Anyone placing bets on the NFL in week one probably endured some struggles. The games did not go how we thought they would and if you tried making money off of player props bets, it was probably even worse.
It’s tough to know what to expect after week one, but in such a lopsided week of football where logic rarely won out, it’s not a bad idea to hope for stuff that makes actual sense to start happening.
Regardless, week two has already arrived, as the Bengals and Texans squared off on Thursday Night Football. If that 13-9 defensive battle is any indication, we might get some normalcy in the league this week.
Yes, that’s an ugly game in theory, but it also followed the game script everyone for the most part expected. Both teams were 0-1 and badly needed a win, while the Texans were starting a rookie quarterback. We expected a bit of a snoozer, and while the game was surprisingly entertaining, that’s largely what we got.
Hopefully the predictability there can keep rolling into the rest of the week, as we try to make some money off of our NFL bets.
Week 2 NFL Player Prop Bets
Last week was probably a losing week across the board, but there look to be some sweet week two NFL prop bets at Topbet.eu that we can take advantage of.
There are several there and across the industry, but we hand-picked the ones we liked the most, felt were locks and/or carried considerable upside. Let’s dive in:
Will Dalvin Cook Rush For Over 150 Yards?
Dalvin Cook burst onto the scene in week one, as he touched the ball over 20 times and rushed for 127 yards in a Vikings win. He was also at home against a bad Saints defense, so upping his yardage is a bit odd. Still, you can make the call with these odds:
- Yes +700
- No -1200
This is a fun bet to chase at +700, but probably not a logical run. Not only is this just Cook’s second start ever, but he’ll be on the road against a pretty good Steelers defense. Pittsburgh stuffed Isaiah Crowell last week and the game script projects the Steelers airing it out and the Vikings playing catchup. Either way, 150+ rushing yards feels like a reach.
Will Le’Veon Bell Score 2+ Rushing TDs?
You can target this same bet for Cook or Cook’s prop bet for Bell. Neither look like fun tries, though, but Bell worming his way into the end-zone a couple of times could be interesting:
- Yes +200
- No -260
The Vikings have a stiff run defense, but we need to figure a few things. For one, they’re on the road and anything goes at Heinz Field. Bell was also a major flop in week one after holding out all summer, so it isn’t that crazy that it took him a while to get his bearings straight.
The other thing is Minnesota has a tough pass defense, so it might be tough to get the ball into the end-zone through the air. If the Steelers can just get close enough, I can see Bell hammering in two or more scores.
Will Tom Brady Throw For 3 or More TDs?
Tom Brady did not look good in a week one loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. He also didn’t have reliable slot receiver Julian Edelman and the KC defense was pretty good. Can we anticipate a bounce-back game with three or more passing scores?
- Yes +180
- No -240
After throwing 0 touchdowns in week one, Brady draws an amazing matchup against a bad Saints defense in New Orleans. Sam Bradford just shredded this defense, so it’s fun to ponder what a dialed in Brady can do.
We also need to remember that it’s not like the Pats were completely awful on offense in week one. They still put up 27 points and scored on three touchdown runs. Those could have easily been Brady scores and this week I think he lights it up.
Will Drew Brees Throw 3 or More TDs?
I didn’t waste time on a similar bet with Cook and Bell, but Brees is deserving due to the betting value and the explosive environment between the Pats and Saints. Here are the odds:
- Yes +210
- No -280
This game has a projected Total over 50 no matter which NFL betting sites you look at, so it’s safe to say Vegas is expecting a shootout. Brees has a solid history of success against New England, is at home and from what we can tell, has a solid matchup on paper.
If Alex Smith can hang nearly 400 yard and 4 scores on this New England defense, it’s hard not to chase the value with Brees in this spot.
Will Kareem Hunt Score 2+ Rushing TDs?
It’s weird that we like this prop bet for Le’Veon Bell, but not for Hunt. Hunt scored three times in his NFL debut and is going to be a hot name in DFS and sports betting circles, but I’m not loving his chances. Look at the odds:
- Yes +280
- No -360
Chiefs head coach Andy Reid faces his former team (the Eagles) for the second time, so he’ll probably want to unleash his prized weapon just like he did a week ago. Unfortunately, career games are tough to put up in consecutive weeks and Philly’s defense looked tough in week one.
The Eagles were pretty stingy on the ground and after allowing just 17 points in a win, I’m not sure there will be enough scoring to lock Hunt up for 2+ rushing touchdowns. If they were all encompassing scores, I might bite.
Will Blake Bortles Toss 2+ Interceptions?
The Jacksonville Jaguars shocked just about everyone with an easy week one win over the Texans. Blake Bortles had very little to do with that, but if Jacksonville continues their same game plan and can execute it, he won’t be able to get in their way.
The idea here would be the Titans stop Leonard Fournette on the ground and/or build a lead, which would force Bortles to take it to the air more in week two. If so, perhaps that makes this prop bet a bit more interesting:
- Yes +220
- No -300
As a guy who has tossed at least 16 picks in every season of his career, interceptions are bound to pop up for Bortles again. However, Jacksonville has a clear plan to mask him right now and the Titans didn’t look overly threatening against Derek Carr and the Raiders.
Bortles is always at risk to implode, but I love the safety of the “no” bet due to how the Jags hope to play.
Will Kirk Cousins Throw 2+ Interceptions?
There is also a similar bet involving Jay Cutler, but given the way Miami is built, I’m not overly worried about him tossing a ton of picks this week.
There could be concern with Cousins, who threw one and lost a fumble in week one. Now he faces a tough Rams defense in a must-win situation. That creates doubt for me, especially when the “yes” side carries the upside:
- Yes +180
- No -240
The Rams were defensive fiends last week and they didn’t even have stud defensive tackle Aaron Donald. He should be back as they try to get to 2-0. Step one will be shutting down Washington’s weak running game and step two will be getting to Cousins.
Two picks isn’t a death sentence for Cousins, regardless, but it’s a feat I think he can reach with such a tough matchup.
More Receiving Yards: Gates vs. Henry
This one gives us a battle of Chargers tight ends and it might be a bit misleading. Gates caught two of four targets against a tough Broncos defense in week one, while Denver held Henry catchless. Part of that is because the two split time on the field, but the Broncos also likely viewed Henry as a bigger threat (and he is).
That could throw a wrench in your plans when you look at the odds:
- Gates -130
- Henry EVEN
Gates is plenty viable in this offense, but with an easier matchup on paper against the Dolphins, don’t be shocked to see Henry get fed the ball a bit more.
Will Aaron Rodgers Throw 3+ Touchdowns?
Here’s another quarterback prop bet we can all enjoy, especially since it should come in a shootout with the Falcons on Sunday night. Rodgers gives us less value than Brees or Brady, but this prop bet still feels worth attacking:
- Yes +170
- No -220
The Packers have a strong offense that snuck past a tough defense in week one and while the Falcons aren’t trash, this matchup could open the floodgate for Green Bay. A-Rod has enjoyed quite a bit of success against the Falcons, putting up 3+ passing scores in 5 of the 7 games he’s faced off with Atlanta.
In a game with a ton of passing game talent and a high Total, the “yes” side makes plenty of sense.
Will Odell Beckham Jr. Score 2+ Receiving TDs?
There are more week 2 NFL prop bets to look at, but Odell’s plight for two scores wraps up our favorite ones to target.
We need to be sure Beckham is suiting up (he missed week one) and that his ailing ankle won’t hold him back too much, but the upside is very tantalizing here:
- Yes +500
- No -800
The only real concern here is that Beckham wouldn’t play or would be used as more of a decoy. My guess is he will play and if he suits up, he’s coming to have a party. Not only does he get a tasty matchup with a shaky Detroit secondary, but he’s also playing on Monday Night Football.
Beckham seems to have the “Terrell Owens gene” and it’s never fun to bet against him under the bright lights. The value here is staggering, so I can’t think of a better way to cap the week than betting on a big game out of Odell Beckham Jr.