UFC Fight Night 192: Smith vs Spann Betting Preview, Odds and Picks

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On Saturday, September 18th, the UFC will be live from their Apex Center in Las Vegas, NV, for UFC Fight Night 192: Smith vs Spann also known as UFC Vegas 37.

The main event of the night is a Top 11 light heavyweight bout between the #6 Anthony Smith and the #11 Ryan Spann. In total, the main card will feature six fights and begin at 7pm ET on ESPN+.

Prior to the main card action, there’s a nine bout preliminary card starting at 4pm ET.

Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine the latest odds and make some UFC Fight Night 192 main card predictions.

Antonio Arroyo vs. Joaquin Buckley

  • Antonio Arroyo (+170)
  • Joaquin Buckley (-200)
  • Over (-110)/Under (+120) 1.5 rounds

Whether it’s the opening bout or not, this middleweight fight will certainly be an exciting one.

Arroyo made his first appearance on DWCS in August 2018 and won via unanimous decision. However, that didn’t earn him a shot in the UFC. Instead, he had to make a second appearance on the show in July 2019 where he beat Stephen Regman via 2nd round submission.

Arroyo would then make his UFC debut in November 2019, but ended up losing via unanimous decision to Andre Muniz. He would suffer the same fate against Deron Winn in December 2020. Antonio hasn’t fought since then.

Eight of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage with four apiece for TKO/KO and submission. He’s 1-2 when going the distance.

After a stint in Bellator and LFA, Buckley eventually made his way to UFC in the fall of 2020 where he lost his debut fight against Kevin Holland via 3rd round TKO.

He bounced back in a big way for his next fight two months later when he beat Impa Kasanganay via 2nd round KO. It was a highlight reel spinning back kick that’s still played to this very day.

Buckley would follow that up with a 2nd round KO over Jordan Wright in November 2020. His most recent bout came in January 2021 where he lost via 1st round KO to Alessio Di Chirico. Buckley is 2-2 inside the octagon with all four fights ending via TKO/KO.

Nine of his 12 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 3-1 when going the distance and also has three TKO/KO losses.

Buckley made the following comments about what he sees happening in this fight:

“I expect a fight. Point blank. He’ll come out hard and heavy in the first round, but if he doesn’t do that, I’ll man-hunt. We’ll come after him. Either way, it’s a good fight coming. All of these guys are dangerous, I know he’s going to come out and give it his all. But I’m ready to let the world know what’s up.”

For Arroyo, nine of his 13 pro bouts have ended Under 1.5 rounds. Buckley has seen nine of his 16 pro bouts do the same including three in a row. I like for this contest to end inside the distance (-350) and Under 1.5 rounds (+120).

As for the winner, I like Buckley in this contest. I see “New Mansa” picking up the TKO/KO win.

Antonio Arroyo vs. Joaquin Buckley –Buckley (-200)

Under 1.5 rounds (+120)

Fight ends inside the distance (-350)

Buckley wins inside the distance (-120)

Buckley wins via TKO/KO (+100)

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Christos Giagos

  • Arman Tsarukyan (-850)
  • Christos Giagos (+600)
  • Over (-175)/Under (+145) 2.5 rounds

This lightweight fight has the largest disparity of odds according to MMA betting sites.

Christo Giagos is a massive underdog with a 4-2 record inside the octagon since debuting three years ago this month. He’s won two straight fights with his most recent bout coming in May against Sean Soriano where he picked up the 2nd round submission win.

11 of his 19 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of TKO/KO. He’s 8-3 when going the distance and has been stopped four times including three via submission.

Giagos made the following comments on how he sees this fight playing out:

“With his decision rate, I kind of see it going the distance and score big on some of the rounds. I will try to finish him, but he’s young and durable. You never know what will happen in a fight though.”

Arman Tsarukyan is ranked 14th in the division and on a three fight winning streak since dropping his debut bout against Islam Makhachev via decision in April 2019. His most recent bout came in January where he won via decision over Matt Frevola.

10 of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with five apiece for TKO/KO and submission. He’s 6-1 when going the distance.

I see this bout going the distance as well (-150). Tsarukyan is going to grind it out instead of standing and striking for 15 minutes. In the end, the Russian will get his hand raised via unanimous decision.

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Christos Giagos –Tsarukyan (-850)

Over 2.5 rounds (-175)

Fight goes the distance (-150)

Tsarukyan wins via decision (-120)

Ariane Lipski vs. Mandy Bohm

  • Ariane Lipski (-120)
  • Mandy Bohm (+100)
  • Over (-225)/Under (+185) 2.5 rounds

This women’s flyweight bout is very close at sports betting sites. It was originally booked for UFC Vegas 36 a few weeks ago, but had to be rescheduled after Bohm was experiencing covid symptoms.

Mandy Bohm is the slight underdog for this matchup as she makes her UFC debut on Saturday. Her last fight came in Bellator 11 months ago where she beat Griet Eeckhout via decision. Bohm also competed in GMC and TKO in her career.

Four of her seven pro wins have come via stoppage with two apiece for TKO/KO and submission. She’s 3-0 when going the distance.

Lipski made her UFC debut at the beginning of 2019 and dropped her first two fights via decision. She then won two fights in a row before giving way to her current two fight losing streak.

Her most recent bout came in June 2021 where she lost to Montana De La Rosa via 2nd round TKO. It was the second straight TKO loss and she’s now 2-4 inside the octagon.

Nine of her 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. She’s 4-4 when going the distance.

I like for this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-225) and the full 15 minutes (-200). Bohm has gone the distance in three of her last five bouts. Lipski has gone the distance in four of her last seven contests.

I believe the “Queen of Violence” Ariane Lipski will snap her two fight losing streak by picking up the decision win this weekend as she outstrikes Bohm in a competitive battle.

Ariane Lipski vs. Mandy Bohm –Lipski (-120)

Over 2.5 rounds (-225)

Fight goes the distance (-200)

Lipski wins via decision (+190)

Nikolas Motta vs. Cameron VanCamp

  • Nikolas Motta (-310)
  • Cameron VanCamp (+260)
  • Over (-115)/Under (-115) 2.5 rounds

This lightweight bout will see both men making their UFC debuts on Saturday night.

VanCamp has gone 7-1 in his last eight bouts, not including a NC, and has won four straight bouts spanning across four different promotions.

His most recent contest came in July 2021 where he won via 1st round submission in the B2 Fighting Series. He also won in March via 1st round submission for Strike Hard Productions. Saturday’s fight will be the third bout of 2021 for Cameron.

13 of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with nine via submission. He’s 2-3-1 when going the distance.

Motta is 5-1 in his last six bouts which includes a three fight winning streak. After picking up two wins in a row for CFFC in 2019, Motta appeared on DWCS in November 2020 where he won via decision. That was his last bout as well.

Eight of his 12 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 4-0 when going the distance.

Motta is determined to win this weekend as he will do everything he can to be successful in his UFC debut:

“I’m doing everything I can in my UFC debut. It’s kill or be killed. Only I know everything I went through to get here. Now is my time. It’s been 10 f*cking years. There’s no way in hell I’m losing.”

Motta’s confidence has given me confidence as well. I’m taking the 28 year old Brazilian to win in impressive fashion has he scores a TKO/KO victory by the third round.

Nikolas Motta vs. Cameron VanCamp –Motta (-310)

Under 2.5 rounds (-115)

Fight ends inside the distance (-150)

Motta wins inside the distance (+120)

Motta wins via TKO/KO (+130)

Ion Cutelaba vs. Devin Clark

  • Ion Cutelaba (-155)
  • Devin Clark (+135)
  • Over (-150)/Under (+120) 1.5 rounds

This co-main event features two light heavyweights looking to crack the Top 15.

Clark is 6-5 in the UFC after debuting in July 2016. He just recently had a two fight winning streak snapped after beating Alonzo Menifield and Dequan Townsend via decision. The loss came against Anthony Smith via 1st round submission 10 months ago.

Prior to the two fight winning streak, Clark also lost to Ryan Spann in October 2019. That’s two losses to both men competing in the main event. However, he’s beat Mike Rodriguez who’s also on the card.

Four of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with three by way of TKO/KO. He’s 8-0 when going the distance.

Clark is coming into this bout with a lot of anger and bad intentions. That’s not his normal style, but his opponent has brought this out of him and he likes it:

“Not saying I’m going to change my personality or nothing but just to see that side, I haven’t been able to be angry and be pissed off and want to hurt somebody and want to cause them to bleed. I just haven’t had that yet and I have that now. It’s kind of a good thing. It kind of feels good. Hopefully, I don’t get too addicted to it.”

Cutelaba is 4-5-1 inside the octagon since joining in June 2016. His most recent bout came in May where he fought to a split draw against Dustin Jacoby.

Prior to that, he had the two fight feud with Magomed Ankalaev where he lost both via TKO/KO. Albeit, the first one was controversial as he was trying to fake like he was in danger, to draw in his opponent. Unfortunately, the ref fell for it instead and stopped the fight.

Cutelaba’s last win came in September 2019 when he defeated Khalil Rountree via 1st round TKO. 14 of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with 12 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 1-1-1 when going the distance.

All five of Clark’s losses in the UFC have come via stoppage. I see him getting handed his 6th stoppage defeat this weekend. Cutelaba will do a better job defending the takedowns than Clark will do with Ion’s striking power.

Eventually, “The Hulk” will rock the “Brown Bear” and pick up the TKO/KO win. The only real debate is whether or not this will happen in the first or second round. I’m leaning towards the Over 1.5 rounds as I expect Clark to be cautious on the feet while also looking for takedowns.

Ion Cutelaba vs. Devin Clark –Cutelaba (-155)

Over 1.5 rounds (-150)

Fight ends inside the distance (-200)

Cutelaba wins inside the distance (+105)

Cutelaba wins via TKO/KO (+110)

Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann

  • Anthony Smith (-165)
  • Ryan Spann (+145)
  • Over (-115)/Under (-115) 2.5 rounds

Spann made his first DWCS appearance in May 2017, but ended up losing via 1st round KO to Karl Roberson. He then went to LFA and picked up three quick wins which earned him another shot at DWCS in June 2018.

This time, Spann was successful as he beat Emiliano Sordi via 1st round submission. That earned him a UFC shot where he came out of the gate with four straight wins. Spann’s winning streak was snapped in September 2020 to Johnny Walker via 1st round KO.

However, “Superman” would bounce back in March 2021 with a 1st round TKO win over Misha Cirkunov. 16 of his 19 pro wins have come via stoppage with 11 by way of submission. He’s 3-2 when going the distance.

Spann, who is 5-1 in the UFC, made the following comments about the main event bout:

“Honestly, I don’t know what he’s going to try to do and I really don’t care because it’s not going to work. The plan, if it goes according to how I’ve been seeing it, it doesn’t matter what he (does). It won’t work.”

Smith enters this weekend’s fight with a 12-8 record in the UFC. He’s put together two straight wins after a 1-3 stretch that saw him lose to Jon Jones for the title in March 2019, get destroyed by Glover Teixeira in May 2020, and lose via decision to Aleksandar Rakic in August 2020.

His two recent victories came against Devin Clark 10 months ago via 1st round submission mad in April when he beat Jimmy Crute via 1st round TKO due to a doctor’s stoppage.

32 of his 35 pro wins have come via stoppage with 19 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-3 when going the distance.

Smith is super confident heading into this contest. In fact, he’s spent a lot of time thinking which bout he’s going to take after fighting Spann on Saturday. For “Lionheart,” he’s looking to rematch Aleksandar Rakic:

“I think after this fight, if I go in and have a dominant performance, I don’t think I have to defend my position anymore and I can go back to climbing. That’s why the Rakic fight makes sense to me. I have to climb ahead of me. Thiago (Santos) already has a fight coming up; Jiri (Prochazka) has the title shot to fight the winner (of Jan Blachowicz vs. Glover Teixeira); Reyes is coming off three losses – I don’t think that makes sense for me. There’s really just Rakic there and that’s the guy that makes sense for me.”

It makes sense to me as well. What doesn’t make sense is this matchup as a main event. There’s very little excitement for Spann vs Smith and I feel like this should’ve been a co-featured bout for another card instead.

With that said, I believe Smith will pick up the win in this contest. I think he’s a better all-around fighter than Spann and he will score a stoppage Under 2.5 rounds (-115). The only question is whether it will bye via TKO/KO or submission.

Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann –Smith (-165)

Under 2.5 rounds (-115)

Fight ends inside the distance (-280)

Smith wins inside the distance (+120)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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