Week 13 Top College Football Betting Trends

By in College Football on
16 Minute Read
Betting-Trends-Mississippi-State

The college football regular season comes to a conclusion this weekend with the Week 13 schedule. Many of the top games this weekend are traditional rivalries, while even more have major postseason implications. Read all about the key betting trends at top gambling websites for the top twelve games to be played this weekend.

For many teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision, this weekend represents the final week of the college football season. But many others have conference championships, bowl games and even the College Football Playoff in mind. On top of that, there are some major rivalries taking center stage as well.

It all makes for a pretty enticing menu of games, which is what bettors love to see. And we’re here to help you with those wagers by identifying the trends that will make a major difference in the outcomes. That should give you a nice head-start as you start to dissect the action to be had at the top sports gambling websites.

The College Football Games of Week 13

#8 Mississippi (9-2) at Mississippi State (7-4): Thursday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

The best Turkey day offering of the week is undoubtedly this battle of Mississippi featuring two of the top quarterbacks in the nation. Matt Corral of Ole Miss might have fallen out of the Heisman Trophy race, but he has still enjoyed another great season as a run-pass in Lane Kiffin’s high-octane offense.

But Will Rodgers of Mississippi State has been equally brilliant as one of the nation’s top yardage passers in an offense that has come alive this year. Nothing but bowl positioning and pride on the line in this one, but that should be enough to make this one of the most entertaining, explosive games of the weekend.

  • Moneyline: Mississippi +120, Mississippi State -100
  • Point spread: Mississippi +1 (-108), Mississippi State -1 (-112)
  • Over/under: Over 62 (-110), Under 62 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Mississippi State has covered the spread the last three time that they’ve played Mississippi, and all three of those games have gone under the points total
  • All three of the games that Mississippi has played on the road this season have gone under the points total
  • Ole Miss has covered the spread just 25 percent of the time over the past three seasons in games where the point spread was three points or below
  • Mississippi State is on a streak of covering the spread their last five games in a row
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread 71 percent of the time over the last three seasons where the point spread was three points or below

Boise State (7-4) at #22 San Diego State (10-1): Friday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

For most of the season, San Diego State has stood atop what has been a convoluted Mountain West Conference race. But to ensure that they make it to the title game, they must take care of business at home against the Broncos, because if they lose, they’ll need some help elsewhere.

The Broncos are one of three teams alive to win the East division of the Mountain West, but it will take more than a win for them to make it to the conference championship and a potential rematch with the Aztecs. They also need a UNLV upset of Air Force in a game that will be taking place right after this one on Friday afternoon.

  • Moneyline: Boise State -135, San Diego State +115
  • Point spread: Boise State -2 ½ (-115), San Diego State +2 ½ (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 44 (-110), Under 44 (-110)

Top Trends

  • These two schools have met six times in history, all coming since 2011, and San Diego State has covered the spread in five of those six games
  • Boise State has won four of their five road games this year and have covered the spread in every single one of them
  • The Broncos have covered the spread in three of the four games they’ve played on grass since 2019
  • In San Diego State’s last 18 Mountain West conference games, the under has been the correct bet 13 times
  • The Aztecs have covered the spread 67 percent of the time as an underdog since the beginning of the 2019 season

#4 Cincinnati (11-0) at East Carolina (7-4): Friday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

The Bearcats have the chance to finish the regular season unbeaten for the second straight season if they can go out on the road and get it done against the Pirates. Cincy will still have to wait and see what the playoff committee does, but they seem to be in a little bit better standing this year if things break their way.

Cincinnati has a major showdown with Houston, also unbeaten in the conference and with only one loss all year, ahead of them in the AAC title game. But they can’t afford to look past East Carolina, because a loss knocks them out of any possible chance of making the College Football Playoffs.

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati -560, East Carolina +440
  • Point spread: Cincinnati -14 (-112), East Carolina +14 (-108)
  • Over/under: Over 57 (-115), Under 57 (-105)

Top Trends

  • Cincinnati has won nine of their last ten games over East Carolina and have covered the spread in five of their last seven
  • When Cincinnati covered the spread last week against SMU, it broke a four-game streak where they had failed to cover
  • The Bearcats have a 79 percent rate of covering the spread over the past three years when playing a team with a winning record
  • East Carolina has covered the spread in only one of five home games this year, with one push and three losses
  • The Pirates have covered the spread 89 percent of the time in games against teams with winning records since the start of the 2019 season

North Carolina (6-5) at #24 North Carolina State (8-3): Friday at 7 PM Eastern Time

North Carolina State has to hope that Wake Forest continues their late season freefall, because a Wolfpack win coupled with a Wake loss puts NCSU in the ACC Championship Game against Pitt thanks to the three-team tiebreaker rules. On top of that, they’re going against their bitter rivals, so the incentive should be there for a big effort.

The Tar Heels have not had the season they expected after starting the season in the Top 10. They’ve been let down by inconsistency on both sides of the ball, but their win against Wake Forest a few weeks back showed that they still can be dangerous with veteran quarterback Sam Howell.

  • Moneyline: North Carolina +205, North Carolina State -245
  • Point spread: North Carolina +6 (+100), North Carolina State -6 (-120)
  • Over/under: Over 62 ½ (-110), Under 62 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • North Carolina has covered the spread the last four years in a row that they’ve played North Carolina State
  • North Carolina is 0-3 on the road this season and haven’t covered the spread in any of those games
  • Going back to the start of the 2019 season, they have covered the spread in just 29 percent of their road games
  • North Carolina State is a perfect 6-0 at home this season and have covered the spread in five of those six games
  • The Wolfpack have covered the spread in just 33 percent of their games played in November dating back to 2019

#21 Wake Forest (9-2) at Boston College (6-5): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

Wake Forest’s appearance in the ACC title game seemed like a foregone conclusion a few weeks back. But their loss to Clemson now puts them in a position where they need to win the finale to get there. Quarterback Sam Hartman has enjoyed a brilliant season but needs to cut down on costly turnovers.

Boston College’s season has come apart after they began the year going unbeaten in their nonconference slate. Still, they are likely headed to a bowl game and can improve their status in that regard if they can pull off the upset on Saturday afternoon at home.

  • Moneyline: Wake Forest -205, Boston College +175
  • Point spread: Wake Forest -4 (-106), Boston College +4 (-114)
  • Over/under: Over 63 ½ (-110), Under 63 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • The road team has won the last six meetings between these two schools
  • Four of the five games that Wake Forest has played on the road this season have gone over the projected points total
  • The Demon Deacons have covered the spread just 25 percent of the time in games where they were the road favorite over the past three seasons
  • Just one of the five games that Boston College has played at home this season has gone over the points total
  • The Eagles have covered the spread 54 percent of the time as an underdog since the start of the 2019 season

#2 Ohio State (10-1) at #6 Michigan (10-1): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

They call it The Game, and this year, there is no doubt that it will live up to that simple but powerful nickname. At stake is both an appearance in the Big Ten Championship game as well as an excellent chance at making the College Football Playoff beyond that.

The Buckeyes bring in an offensive attack that rivals some of the high-powered teams we’ve seen in recent years, such as LSU in 2019 or Alabama last season. Meanwhile, the Wolverines would like to slow the pace down, relying on their running attack, pass rush, and special teams excellence, as well as a massive home crowd in the Big House.

  • Moneyline: Ohio State -325, Michigan +270
  • Point spread: Ohio State -7 ½ (-115), Michigan +7 ½ (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 63 ½ (-115), Under 63 ½ (-105)

Top Trends

  • Ohio State has defeated Michigan eight times in a row, and the over has been the right bet in the last seven of those games
  • Three of the four games that Ohio State has played on the road this season have gone over the points total
  • The Buckeyes have covered the spread in 82 percent of their road games, all as a favorite, over the past three seasons of play
  • Michigan has won all six of its home games this season and covered the spread in five of those six games in Ann Arbor
  • The Wolverines have covered the spread in just two of six games as an underdog since the start of the 2019 season

#1 Georgia (11-0) at Georgia Tech (3-8): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

Georgia has enjoyed one of the most dominant regular seasons in recent years, and they certainly have put together the most feared defense in college football in a much longer span than that. The Bulldogs really only had one testy game (in the opener against Clemson) and have rolled in the rest.

They can probably get away with looking ahead to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game against the Yellow Jackets, worrying instead about staying injury free. It will be interesting to see if the Bulldogs give extensive action to former starting quarterback J.T. Daniels, perhaps sensing they’ll need him down the road.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Georgia -35 (-115), Georgia Tech +35 (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 54 ½ (-110), Under 54 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Georgia has won the last three games in the series against Georgia Tech and covered the spread in every one of those games as the favorite
  • Georgia has won all three of its true road games this year and covered the spread in each of those three games
  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread in 82 percent of the time as a road favorite over the past three years of play
  • Georgia Tech is 1-4 this year both outright and against the spread this year when playing at home
  • The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread just 20 percent of the time since the beginning of the 2021 season

Oregon State (7-4) at #11 Oregon (9-2): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

While this is a rivalry game, it’s not usually one that has much of a bearing on the postseason. But these are two of the three teams that still have a chance of making it to the Pac-12 Championship Game from the North division. Oregon wins and they’re in, while the Beavers will need some help if they get the upset.

The Ducks have to pick themselves off the mat after their loss to Utah last week ruined their national championship hopes, as they could still get a rematch with the Utes in the conference championship. However it shakes out for OSU, they would love to put a punctuation mark on what has been a surprisingly great campaign.

  • Moneyline: Oregon State +215, Oregon -255
  • Point spread: Oregon State +7 (-110), Oregon State -7 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 60 ½ (-105), Under 60 ½ (-115)

Top Trends

  • Oregon State has covered the spread as the underdog in four of the last six games that they’ve played against Oregon
  • Oregon State has struggled on the road this year, going 1-4 both outright and against the spread in games outside of Corvallis
  • The Beavers have covered the spread 78 percent of the time over the past three years when playing a team with a winning record
  • Although Oregon has won all six of its home games so far this season, they’ve covered the spread in only one of them
  • The Ducks have covered the spread 67 percent of the time when playing a team with a winning record over the past three seasons

#3 Alabama (10-1) at Auburn (6-5): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

For a while it looked like this game might have some effect on whether or not Alabama would make the SEC title game, but that’s no longer the case. The Tide already know that they’ll be facing Georgia in the SEC Championship game in a highly-anticipated matchup that Alabama needs to win, most likely, the once again be in the College Football Playoff.

But a loss to their arch-rival Auburn would certainly end all hopes for a national championship, so looking ahead isn’t an option, especially on the road. The Tigers have sputtered down the stretch, and with young TJ Finely playing quarterback in place of injured Bo Nix, an upset seems unlikely, even with the home crowd behind them.

  • Moneyline: Alabama -1400, Auburn +825
  • Point spread: Alabama -19 ½ (-110), Auburn +19 ½ (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 55 (-115), Under 55 (-105)

Top Trends

  • The home team has won five straight games in this series and eight of the last nine
  • In 67 percent of Alabama’s last nine games against SEC West opponents, the under has been the correct bet
  • The Crimson Tide have covered the spread 60 percent of the time when playing teams with a winning record since the start of 2019
  • The under is 11-3 in the Auburn’s last 14 games in the Southeast Conference
  • Auburn has covered the spread in only 33 percent of their November games over the past three seasons

Penn State (7-4) at #12 Michigan State (9-2): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

Michigan State is likely still reeling from the debacle of their loss to Ohio State last week, when they looked simply overmatched. But they need to pick themselves up, because an invitation to a New Year’s Day bowl is very much in reach. In addition, running back Kenneth Walker III will be trying to keep his fading Heisman hopes alive.

Penn State will close out a season that started out with great promise but sputtered due to injuries and inconsistent offense. It will be interesting to see if veteran Sean Clifford comes back under center after missing most of last week with illness, or if Penn State gives promising youngster Christian Veilleux another go.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Penn State Pick’em (-120), Michigan State (Pick’em) +100
  • Over/under: Over 51 ½ (-110), Under 51 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Penn State has beaten Michigan State each of the last two seasons and covered the spread in both of those games
  • The Nittany Lions have played just 2 games out of 11 this year where the total has gone over the projected number
  • Penn State has covered the spread in 69 percent of their road games over the past three years
  • Four of the five games that Michigan State has played at home this season have ended up going over the projected point total
  • The Spartans have covered the spread just 33 percent of the time in games played against teams with winning records over the past three seasons

#18 Wisconsin (8-3) at Minnesota (7-4): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

Most of the attention has been on the East division of the Big Ten this season, what with three teams in the hunt for the national title for much of the season. But the West is still up for grabs, although Wisconsin can clinch it if they bear the Golden Gophers on the road on Saturday.

The Badgers have rebounded from a truly awful start to end up where they usually are, which is in postseason contention in the conference. Minnesota has also been game this season, bouncing back from crucial injuries to overachieve. Even if they win on Saturday, they’ll need help to win the West and get to the Big Ten Championship Game.

  • Moneyline: Wisconsin -275, Minnesota +230
  • Point spread: Wisconsin -7 (-110), Minnesota +7 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 39 ½ (-110), Under 39 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • The road team has won in the Wisconsin-Minnesota series four of the last six times that they’ve played
  • Wisconsin has won the game outright and covered the spread in all three of its road games so far this season
  • The Badgers have covered the spread 70 percent of the time that they’ve played as a road favorite since the start of the 2019 season
  • Minnesota has covered the spread in six of their last eight games against Big Ten West opponents
  • The Golden Gophers have covered the spread at a rate of 65 percent over the past three seasons when playing Big Ten conference games

#10 Oklahoma (10-1) at #7 Oklahoma State (10-1): Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

The “Bedlam” game will have a whole lot riding on it this season. For one, the regular season Big 12 title hangs in the balance, as well as a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game. Oklahoma State has already clinched their spot in the conference championship and are holding out hopes for a College Football Playoff appearance.

Oklahoma probably lost out on their CFP hopes, but they can still get to the Big 12 title game for a rematch with the Cowboys if they can beat them on Saturday. But if they lose, they might be on the outside looking in, as they would then need Baylor to lose to struggling Texas Tech.

  • Moneyline: Oklahoma +155, Oklahoma State -175
  • Point spread: Oklahoma +3 ½ (-102), Oklahoma State -3 ½ (-118)
  • Over/under: Over 49 (-110), Under 49 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Oklahoma has won six straight games against Oklahoma State and has covered the spread in five of those contests
  • Although they’ve won two of their three true road games this season, Oklahoma didn’t cover the spread in any of those three games
  • The Sooners have covered the spread in only 33 percent of their games played on turf over the past three seasons
  • After failing to cover the spread in their first two games this season, Oklahoma State has gone one to cover nine games in a row
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread in 67 percent of their Big 12 conference games since the beginning of the 2019 campaign

Clemson (8-3) at South Carolina (6-5): Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

This traditional rivalry in the Palmetto State gets some spice this season, in part because the Gamecocks have been surprisingly competitive this year in the SEC. Wins over traditional conference powerhouses Auburn and Florida prove that they’re no fluke, and they’d love to knock off their in-state rivals as a kicker.

Clemson kept their slim ACC Atlantic Division hopes on life support by defeating Wake Forest last weekend. They would need to win and catch a break elsewhere to get into the ACC title game. But the fact that they even have a shot is a victory considering how much of a shambles they looked in the first few months of the season.

  • Moneyline: Clemson -430, South Carolina +350
  • Point spread: Clemson -11 (-115), South Carolina +11 (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 43 (-110), Under 43 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Clemson has beaten South Carolina the past six ties that they’ve played them and covered the spread in four of those games
  • Clemson has covered the spread in only one of the four games that they’ve played on the road this season
  • The Tigers have covered the spread in only 27 percent of their games against nonconference opponents since the start of 2019
  • Just one of the six games that South Carolina has played at home this season has gone over the projected points total
  • Just like their opponent, South Carolina has also covered the spread only 27 percent of their nonconference games since 2019

#5 Notre Dame (10-1) at Stanford (3-8): Saturday at 8 PM Eastern Time

Here we are again at the end of another college football season, and the Irish are once again hoping to sneak into the College Football Playoffs. They’re hurt by the fact that they lost to Cincinnati, who is also on the bubble, and by the fact that they don’t get a conference championship game. But it’s not out of the question.

But first they must take care of business on the road against the Cardinal, who have suffered through one of their worst seasons in years. But they did shock Oregon at home earlier in the season, so this isn’t a game that Notre Dame should overlook as they watch the scoreboard for some help from others.

  • Moneyline: Notre Dame -1200, Stanford +750
  • Point spread: Notre Dame -19 (-115), Stanford +19 (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 52 (-115), Under 52 (-105)

Top Trends

  • Although they didn’t play last year, Notre Dame won the previous two meetings in the series against Stanford in 2018 and 2019 as the favorite and cover the spread in each of those two games
  • The Fighting Irish are on a streak where they’ve covered the spread in the last six games that they’ve played
  • Notre Dame have covered the spread 67 percent of the time as a road favorite since the start of 2019
  • Stanford have only won one of their five homes games so far this year and also only covered the spread in one out of five
  • The Cardinal have played nine games over the past three years where they were following up two straight losses and they didn’t cover the spread in any of those nine games.

Conclusion

We hope that these trends serve you well as you bet at the top sports gambling sites. It’s going to be an extremely busy weekend of action in the world of college football. Use the trends to help you find your way through it all.

Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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