VLOG: Drew’s Betting Analysis of the 2019 NFL Draft

By Drew Goldfarb in Drew's Video Picks on April 22, 2019

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Minute Read

Football season never truly ends, and neither does the opportunity to place wagers on the National Football League. Futures betting for next year’s Super Bowl has been open for some time now, with odds as long as +10,000 or more for teams like the Arizona Cardinals, Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins. But if you don’t want to wait until February for a payout, you can still place a bet on the NFL due to pay before the end of April.

The 2019 NFL Draft begins on April 25, and the Arizona Cardinals hold the first overall selection. The Cardinals are coming off a (3-13) season that led to the firing of first-year head coach Steve Wilks, and the hiring of former Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury.

With the offensively-minded Kingsbury at the helm, it figures that Arizona will want to make sure they have a quarterback on the roster to run Kingsbury’s offense. The Cardinals already have a young quarterback on the roster, after they grabbed Josh Rosen 10th overall in the 2018 NFL Draft. But even so, the odds-on favorite to go at the top of this year’s Draft is reigning Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray. The Oklahoma Sooner turned down a multi-million-dollar signing bonus from the Oakland Athletics (even returning most of what he had already been paid) to enter the Draft, and his style fits in Kingsbury’s spread offense.

The other three players on the board at SportsBetting.ag are all on the defensive side of the ball. The Cardinals had an abysmal run defense in 2018, allowing 2,479 yards (154.9 yards/game) and 25 touchdowns (1.6 TDs/game) on the ground. Both of those marks were the worst in the entire NFL. The defensive player with the best odds of being taken No. 1 is Nick Bosa. The former Ohio State star missed much of the 2018 season but impressed during his time with the Buckeyes. The next option is another defensive lineman, that being Alabama defensive tackle Quinnen Williams. Williams has some serious speed for his size, as the 303-pounder posted a 40-yard dash time of 4.83 seconds. CBS Sports’ Pete Prisco has the former Crimson Tide lineman going in the top spot to Arizona, knocking Murray from that position in early April.

The final option is the long-shot, but still a highly-skilled player. Kentucky linebacker Josh Allen is a versatile player who is strong in the pass game, ground game, and rushing the passer. None of NFL.com’s six experts doing Mock Drafts has Allen higher than the third overall pick to the New York Jets, and one has him as low as fifth overall to Tampa Bay. All six Mock Drafts show Arizona selecting Kyler Murray at the top.

For even more analysis, check out the video at the top of this page, and make sure to read Taylor Smith’s articles, as well, for even more football betting tips.

Drew Goldfarb

Drew has been covering sports professionally since 2007, covering sports of all kinds in the ACC, SEC, Big 12 and Conference USA. In addition to covering college sports, he also spent two seasons working with the NHL's Florida Panthers as part of their TV broadcast team, as well as reporting and anchoring for AT&T SportsNet and FOX Sports affiliates, CBS Sports Network and ESPNU. Drew has also been active in Fantasy Sports since 2002.

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