Week 11 NFL Betting: Top 5 Player Prop Bets to Wager On
Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown both went nuts last night as the Pittsburgh Steelers trounced the Tennessee Titans, 41-17.
If you jumped on some Thursday Night Football prop bets and saw that thrashing coming, you could have been swimming in money on Friday morning. If not, week 11 still has a lot to offer, both in the way of NFL betting for games, as well as player prop bets.
I’ve been taking a look at some of the best NFL player prop bets weekly now and it never ceases to amaze me just how many entertaining wagers some of the top football betting sites have to offer.
Week 11 promises to deliver a few worth your time, as well. Whether it’s just a creative prop bet, a safe wager or props that offer loads of upside, there are always a few worth checking out.
I’ve scoured some of the best sites to find my favorites and narrowed it down to my top five for the week:
Will Travis Kelce Score a Touchdown?
TopBet.eu gets the ball rolling with this Travis Kelce prop bet, which wonders if he’ll score in week 11. Kelce has been a monster for the Kansas City Chiefs this season, as he’s already matched his career high (5) in touchdowns.
You get a chance to make some easy cash if you think he’s headed for a sixth when he takes on the New York Giants this week:
- Yes +150
- No -180
I love this bet, as Kelce is enjoying a career year as a touchdown scorer and could have a great shot at reaching paydirt for the fourth consecutive game.
Not only is Kelce a terror in the red-zone, but the Giants are an amazing matchup. New York struggles immensely at slowing down tight ends and literally ranks dead last in receiving touchdowns (10) given up to the position.
I find it hard to believe Kelce can’t find his way into the end zone at least once this week, so I’m taking the +150 odds and running.
Will Case Keenum Throw 2+ Passing Touchdowns?
Finding the top NFL player prop bets isn’t always about elite upside. For me, it’s also about landing bets that are flat out going to win.
I really like the chances of this Case Keenum prop bet converting my way, as TopBet.eu begs you to wager on how many passing scores he’ll get.
- Yes +125
- No -155
Keenum brings the “revenge” factor to the table as he hosts his former Los Angeles Rams team, but a few things are keeping me off of this one.
For one, a healthy Teddy Bridgewater is now waiting behind Keenum. If Keenum falters even a little bit and the Vikings are down early, Minnesota could make the switch.
Reports have emerged that they were already thinking about doing so ahead of this week 11 clash, so it’s something to consider:
Vikings were very tempted to turn to Bridgewater bc they view him as their franchise but are sticking w Keenum again
— Jay Glazer (@JayGlazer) November 15, 2017
On top of that, Keenum does not have an ideal matchup in this game. The way to beat the Rams is on the ground, while Los Angeles (3rd in interceptions, 7th in passing yardage allowed) has been stellar against the pass.
Keenum might not have the worst game ever, but last week’s eruption (4 touchdowns) against the Redskins feels somewhat flukey.
Considering everything I touched on and the fact that Keenum has put up 2 or more touchdown passes just three times all year, I feel confident in the “no” side of this wager.
How Many Sacks Will the Cowboys Allow?
A huge storyline in the NFL last week was the absence of Ezekiel Elliott and how that impacted the Cowboys.
Adding the absence of stud left tackle Tyron Smith didn’t help matters, as Dallas really never found their footing in a rough 27-7 loss to the Atlanta Falcons.
Along the way, Dallas abandoned the ground game and Dak Prescott was running for his life most of the contest. That led to a predictable offense and a ton of pressure, which culminated in 8 sacks.
Bovada wonders if the betting public can expect to see something similar in week 11, as they push out this sack prop bet:
- Over 2.5 -140
- Under 2.5 EVEN
Normally I’d hesitate here, but the Cowboys were abysmal in pass protection without Smith last week. As I touched on, their one-dimensional playcalling had a lot to do with their poor performance in the end, too.
Dallas has a huge home game against the Philadelphia Eagles, who have been a pretty aggressive defense and rank 14th with a solid 24 sacks. With Smith out again this week and Dallas possibly falling behind, I have to bet Prescott gets nicked up a bit in this one.
Will Adrian Peterson/Larry Fitzgerald Score a Touchdown?
Back to TopBet.eu I go, as you can get some serious value with this Peterson/Fitzgerald touchdown prop bet. I’m a big fan of any wagers that give you two bets in one, as it gives you outs and increases your chances of winning.
The Arizona Cardinals don’t feel like a great offense these days and took another hit with Drew Stanton going down with an injury.
Even though Blaine Gabbert is now under center, I find it hard to believe neither Adrian Peterson or Larry Fitzgerald will score in a plus matchup against a poor Houston Texans defense.
TopBet.eu makes it pretty simple for us:
- Yes +140
- No -170
I’m not buying Peterson (Houston has allowed one rushing touchdown all year), but Fitzgerald might be a solid bet to get you the win here.
Blaine Gabbert is a little better than some might suggest, while the Texans have been really bad against the pass this year. Houston’s secondary has given up 12 touchdowns to wide receivers in 2017 and 7 of those have come over the last four weeks.
Fitzgerald is a gamer and even with Gabbert as his quarterback, he’s going to be a serious threat to score the win in this prop. Even if he doesn’t, there is still some hope for Peterson to plunge in a short touchdown.
Will LeSean McCoy Score a Touchdown?
There are a lot of week 11 NFL player prop bets to consider, but I’ll close out my top five with this LeSean McCoy wager.
I love the value at +180 at TopBet.eu, as the oddsmakers over there aren’t giving a very talented rusher much respect in a plus matchup.
Buffalo could take a hit offensively with the benching of quarterback Tyrod Taylor, but the move should also put more emphasis on getting Shady the ball. Does that mean he’ll score, though?
- Yes +180
- No -240
I like several things about this bet. You’re not being asked to bet on a type of score. As long as McCoy gets in the end zone this week, whether it be as a runner or receiver, you’re going to get a win.
The matchup is also fantastic. The Los Angeles Chargers have eroded defensively over the year due to injuries and enter week 11 with the second-worst rushing defense. L.A. has only given up four scores on the ground to running backs, but they aren’t unbeatable in that facet.
The Chargers have also given up a lot of production to running backs in the passing game. They’ve yet to give up a score to runners, but they rank in the bottom five for receiving yardage allowed to the position.
The focus for Buffalo has to be getting the ball into McCoy’s hands. I don’t know if the Bills win this week, but I do like the odds of McCoy getting a score and maybe two.