance (-210). It will be O’Malley handing Wineland the 4th TKO/KO loss of his career.

My biggest issue is with the Over/Under of 1.5 rounds for this fight. Can O’Malley really TKO/KO Wineland in the first round? I’m going to go with the Over 1.5 rounds (-150) for this contest because I believe the first round will be slower before things really pick up.

Sean O’Malley vs Eddie Wineland –O’Malley (-500)

Over 1.5 rounds (-150)

Fight doesn’t go the distance (-210)

O’Malley wins inside the distance (-160)

O’Malley wins via TKO/KO (-135)

Neil Magny vs Anthony Rocco Martin

  • Neil Magny (-135)
  • Anthony Rocco Martin (+115)
  • Over (-220)/Under (+180) 2.5 rounds

This welterweight clash could see the winner of the fight enter the Top 15 rankings for the division.

Anthony Rocco Martin is the slight underdog having last fought in November 2019 and wining via unanimous decision over Ramazan Emeev. Since changing his name from Tony to Anthony Rocco, Martin has gone 3-1 in those fights.

For his career, Martin is 9-5 inside the octagon. 10 of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with nine by way of submission.

Neil Magny returned to action in March after a 16-month hiatus due to a brutal knockout loss to Santiago Ponzibbio in November 2018. He’s 3-1 in his last four fights and has been a solid contender in the welterweight division.

Magny is 15-6 in his UFC career dating back to February 2013.Ten of his 22 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of TKO/KO.

This fight pits two kickboxers who will look to use their preferred range to their advantage. I think this is going to be a competitive fight and I believe it will go Over 2.5 rounds (-220). In fact, I see it going to a decision (-200). It should also compete for the “fight of the night” honors.

13 of Magny’s 29 pro fights have gone the distance. He’s 12-1 in those contests. 10 of Martin’s 22 pro fights have gone the distance and he’s 7-3 in those bouts.

With that in mind, I think Magny will win this fight via decision (+157). I think he’s still the better overall striker especially in the clinch. Martin has never been knocked out before, so it leads me to believe he will last the full three rounds.

Neil Magny vs Anthony Rocco Martin –Magny (-135)

Over 2.5 rounds (-220)

Fight goes the distance (-200)

Magny wins via decision (+157)

Cory Sandhagen vs Aljamain Sterling

  • Cory Sandhagen (+100)
  • Aljamain Sterling (-120)
  • Over (-210)/Under (+175) 2.5 rounds

This is the second of three bantamweight matchups on the main card, but it’s the biggest of the three for the division as it pits the #2 ranked Aljamain Sterling against the #4 ranked Cory Sandhagen. Oddsmakers are having a tough time listing a clear-cut favorite.

Another reason why this fight has big ramifications on the division is because Henry Cejudo vacated the bantamweight title and the winner of this bout could be next in line for a title shot. It’s a carrot that both fighters are chasing after.

Cory Sandhagen feels that if he can go out there and do what he does best then the UFC will have a hard time not giving him a title shot next:

“It’s going to be hard for people and the UFC to watch and be like, “That guy shouldn’t get a title shot.” That’s what I’m hoping for after this fight, is if I go out and do what I know I’m capable of doing, it’s not going to be about me going out and convincing anyone anymore. They’re going to be on board with it after I do my thing on Saturday. I just need to do my thing.”

Sandhagen has a good point here. He’s won seven straight fights and is 4-0 in the UFC. He last competed 10 months ago and beat Raphael Assuncao via unanimous decision. Seven of his 12 wins have come via stoppage with four by way of TKO/KO.

Sterling enters this contest on a four fight win streak, but hasn’t competed in a year. He’s 10-3 in the UFC and 6-1 in his last seven fights. Nine of Sterling’s 18 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of submission. Sterling also feels that this match against Sandhagen is a “title shot or bust”:

“I think it’s title shot or bust, because I think my work speaks for itself. I just have to go out there and put on a good performance against a tough, highly ranked opponent in Sandhagen and go from there. Cory wants this just as bad as I do. He’s not going to quit in there. I’m excited about this opportunity, and it is my sole focus.”

This is going to be a really close fight with two combatants committed to their game plans. I see it going over 2.5 rounds (-210) as the first round will be a feeling out process. The next two rounds will most likely be high level grappling, which is Sterling’s best chance at winning.

I believe this bout will go the distance (-180). Combined, these two men have only been stopped once in 34 total fights. Furthermore, Sandhagen has gone the distance in six of his 13 pro fights with a 5-1 record in those bouts. Sterling has gone the distance in 11 of 21 pro fights with a 9-2 record in those bouts.

The winner of this fight will do so via decision because they’re both just too good to make a big mistake and eat a knockout or give up position for a submission. With that said, I am giving the edge to Sterling in this one.

I believe Sterling is more athletic and is a better grappler than Sandhagen, which is where this fight will end up. Sterling will take the decision victory (+180) and be next in line for a title shot.

Cory Sandhagen vs Aljamain Sterling –Sterling (-120)

Over 2.5 rounds (-210)

Fight goes to a decision (-180)

Sterling wins by decision (+180)

Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao

  • Cody Garbrandt (-140)
  • Raphael Assuncao (+120)
  • Over (-125)/Under (+105) 2.5 rounds

In the third and final bantamweight bout on the main card, the #9 Cody Garbrandt takes on the #5 Raphael Assuncao. In reality, the Sandhagen versus Sterling fight should’ve been the co-main event, but Garbrandt is more popular and more of a PPV draw.

Garbrandt is the betting favorite in this fight despite having lost three straight contests via TKO/KO. In fact, many critics are wondering if Cody has a chin anymore. It will certainly be tested in this fight.

Garbrandt kicked down the doors when he arrived in the UFC in 2015. He won five straight fights and earned a title shot against Dominick Cruz. Cody went in and dominated Cruz to become the bantamweight world champ.

Unfortunately, things fell apart after winning the belt. He would go on to feud former teammate T.J. Dillashaw and lose both times. He returned last March and lost via TKO to Pedro Munhoz despite looking in control of the fight. Nevertheless, Garbrandt feels he’s fixed his errors and is ready to be champ again:

“I’ve battled my demons. I’m here to take the throne again. Whoever that is when my time comes for another title shot, I’ll be ready. I’m going to capitalize on it. I’m going to hold onto this title until it’s time to walk away from this sport.”

The first man in his way is Raphael Assuncao who’s dropped two fights in a row. He’s a veteran of the UFC having transitioned from the WEC in 2011. Assuncao is 11-4 all-time in the octagon. 14 of his 27 pro wins have come via stoppage with 10 by way of submission.

Assuncao commented on his fight against Garbrandt and believes that there’s a blueprint to beating him:

“That’s a blueprint that been shown, but I’m planning three different blueprints. I’m planning for that style and two other styles; that’s what I have in mind right now. I’m not going to rely on ‘I’m going to catch him once, he’s going to get emotional and come back at me reckless;’ I have Plan A, B, and C.”

This fight is all about Garbrandt and his career. A 4th straight loss would put his UFC tenure in hot water as the promotion won’t know what to do with him next. Additionally, it could signal that Garbrandt’s chin is done. On the flip side, he could come out and show the world that he’s back.

I like inspirational stories and I’m going with Garbrandt to come out on Saturday and score the 10th TKO/KO win of his career. For Cody to accomplish this, he will need to finish off Assuncao early. So, I am going with Under 2.5 rounds (+105). That also means this fight won’t be going to a decision (-125).

I think we see a Cody Garbrandt that’s on top of his game and beating Assuncao to the punch. I’m taking Garbrandt to win via 1st round TKO/KO (+170).

Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao –Garbrandt (-140)

Under 2.5 rounds (+105)

Fight won’t go the distance (-125)

Garbrandt wins inside the distance (+195)

Garbrandt wins via TKO/KO (+170)

Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer

  • Amanda Nunes (-600)
  • Felicia Spencer (+450)
  • Over (-200)/Under (+170) 1.5 rounds

The main event of the evening is a women’s featherweight title fight as the great Amanda Nunes defends her title against Felicia Spencer.

It should come as no surprise that Spencer is the largest underdog of the entire event. She is going up against the greatest female MMA fighter of all-time. Additionally, some critics didn’t feel that Spencer earned her spot in this fight. That prompted the challenger to respond to the criticism:

“I’ve earned my spot here. I understand where people come from especially if they’re not following the sport. I understand the division that I’m in is different and unique. All I stress about is what I can control, which is putting on a great performance and making people want to see me fight. That’s what I always try to do.”

I believe Spencer has earned this spot. Honestly, who else is left for Nunes to fight? She’s beaten the best within two divisions. Spencer is just as worthy as anyone else is right now. She’s gone 2-1 in the UFC, but the lone loss was a decision defeat to Cyborg in Justino’s last fight with the UFC.

What can we say about Amanda Nunes that hasn’t already been said? Instead, of rewriting the book on Nunes, I’m just going to focus on her confidence heading into this fight. Nunes believes she’s going to win and doesn’t think that Spencer will be that tough of a challenge:

“She has nothing to lose and she’s going to make me be ready for everything. She doesn’t have that much, to be honest, and I see holes. I see these holes and I know how to take advantage. Just you watch.”

I think Spencer’s biggest strength is her durability, but she’s going up against a striking machine who is at the top of her game. I have a hard time seeing Spencer succeeding in this fight. With that said, I do believe her toughness will help push this fight Over 1.5 rounds (-200).

Yet, I don’t see this fight going the distance (-260). Since joining the UFC nearly seven years ago, only Valentina Shevchenko and Germaine de Randamie have taken Nunes the distance.

More than likely, Nunes will win this fight inside the distance (-230) and via TKO/KO (-120). Currently, Nunes has 13 TKO/KO wins in her career. Saturday will be her 14th TKO victory and then I see her taking a break for a while due to personal reasons.

Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer –Nunes (-600)

Over 1.5 rounds (-200)

Fight doesn’t go the distance (-260)

Nunes wins inside the distance (-230)

Nunes wins via TKO/KO (-120)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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