UFC Fight Night 195 Preliminary Card Betting Preview, Odds and Picks

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On Saturday, October 16th, the UFC will be live from their Apex Center for the third straight weekend with UFC Fight Night 195 also known as UFC Vegas 40.

Currently, there are six bouts scheduled for the preliminary card which is set to begin at 4pm ET on ESPN+. As of this writing, there’s still some adjustments being made to the lineup. Additionally, not all odds were available at time of publishing.

Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine the current UFC Fight Night 195 preliminary card betting odds and take these predictions the distance!

Ariane Carnelossi vs. Istela Nunes

  • Ariane Carnelossi (-160)
  • Istela Nunes (+140)
  • Over (-200)/Under (+160) 2.5 rounds

Nunes finished up her time in ONE Championship, where she went 2-1, and signed with the UFC in 2019. Unfortunately, she was popped by the USADA for a failed drug test and promptly suspended for two years.

Well, that time is up and now Nunes is able to finally make her octagon debut on Saturday. She hasn’t competed since July 2018, which was her last bout for ONE.

Istela is a noted striker with a 50-4 record in Muay Thai fights. In MMA, she only has two TKO/KO wins and is 4-0 when going the distance.

Carnelossi won 12 fights in a row and earned a shot with the UFC. She made her debut in September 2019, but lost to Angela Hill via doctor stoppage in the third round. Ariane bounced back in April 2021 and beat Na Liang via 2nd round TKO.

Following her win over Liang, Ariane had back surgery for a slipped disc. She had the same surgery in 2020 as well. The Brazilian is fully healed and ready for this weekend’s clash.

10 of her 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with nine by way of TKO/KO. She’s 3-0 when going the distance.

I think this opening bout could be full of fireworks as we have two women who like to strike. With that said, I see the bout going Over 2.5 rounds (-200) and the full distance (-160).

I don’t see either fighter picking up the stoppage victory. As for the winner, I like Nunes via split decision. Her Muay Thai background should be the difference in this matchup.

Ariane Carnelossi vs. Istela Nunes –Nunes (+140)

Over 2.5 rounds (-200)

Fight goes the distance (-160)

Brandon Davis vs. Danaa Batgerel

  • Brandon Davis (+160)
  • Danaa Batgerel (-185)

Brandon Davis was 7-3 in his MMA career before earning a shot on DWCS in August 2017 where he beat Austin Arnett via unanimous decision. That win scored him a deal with the UFC and he debuted in January 2018.

Unfortunately, Davis’ stint inside the octagon didn’t go so well. He went 2-5 in the UFC and was bounced from the promotion two years ago after a split decision defeat to Giga Chickadze.

Davis didn’t give up on his MMA career and would go on to win four straight bouts in a regional promotion before getting the shot to return to the UFC. His last fight came in August 2021 where he beat his opponent via 1st round TKO.

Eight of his 14 pro wins have come via stoppage with four apiece for submission and TKO/KO. He’s 6-6 when going the distance.

A 7-1 record led Batgerel to the UFC in the summer of 2019 where he made his debut in August of that year, but lost via unanimous decision to Heili Alateng.

Danaa would bounce back with two straight emphatic wins. Both victories came via 1st round TKO. In March 2020, Batgerel beat Guido Cannetti and in April 2021 he defeated Kevin Natividad.

Seven of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-2 when going the distance.

This contest is a tough one to predict how long it goes. I can see Batgerel picking up the TKO/KO win before the third round. However, I can also see Davis pushing it the full 15 minutes.

With that said, I’m leanings towards the fight going Over whatever the O/U is listed at with websites that bet UFC and go the distance (-155).

Once with the judges, I like Batgerel to pick up the unanimous decision victory.

Brandon Davis vs. Danaa Batgerel –Batgerel (-185)

Fight goes the distance (-155)

Ludovit Klein vs. Nate Landwehr

  • Ludovit Klein (-300)
  • Nate Landwehr (+250)

Here’s an intriguing featherweight matchup between two fighters that have had a lost of success prior to joining the UFC, but not nearly as much success once inside the octagon.

Landwehr comes in as the large underdog and is just 1-2 in the UFC. He joined the promotion in the end of 2019 after a successful run in M-1 Global where he went 5-0 and wone the featherweight championship belt.

Unfortunately, Nate would lose his UFC debut in January 2020 to Herbert Burns via 1st round KO. He bounced back with a decision win over Darren Elkins in May 2020 before losing via 1st round TKO to Julian Erosa in February 2021.

Landwehr was supposed to fight in June, but was forced out of that bout due to an injury. This is his first fight in eight months and he’s looking to go .500 inside the octagon.

Ell eight of his pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 6-1 when going the distance.

The Slovakian, Ludovit Klein, won eight straight fights in regional promotions to earn a shot with the UFC in the fall of 2020. He debuted in September of that year and defeated Shane Young via 1st round KO.

However, his most recent bout, in May 2021, Klein lost to Michael Trizano via unanimous decision to fall to 1-1 in the UFC. The loss also snapped his three year winning streak.

16 of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight apiece for submission and TKO/KO. He’s 1-1 when going the distance.

With the amount of firepower in this matchup, 24 stoppages between the two, I don’t see this bout going the full 15 minutes (-145). I would say this contest ends under a 2.5 round O/U, but I wouldn’t touch the O/U if it’s at 1.5 rounds.

As for the winner, I like Klein in this matchup. I think he’s the more well-rounded fighter of the two and his head kicks are just too much for Landwehr to handle.

Take Klein to win via TKO/KO. Two of Landwehr’s four pro losses have come via TKO/KO.

Ludovit Klein vs. Nate Landwehr –Klein (-300)

Fight ends inside the distance (-145)

Sijara Eubanks vs. Luana Carolina

  • Sijara Eubanks (-250)
  • Luana Carolina (+200)

Maryna Moroz is becoming more and more unpopular with fans and fighters after she withdrew from this contest against Luana Carolina.

For Moroz, it was her 4th straight bout where she cancelled or withdrew. She hasn’t competed since March 2020. Maryna is also being called out by Mariya Agapova who claims that Moroz is talking trash behind her back.

Without going any further down the rabbit hole of Moroz’s life, we return to this fight card where Sijara Eubanks agreed to step in on more than two weeks’ notice.

Carolina started off her MMA career going 4-1 and then earning a shot on DWCS in August 2018 where she beat Mabelly Lima via unanimous decision.

The victory earned her a shot with the UFC and Luana didn’t waste any time as she picked up a decision win over Priscila Cachoeira in May 2019. However, all of the excitement over her UFC win came to a screeching halt in July 2020 when Luana lost to Arian Lipski.

Carolina also suffered a gruesome knee injury in that bout and didn’t return to the cage for almost a year. Luana recovered from the injury and successfully won in her return this past May where she beat Poliana Botelho via split decision.

Three of her seven pro wins have come via stoppage with two by way of TKO/KO. She’s 4-1 when going the distance.

Eubanks has been with the UFC since the spring of 2018. She debuted in June 2018 and went 2-0 in her first two trips inside the octagon. Following the hot start, Sijara would go 2-4 over her next six UFC fights.

She last fought in July 2021 and beat Elise Reed via 1st round TKO. The win snapped a two fight losing streak where she lost both contests via unanimous decision to Pannie Kianzad and Ketlen Vieira.

Three of her seven pro wins have come via TKO/KO. She’s 4-6 when going the distance.

Whatever the O/U is set at, take the Over because this bout will go the full 15 minutes (-230). Combined, these two women have gone the distance in 15 of their 22 pro bouts.

Carolina has gone to a decision in four of her last five fights, while Eubanks has gone the distance in nine of her last 10 fights. In fact, her TKO win over Reed snapped a nine fight streak where she went to a decision.

As for the winner, I like Eubanks in this one. I think she’s the more proven commodity in the octagon and her experience, durability and overall fight game will be the difference makers in this contest.

Sijara Eubanks vs. Luana Carolina –Eubanks (-250)

Fight goes the distance (-230)

Danny Roberts vs. Ramazan Emeev

  • Danny Roberts (+205)
  • Ramazan Emeev (-240)

Danny Roberts makes his long awaited return to the octagon as it’s been 23 months since his last fight which was a 2nd round KO win over Zelim Imadaev. The victory also snapped a two fight losing streak. “Hot Chocolate” is 6-4 inside the octagon.

Roberts’ journey to this fight has been filled with ups and downs. He was set to fight in the spring of 2020 and then the pandemic hit, which cancelled the show. Then he was supposed to fight at Fight Island in the summer and an injury forced him out of the event.

A third bout which was to take place at UFC Vegas 35 against Tim Means earlier this year was also cancelled due to Roberts testing positive for covid.

13 of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 4-0 when going the distance.

A 9-1 record in M-1 Global led Emeev to the UFC after the promotion made a strong push to sign the Russian.

Emeev made his octagon debut in October 2017 and quickly got off to a 3-0 start in the promotion. However, a decision loss to Anthony Rocco Martin snapped a seven fight winning streak.

Ramazan returned to the win column in July 2020 when he bet Niklas Stolze via unanimous decision. His next bout came in January 2021 where he edged out David Zawada via split decision. He hasn’t fought since then.

10 of his 20 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of submission. He’s 10-2 when going the distance.

I see this bout ending one way only – Emeev having his hand raised due to a unanimous decision victory. He’s gone the distance in seven straight contests and posted a 6-1 record over that span.

Danny Roberts vs. Ramazan Emeev –Emeev (-240)

Fight goes the distance (-165)

Andrew Sanchez vs. Bruno Silva

  • Andrew Sanchez (+120)
  • Bruno Silva (-140)

Sanchez has been with the UFC for over five years now and has posted a 5-4 record with the promotion. He’s alternated between wins and losses over the last two years with his most recent bout coming in January 2021. He lost to Makhmud Muradov via 3rd round TKO.

The loss knocked the shine off his August 2020, 1st round KO win over Wellington Turman, which came roughly 10 months after his decision loss to Marvin Vettori.

Eight of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. He’s 4-3 when going the distance.

Silva went on a 14-1 stretch that spanned six years and numerous promotions. Eventually, he would make his UFC debut this summer where he beat Wellington Turman via 1st round KO. He’s won five straight fights via TKO/KO with four of them coming in the 1st round.

17 of his 20 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 3-0 when going the distance.

It appears that Silva’s kryptonite is a submission artist. Fortunately, he doesn’t have to worry about that against Sanchez who has just two victories via submission.

Instead, Sanchez has four TKO/KO losses in his career and I see him picking up a 5th. Silva will overwhelm Andrew with his striking and eventually finish him off inside the distance (-105).

Take Silva to pick up his 18th TKO/KO victory.

Andrew Sanchez vs. Bruno Silva –Silva (-140)

Fight ends inside the distance (-105)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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