UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs Hermansson Betting Preview, Odds and Picks

By in Sports & Betting on

On Saturday, April 27th, the UFC will be live from the BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida, for UFC Fight Night 150: Jacare vs Hermansson. Also known as UFC on ESPN 3, the main event of the card features a middleweight battle between Ronaldo Souza and Jack Hermansson. The co-main event features the highly controversial Greg Hardy taking on Dmitry Smoliakov in a heavyweight fight.

Also on the card are notable fighters: Alex Oveira taking on Mike Perry, John Lineker versus Cory Sandhagen, Andrei Arlovski, Carla Esparza, and Jim Miller.

In total, UFC Fight Night 150 is scheduled to have 13 fights. The prelims will begin at 5:30 PM ET and the main card is set to begin at 9 PM ET. All 13 fights will be on one of ESPN’s networks. MMA betting sites have released odds for this event. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine these UFC odds, look for betting value, and to KO our picks. All odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

UFC Fight Night 150 Early Prelims

The first portion of prelim fights is scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM ET and will air live on ESPN2.

Court McGee (19-7) vs Dhiego Lima (13-7)

  • Court McGee (-164)
  • Dhiego Lima (+144)

Court McGee was once a contender in the middleweight division, but ended up going 5-3 and decided to come down to welterweight. Unfortunately, he’s only gone 3-3 as a welterweight and has lost two of his last three fights. One thing to be said about McGee is that he typically goes the full distance. 11 of McGee’s last 12 fights have gone to the scorecards. In total, 9 of his 19 wins have come via decision and 6 of his 7 losses have come via decision.

Dhiego Lima has not had much success over the last few years. Since December 2016, he’s lost 3 of 4 fights. Lima snapped his 3 fight losing streak last December via KO against Chad Laprise. He’s stopped 8 opponents in his 13 wins.

Unfortunately for Lima, I don’t see him stopping McGee in this one. Court is a durable fighter who can win on attrition alone. The big difference is that McGee should be able to take down Lima at-will. And, I believe that will be the reason why McGee wins via UD.

UFC Bet: Court McGee (-164)

Angela Hill (8-6) vs Jodie Esquibel (6-4)

  • Angela Hill (-500)
  • Jodie Esquibel (+385)

In the first of two women’s fights on the card, Angela Hill and Jodie Esquibel will battle it out in the strawweight division.

Angela Hill is the biggest betting favorite on the entire card. However, she has lost two straight fights, three of her last four fights, which took place during the previous 17 months, and 2-4 overall in the UFC since her return 26 months ago. Her first run in the UFC was 2014-15, and she went 1-2 during that span. Hill has seen the scorecards in 9 of her 14 fights and has a record of 5-4 in those bouts.

Esquibel has also lost her last two fights and three of her previous four overall bouts. She debuted inside the octagon October 2017 and has lost both of her UFC fights. Like Hill, Jodie has gone to the scorecards in 8 of her 10 pro fights with a record of 5-3.

Hill is stepping in for Jessica Penne with less than two weeks to prepare for this fight. Furthermore, it’s about 5 weeks since she last fought in the UFC. Hill suffered a submission loss to Randa Markos in March. The former Invicta champ is looking to rebound from a demoralizing defeat.

With both fighters going to the scorecards a total of 17 times in a combined 24 pro fights, it’s a good bet that they see the judges in this fight as well. With that said, I’m taking Hill to win this fight. I think it’s a good matchup for Angela as this should remain a stand-up fight and that favors Hill more than it does Esquibel.

UFC Bet: Angela Hill (-500)

Jim Miller (29-13) vs Jason Gonzalez (11-4)

  • Jim Miller (-145)
  • Jason Gonzalez (+125)

Jason Gonzalez comes into this bout having lost two of his last three fights, which happens to coincide with his time in the UFC. At 1-2, Gonzalez needs a win to maintain his spot with the company. He will have a height and reach advantage, but he, at a disadvantage with experience. 9 of his 15 pro fights have ended via submission. During those 9 fights, Gonzalez has gone 7-2. However, he hasn’t fought in 18 months.

It’s hard to imagine how Jim Miller still has a job with the UFC other than the promotion must have a soft spot for him. From February 2017 to April 2018, Miller lost 4 straight fights. He was on the verge of being put out to pasture last September but pulled out a submission win against Alex White. Unfortunately, three months later, Miller lost via submission to Charles Oliveira.

Fortunately for the longtime UFC vet, he’s not facing someone the same caliber as Oliveira. In fact, Gonzalez isn’t on the same level as any of the 5 fighters that Miller has lost to over the last 26 months. I actually think that the UFC threw Miller a bone with this matchup as Gonzalez isn’t better at any aspect of the fight game than Miller.

I’m taking Miller to win via submission. I expect him to wear down Gonzalez and eventually get the tap out victory.

UFC Bet: Jim Miller (-145)

UFC Fight Night 150 Prelims Part 2

The second portion of prelim fights is set to begin at 7 PM ET and will air live on ESPN.

Gilbert Burns (14-3) vs Mike Davis (6-1)

  • Gilbert Burns (-260)
  • Mike Davis (+220)

Burns is a big betting favorite in this fight as he comes in having won three of his last four contests. Burns debuted with the UFC in July 2014 and won his first three fights. He then lost two of his next three before winning back-to-back fights in 2017 and 2018. Gilbert then was flattened by Dan Hooker last July as he lost via KO in the 1st round. But, Burns proved his resiliency as he fought 5 months later and won via UD. Burns has earned stoppages in 12 of his 14 victories, with 7 of them coming via submission.

Mike Davis is making his UFC debut after losing his DWTNCS fight last July to Yusuff. Davis would fight in a regional promotion last December and securing a TKO win. The UFC decided to bring him in for this event. Davis has some excitement to him, but he’s going up against a tough opponent. All 6 of his wins have come via KO/TKO. Lastly, Davis is stepping in for Eric Wisely on less than two week’s notice.

This fight has “mauling” written all over it as Burns is a superior wrestler than Davis and he is a better striker as well. Davis will need a lucky haymaker to win this fight, and I don’t see that happening. Burns is finding his groove once again, and I expect him to make short work of Davis. I wouldn’t be surprised if this fight ends via 1st round stoppage.

UFC Bet: Gilbert Burns (-260)

Carla Esparza (13-6) vs Virna Jandiroba (14-0)

  • Carla Esparza (+102)
  • Virna Jandiroba (-122)

This is one of the closest fights according to MMA betting sites and it features a former champ taking on a newcomer in the second of two women’s fights for this event.

Carla Esparza comes in as the slight underdog with an excellent return on investment if you bet on her. Esparza lost her belt 4 years ago to Joanna Jedrzejczyk but would go on to win 3 of the next 4 fights. She even handed Cynthia Calvillo her first career loss. Unfortunately, Esparza dropped her last two fights although some would argue that she should’ve won the Gadelha fight last June. She lost via Split Decision.

Virna is replacing Livinha Souza on roughly 3 weeks’ notice, and this is her debut with the UFC. Virna is the former Invicta strawweight champ and has submitted 11 opponents in her 14 career wins. Virna will have the height advantage in this one.

This is a tough fight for Jandiroba in her UFC debut. She’s going up against a former champ who is an experienced fighter. Additionally, Esparza has the superior wrestling skills in this fight, which will come in handy of Virna tries to find a submission hold. On their feet, I expect that Carla is the better fighter in this part of the game as well.

I’m not sure if Esparza can get the stoppage in this fight, but I do believe she will pull off the betting upset and take out the newcomer. I’m going with the vet to snap her two fight losing skid and win via UD.

UFC Bet: Carla Esparza (+102)

Andrei Arlovski (27-17) vs Augusto Sakai (12-1-1)

  • Andrei Arlovski (+126)
  • Augusto Sakai (-146)

Every time I see Arlovski’s name on a fight card, I get chills thinking about how he should’ve retired by now. But, the man they call “the pit bull” continues to fight on despite the losses mounting. From January 2016 to June 2017, AA lost 5 straight fights. He was able to break that losing streak with UD wins over Albini and Struve. Unfortunately, that led to another three-fight winless streak.

Augusto Sakai is 13 years younger than AA and will have the height and reach advantage. 10 of his 12 wins have come via KO/TKO, and he’s won three straight fights. He last loss in May 2017 to Cheick Kongo via Split Decision. Sakai went 4-1-1 in Bellator before making an appearance on DWTNCS last August. His official UFC debut was last September, and he won via TKO.

An Arlovski in his prime would’ve been able to defeat Sakai, but this 40-year-old version of AA is too brittle to stand and exchange strikes with a heavy hitter. Additionally, Sakai has solid takedown defense and won’t get manhandled by AA like he did with Kongo.

I actually believe this is a bad matchup for Arlovski and I wish the UFC will release him, so he stops fighting. I’m taking Sakai to get a knockout victory in this fight.

UFC Bet: Augusto Sakai (-146)

Ben Saunders (22-11-2) vs Takashi Sato (14-2)

  • Ben Saunders (+165)
  • Takashi Sato (-190)

I think it’s safe to say that Saunders’ time as a contender in the UFC has come and gone. His first run in the UFC was 2007 to 2010, and he ended up going 4-3. He then spent 3 years in Bellator where he finished with a 7-3 record. Two of those losses were to Douglas Lima. His time in Bellator earned him another shot in the UFC where he went 6-1 in his first 7 fights back with the company. Unfortunately, he’s gone 1-4 since then and lost his last two fights. He went 1-3 in 2018 and appears to be a gatekeeper now.

Takashi Sato is making his UFC debut this weekend and hasn’t fought since last October. 9 of his 14 wins have come via KO/TKO, and he was a former title contender in Pancrase. Sato is giving up a height and reach advantage, but he’s 8 years younger than Saunders and has a lot less mileage on his body.

There was a time when Ben Saunders used to evoke excitement when he got listed on a fight card. Unfortunately, that hasn’t happened in quite a while as Saunders has been KO’d or TKO’d 4 times in the last 3 years. Furthermore, he has 7 KO/TKO losses for his career.

Sato is a sizeable betting favorite, and rightfully so. Saunders is shot as a fighter and in the twilight of his respectable career. Unfortunately, he’s not going to be able to match skills with the younger Sato, and I believe Takashi will get the stoppage victory in this one.

UFC Bet: Takashi Sato (-190)

UFC Fight Night 150 Main Card

The main card for UFC Fight Night 150 will stream live on ESPN+ and is scheduled to begin at 9 PM ET.

Roosevelt Roberts (7-0) vs Thomas Gifford (14-7)

  • Roosevelt Roberts (-385)
  • Thomas Gifford (+320)

Roberts is a rising lightweight prospect who has also fought in KOTC and Bellator before securing a contract with the UFC in his DWTNCS appearance last July. His UFC debut came last November, and he won via submission in the 1st round. Roberts has stopped all 7 of his opponents with 4 of those victories coming via submission.

Thomas Gifford comes into this bout as a huge underdog despite having gone 4-0 with 1 NC in his last 5 fights. He’s secured 12 of his 14 victories via submission and hasn’t lost a fight in over 3 years. But, this lightweight bout will be his first fight for the UFC. Nevertheless, Gifford believes his experience will be the difference in this fight:

“I think my experience is really going to take this fight; not because I’ve had all these fights; but because he’s never been to the second or third round after a war. He’s never been punished. He’s always been the puncher or aggressor; he’s never been on the side of that. I’m planning on sticking and moving and making him be on the other side.”

I respectfully disagree with Gifford. I don’t believe his fight skills are going to earn him a victory over Roberts this weekend. Roosevelt is a better athlete and a better fighter. I believe we will see his skills on display. Gifford has gotten stopped in 5 of his 7 losses. I expect it to be 6 this weekend as Roberts gets the submission win.

UFC Bet: Roosevelt Roberts (-385)

John Lineker (31-8) vs Cory Sandhagen (10-1)

  • John Lineker (-135)
  • Cory Sandhagen (+115)

This fight was originally scheduled for UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw, but Lineker pulled out due to an injury. So, the bantamweight bout was rescheduled for this show.

Lineker is a longtime UFC vet having been with the promotion for 7 years now. He’s gone 12-3 over that span with his last loss coming 2 ½ years ago to TJ Dillashaw via UD. However, he’s only fought two times since then, but both have been victories. Lineker last fought 11 months ago and defeated Brian Kelleher via KO in the 3rd round. He’s giving up 3 inches in reach and 8 inches in height.

When Lineker was forced to pull out in January, Sandhagen would take on Mario Bautista instead. He would dispatch of Bautista vis submission in the 1st round. Cory is on a 5 fight win streak including earning victories in all 3 of his UFC fights.

This is a tough fight to pick a winner. Lineker has provided fight fans with many memorable highlights. But, he’s going up against a fighter who has a huge height advantage and the length to make things very difficult for John. Sandhagen commented on his approach when stepping inside the octagon:

“I’m trying to fight in a way that is efficient, smart and there is no foolishness in it. It’s straight to the point. It’s artistic. I work very hard to make my style look like what I want it to look like. I want to be one of those rare guys who fight extremely carefree, relaxed. That’s always what I’ve been chasing. I call it ‘truth fighting.'”

The truth here is that Sandhagen can’t make any mistakes or he’s going to get caught with a nasty knockout punch from Lineker. With that said, I believe Sandhagen has the skills to pull off the upset in this contest. I’m taking Cory to win via SD over a tough Lineker.

UFC Bet: Cory Sandhagen (+115)

Glover Teixeira (28-7) vs Ion Cutelaba (14-3)

  • Glover Teixeira (-110)
  • Ion Cutelaba (-110)

Like the fight above, this matchup was also supposed to take place in January, but Cutelaba pulled out due to injury, and it was rescheduled for UFC Fight Night 150. For UFC betting sites, this contest was the toughest for oddsmakers to choose a favorite. So, we are treated with even betting odds.

After Cutelaba pulled out of his fight, Glover took on Karl Roberson and won via submission late in the 1st round. It should get noted that Teixeira came back from being rocked and almost put away early in the fight. Over the last 2 ½ years, Glover has alternated between wins and losses. At age 39, Teixeira doesn’t have much time left to make a play for a title, if he can. Of his 28 professional wins, 17 have come via KO/TKO, and another 7 have come via submission. That gives him 24 stoppages in his career.

Ion is on a two-fight winning streak but hasn’t fought since last July. He’s also never faced an opponent that caliber of Teixeira before. Cutelaba is 3-2 in the UFC but has scored 11 of his 14 victories via KO/TKO.

For Teixeira, he seeks matchups like this where he’s taking on a dangerous opponent with knockout power:

“Hopefully it will be a great fight. I think Cutelaba is an aggressive, young fighter and hungry and I like the matchup. Those kinds of styles, those are the kinds of fights I like. I’m not looking for an easy fight ever, but I like those kinds of fights. That’s why when I fought “Rampage” [Quinton Jackson] I was happy, I fought [Fabio] Maldonado, that’s why I asked for ‘Shogun’ [Mauricio Rua]; I know those guys are going to come to fight. I like those matchups.”

Well, Glover, we like those types of matchups too. Ion in an aggressive, powerful striker with decent grappling skills. However, I give the advantage to Glover on the mat.
Additionally, I believe Teixeira has better striking skills. He might not have the advantage in power, but he does have the advantage in technique. I’m going with the old man to win this fight. I believe he has one final run left in the light heavyweight division and he’s too difficult of a matchup for Cutelaba.

UFC Bet: Glover Teixeira (-110)

Alex Oliveira (19-6-1) vs Mike Perry (12-4)

  • Alex Oliveira (-173)
  • Mike Perry (+148)

Jingliang Li was originally booked to face Alex “The Cowboy” Oliveira in this fight, but he pulled out, and Mike “Platinum” Perry stepped in on a month’s notice. This matchup has the fight of the night written all over it.

Perry returns to the octagon for the first time since his submission loss to Cerrone last November. He’s dropped 3 of his last 4 fights but still makes each one entertaining. And that’s why fans are eager to see how this bout plays out. Of his 12 pro wins, Perry has 11 KO/TKO victories, which is why the fans love to see him fight. He will be giving up an inch in height and 5 inches in reach to his opponent.

Oliveira is also coming off a loss and looks to rebound this weekend. He suffered a submission defeat to Gunnar Nelson last December. Before that, he went 6-1 and 1 NC in his last 8 fights. Oliveira is also a heavy hitter with 12 KO/TKO wins in his 20 pro victories. Oliveira commented on his opponent and what he thinks will take place in their fight:

“This guy, Mike Perry — I don’t even know how to say his name. … This guy is aggressive and brings problems. He’s a bit problematic, a trash talker, but he’s in for a fight. As long as he doesn’t talk about my mom, we’re cool. I’m expecting a brawl. That’s what he brings. I’m focused, even if he comes with surprises. We’re two strikers, that’s what we expect from each other, but tactics may change during a fight because we’re fighting MMA. Anything can happen.”

For as long as this fight stays upright, it’s going to be a lot of fun to watch. I expect plenty of fireworks from these fighters who love to KO their opponents. Oliveira can hang with Perry on his feet, but Perry can’t hang with Alex on the ground. Cowboy has a big advantage on the mat, and that’s how he will secure the victory. Perry is going to lose to both of UFC’s “cowboys” in back to back fights. And he will lose to both of them via submission.

UFC Bet: Alex Oliveira (-173)

Greg Hardy (3-1) vs Dmitrii Smoliakov (9-2)

  • Greg Hardy (-315)
  • Dmitrii Smoliakov (+265)

I still shudder every time I see Hardy’s name on a UFC event. With that said, he should be undefeated in his pro career. Unfortunately for Hardy, he was too aggressive and was DQ’d in his last fight by kneeing his opponent when he was on the ground. It was an illegal knee strike, and it made Hardy even more of a villain in the eyes of UFC fans. Hardy’s first three wins came via KO, and none of those fights made it past the 1-minute mark of the 1st round.

Dimitrii is making his return to the UFC after losing his first two fights with the promotion in 2016 and 2017. All 9 of his victories have come via stoppages with 5 via submission and 4 via TKO/KO.

I believe the UFC has hand-picked another fighter that Hardy can beat based on power and athleticism. And, the online betting sites feel the same way as they’ve listed Hardy as one of the biggest betting favorites on the night. I wouldn’t be surprised if Hardy wins via KO in the 1st round because Smoliakov isn’t much better than the other fighters Hardy has steamrolled over. UFC’s “bad guy” will get another win and continue his crawl up the heavyweight division.

UFC Bet: Greg Hardy (-315)

Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (26-6) vs Jack Hermansson (19-4)

  • Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza (-190)
  • Jack Hermansson (+165)

This fight was rumored to be Souza vs. Romero, but Yoel Romero pulled out due to health issues. So, now we get Jacare vs. “The Joker.” This was a tough main event to put together considering Romero as originally rumored to fight Paulo Costa at first. After Costa pulled out, Souza was next in line.

For Souza, he was looking forward to a rematch with Romero. The two first fought in December 2015, and Romero won via Split Decision. It’s a loss that still irks Souza to this day. Jacare last fought in November and won via KO over Chris Weidman. He’s 4-2 over his last 6 fights since the loss to Romero.

I’ve said this a few times now, but I enjoy watching Jack “The Joker” Hermansson fight. He’s not afraid to fight anyone, which is why he stepped up on short notice to fill in for Romero. Keep in mind, Jack just fought on March 30th and defeated David Branch via submission 49 seconds into their fight. Hermansson is on a 3 fight winning streak. He’s also gone 5-1 in his last 6 fights with the lone loss being to Thiago Santos back in October 2017. The Joker has stopped 16 of his 19 opponents with 11 of those coming via TKO/KO.

At age 39, Souza has threatened to retire if he doesn’t get a title shot. As of now, the rumor is he will get a title fight if he can win this weekend. Souza still has enough in the tank to be a threat to the champ and Hermansson. Souza is a terrific grappler and striker, which makes him a tough fighter. The Joker was able to finish off Branch easily on the ground, but Souza is too good on the mat to expect that same outcome. All signs point to Souza winning this fight based on his advantages. With that said, I’m going with the upset. I think The Joker is going to get a little luck to go along with his skill and pull out the upset win.

UFC Bet: Jack Hermansson (+165)

UFC Fight Night 150 Betting Value

The following fighters offer solid betting value and return on your investment based on their UFC careers, current betting odds, and their UFC Fight Night 150 matchups.

  • Carla Esparza (+102) is a former UFC champ and a grizzled vet of the fight game. She has decent striking skills and great wrestling skills, which should give her an advantage on Saturday. Furthermore, she’s taking on a newcomer that doesn’t match up well in the stand-up department.
  • Cory Sandhagen (+115) is taking on the toughest fight of his career, but he has the style that could give Lineker problems. For starters, Sandhagen is 8 inches taller than his opponent. He also has a 3-inch reach and 4-inch leg reach advantage. I believe he’s going to outpoint the veteran and get an SD.
  • Glover Teixeira (-110) and Ion Cutelaba (-110) have the same betting odds, which means whomever you bet on will provide a solid return. For me, I believe Teixeira will win the fight because he has the advantage on the ground and is a better technical striker. As long as he avoids the power punches, he should win this fight.
  • Jack Hermansson (+165) is the underdog and could be outmatched in this fight. But, I don’t like what I’ve seen from Souza in his last few fights. Better fighters have taken him out like Gastelum and Whittaker. I think Hermansson can follow their gameplan and outstrike Souza to win this fight.

Final Thoughts on UFC Fight Night 150

For a Fight Night event, this card has plenty of action sprinkled throughout the prelims and main card. I’m intrigued to see how Burns, McGee, Esparza, Miller, and Sato do in the prelims. I think they all can win and have decent matchups. I fear for Arlovski, and I wish Greg Hardy wasn’t even in the UFC.

Furthermore, the Perry vs. Oliveira fight and the Lineker vs. Sandhagen fights could be explosive. And that’s what we want as fight fans. Lastly, the main event could be more exciting than what the pundits think if it stays upright for 3 rounds.

I’m excited about this UFC event as I believe it will deliver on the action and betting value. However, there’s also a Bellator event that has a lot of potential and three boxing events that have world title fights as well. This weekend is going to be a lot of fun for fight fans.

UFC Fight Night 150 Betting Recap

  • Court McGee (-164)
  • Angela Hill (-500)
  • Jim Miller (-145)
  • Gilbert Burns (-260)
  • Carla Esparza (+102)
  • Augusto Sakai (-146)
  • Takashi Sato (-190)
  • Roosevelt Roberts (-385)
  • Cory Sandhagen (+115)
  • Glover Teixeira (-110)
  • Greg Hardy (-315)
  • Jack Hermansson (+165)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

View all posts by Rick Rockwell
Email the author at: [email protected]