Washington Redskins 2019 Win Total Prediction
It’s been quite some time since the Washington Redskins had what you would describe as a legitimate “franchise quarterback.” It looked as though Robert Griffin III was going to be that guy, but injuries wound up derailing what was once a very promising career. Washington has cycled through a number of QBs since RGIII’s tenure with the team came to an end but, so far, nobody has stuck. The lack of a legitimate quarterback factors into our Washington Redskins 2019 win total prediction.
Alex Smith suffered a brutal injury in the middle of last season that will sideline him for the entirety of the 2019 campaign. Considering Smith is 35, it’s fair to say he wouldn’t have been the future of the franchise even if he hadn’t gotten hurt. Washington endured a rather forgettable 7-9 campaign a year ago, and they fell off a cliff following a promising 6-3 start. The downturn started with Smith’s injury in Week 11 against the Texans. Washington would go on to lose six of their last seven games, with the lone win being a modest 16-13 win over the hapless Jaguars in Week 15.
The Washington Redskins were forced to turn to Colt McCoy, Mark Sanchez, and Josh Johnson after Smith went down. McCoy was named the starter after Smith’s injury, but he sustained a season-ending injury of his own after breaking his fibula in Week 13 against Philadelphia. Sanchez came in for McCoy before being benched at halftime of the next game, while Johnson finished out the season in unremarkable fashion. Sanchez retired after the season, while Johnson is still a free agent at the time of this writing.
Washington will have yet another new face under center when the 2019 season begins. Are better things ahead? Or will the ‘Skins be battling it out with the Giants to avoid a last-place finish in the NFC East?
Washington Redskins 2019 Offseason Moves
Before we get into our Washington Redskins 2019 win total prediction, let’s discuss a few of their offseason moves. As mentioned, the Redskins have shuffled the quarterback position yet again heading into the new season. The team used its first-round draft choice on former Ohio State QB Dwayne Haskins. Haskins, who went No. 15 overall, will likely begin the season as the backup to Case Keenum, who was brought over in a trade from the Denver Broncos.
Keenum parlayed a strong showing two years ago in Minnesota into a two-year deal with the Broncos last offseason. However, the University of Houston product struggled tremendously in his lone campaign in the Mile High City. The veteran completed 62.3 percent of his throws for 3,890 yards with 18 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. After Denver traded for Joe Flacco this past February, the Broncos shipped Keenum to DC in exchange for a late-round draft pick.
The splashiest move of the Redskins’ offseason was the signing of ex-Giants safety Landon Collins. Still only 25, the former first-rounder has established himself as one of the best players at his position in the game. Collins inked a five-year deal with the team, and he’ll instantly become the best safety Washington has had in over a decade.
Washington signed a value veteran in Ereck Flowers, who should give the team some decent depth at the guard spot. The ageless Adrian Peterson was also re-signed to serve as a change-of-pace backup to Derrius Guice. Guice is effectively a new addition after missing his entire rookie season due to a torn ACL. The ex-LSU Tiger was the team’s second-round selection a year ago, and he should prove to be a useful big-play threat out of the backfield.
The Washington Redskins lost Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Jamison Crowder in free agency, but there is enough decent depth to where neither player should be missed all that much. Letting Clinton-Dix walk was questionable considering he got just over $3 million to sign with Chicago, but Collins and Montae Nicholson should hold up well enough as the starting safety tandem.
In addition to Haskins, the ‘Skins also nabbed former Mississippi State defensive end Montez Sweat with another first-round selection. Sweat will complement Ryan Kerrigan along the D-line. Washington drafted a couple of receivers (Kelvin Harmon, Terry McLaurin) in the middle rounds, which should provide decent depth and help make up for Crowder’s departure.
Washington Redskins 2018 Statistics
|Points per Game||Passing Yards per Game||Rushing Yards per Game|
|17.6 (29th)||188.8 (28th)||110.9 (17th)|
|Points Allowed per Game||Passing Yards Allowed per Game||Rushing Yards Allowed per Game|
|22.4 (15th)||237.1 (15th)||116.2 (17th)|
Washington Redskins 2019 Schedule
|1||Sun, Sep. 8||at Philadelphia Eagles||1:00pm||FOX|
|2||Sun, Sep. 15||vs. Dallas Cowboys||1:00pm||FOX|
|3||Mon, Sep. 23||vs. Chicago Bears||8:15pm||ESPN|
|4||Sun, Sep. 29||at New York Giants||1:00pm||FOX|
|5||Sun, Oct. 6||vs. New England Patriots||1:00pm||CBS|
|6||Sun, Oct. 13||at Miami Dolphins||1:00pm||FOX|
|7||Sun, Oct. 20||vs. San Francisco 49ers||1:00pm||FOX|
|8||Thu, Oct. 24||at Minnesota Vikings||8:20pm||FOX/NFL Net.|
|9||Sun, Nov. 3||at Buffalo Bills||1:00pm||FOX|
|11||Sun, Nov. 17||vs. New York Jets||1:00pm||CBS|
|12||Sun, Nov. 24||vs. Detroit Lions||1:00pm||FOX|
|13||Sun, Dec. 1||at Carolina Panthers||1:00pm||FOX|
|14||Sun, Dec. 8||at Green Bay Packers||1:00pm||FOX|
|15||Sun, Dec. 15||vs. Philadelphia Eagles||1:00pm||FOX|
|16||Sun, Dec. 22||vs. New York Giants||1:00pm||FOX|
|17||Sun, Dec. 29||at Dallas Cowboys||1:00pm||FOX|
Washington faces a pretty daunting schedule. Aside from a potential cupcake matchup with the Dolphins, there isn’t an easy game for this team all year long. All six NFC East games figure to be tough. The Giants aren’t a scary opponent on paper, but divisional rivalries tend to be fairly unpredictable to begin with. It’s not like the Washington Redskins have a much better roster than the Giants anyway.
The AFC East isn’t a stacked division, but the Bills and Jets do look improved, and the Patriots are the Patriots. The NFC North has three legitimate playoff contenders in the Bears, Packers, and Vikings. The Lions aren’t completely devoid of talent either. The 49ers should be a little better if Jimmy Garoppolo can stay healthy and going to Carolina to face the Panthers is never an easy task for any team.
Three of Washington’s final five games will come away from home as well.
Washington Redskins 2019 Outlook
McCoy or Keenum will keep Haskins’ seat warm to begin the season, but unless one of the veterans has the Redskins surprisingly contending for a playoff spot, it’s reasonable to expect Haskins to get the nod at some point. Teams don’t let first-round quarterbacks sit on the bench for a full season these days. At the first sign of trouble, I’d expect Jay Gruden to make the switch. NBC Sports states McCoy was listed as the team’s starter on the initial depth chart, with Keenum as the backup and Haskins as the third-stringer.
Washington’s 7-9 record last season looks like a mirage, especially considering they’re unlikely to get quarterback play as steady as Smith provided in the first half of the year. Derrius Guice should prove to be an upgrade on Adrian Peterson as an every-down back, but this young receiving corps doesn’t inspire much confidence. Beyond Jordan Reed—who seems to miss a handful of games every season due to injury—and Peterson, there’s little experience at the skill positions on this team.
Washington went 2-4 in the NFC East last season after a 2-0 start. It’s not impossible to suggest the ‘Skins can get one against either Dallas or Philadelphia this year, but I’d bet on them going 0-4 in those games before I’d bet on them going 2-2.
Getting teams like Chicago and New England in Washington is nice, but the Washington Redskins are almost surely still going to be home underdogs in both contests. The season-closing five-game stretch against the Panthers, Packers, Eagles, Giants, and Cowboys is also downright brutal.
Washington Redskins 2019 Win Total Prediction
Oddsmakers are dubious that Washington can repeat last season’s 7-win performance in 2019:
- Over 6 ½ (+115)
- Under 6 ½ (-145)
Odds via MyBookie.ag
As you can see, the odds pretty heavily favor Washington failing to get back to the 7-win mark. The under on 6 ½ victories pays out at -145, while the over is up at +115.
A tough schedule mixed with an inexperienced roster has me buying what Vegas is selling here. Even if you take the optimistic approach and say that the Washington Redskins can pick up two wins against their divisional opponents, where are the other victories coming from? You can point to the Dolphins game, but no road game is a guaranteed victory in this league.
If they go 2-4 in the NFC East, they would need to pick up another five wins from the rest of the schedule. If they go 2-2 against the AFC East, the Redskins are still up against it given the quality of the other NFC teams they’ll face (Green Bay, Detroit, Carolina, Chicago, Minnesota, San Francisco). The Lions and 49ers are the most beatable opponents there, but I would still be reluctant to take the Washington Redskins to win either game.
I’m expecting a long season in the nation’s capital, and things could get bad enough to where we finally see a regime change at some point. Jay Gruden has done a decent job during his tenure with the franchise, but I am not seeing much reason for short-term optimism with this team at all right now.