Week 8 College Football Top Betting Trends

By in College Football on
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The Week 8 schedule of college football is fast approaching, and we’re here to get you ready for the betting weekend. When you’re wagering on college football in any week, you should always be looking at actionable trends. We’ve got the betting trends you need to know for your wagers.

Last weekend, the top of the college football polls once again was jostled about by a major upset. It seems like that’s been a recurring theme throughout the first half of the season. And following Purdue’s stunner over second-ranked Iowa last Saturday, we as bettors now know that anything is possible.

This week’s action features to be equally tough to predict. But using betting trends can make a huge difference and allow you to spot value anywhere on the line. We’re here to help you out with your college football wagers by spotting those trends for you for the top ten games in college football on Saturday.

The Top Ten Week 8 College Football Games

Northwestern (3-3) at Michigan (6-0): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

Michigan continues to take care of business in the early part of their schedule with six straight wins to begin the 2021 season. It’s been a huge turnaround for the Wolverines, who came into the year stuck in a rut of disappointing seasons while coach Jim Harbaugh faced questions about his job.

Now the Wolverines are the hunted once again and face a Northwestern team that has been plagued by injuries and can certainly use a big win to spark their lackluster season. Coach Pat Fitzgerald will no doubt have the Wildcats fired up and ready to play as they head out in search of a big road victory.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Northwestern +23 ½ (-104), Michigan -23 ½ (-116)
  • Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-110), Under 50 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Michigan has won the last six times that they’ve played Northwestern, but the teams are 3-3 against the spread in that stretch
  • Northwestern has failed to cover the spread in either of its first two games on the road this season, but they have covered on the road 67 percent of its last 18 road games
  • The Wildcats have covered the spread 71 percent of the time in games played on turf since 2019
  • The Wolverines covered the spread in five of their first six games this season and three of their first four games at home
  • Michigan has covered 75 percent of their games in the month of October since the 2019 season

Wake Forest (6-0) at Army (4-2): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

The Demon Deacons are looking to continue their surprising unbeaten season by going on the road to face the Black Knights. Army is one of those teams that can cause a lot of problems with their specific style of play, and they’re coming off a loss by just six points to Wisconsin from the Big Ten.

Wake Forest has been living dangerously, winning by three points in each of their last two games. But they are the lone remaining unbeaten team left in the ACC at this point in the year, and who would have guessed that at the beginning of the season.

How long can the Deacs keep it going?
  • Moneyline: Wake Forest -162, Army -+142
  • Point spread: Wake Forest -3 (-111), Army +3 (-109)
  • Over/under: Over 52 ½ (-110), Under 52 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Army won the last two times these teams met back in 2016, but it was Wake Forest who won the previous six games in the series
  • Although they’ve won all six games to start their season, Wake Forest has only covered the spread in two of them
  • The Demon Deacons have covered the spread just once in the last seven games as a road favorite
  • Army has won all three of its home games so far this season but has covered the spread in only one of them
  • The Black Knights are one game above .500 as an underdog against the spread since the 2019 season

Wisconsin (3-3) at Purdue  (4-2): Saturday at 3 PM Eastern Time

Big Ten positioning will be on the line when the Badgers and Boilermakers meet up on Saturday afternoon. Purdue should be riding high when they return home following their stunning upset of #2 Iowa to change the outlook of not only the conference but also of the national title.

Wisconsin has suffered losses to three teams currently in the top 15 in the nation, and they were in those games until late every time. The hope for the Badgers is that they can start to turn it on in the second half of their season with more consistency and better play at the quarterback position.

  • Moneyline: Wisconsin -160, Purdue +140
  • Point spread: Wisconsin -3 (-116), Purdue +3 (-104)
  • Over/under: Over 40 (-110), Under 40 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Wisconsin has won the last 14 games in the series, but the Boilermakers have managed to cover the spread in three of the last five games against the Badgers
  • This is only Wisconsin’s second true road game in the 2021 season, but they won the other one and covered the spread as well
  • The Badgers have covered the spread only 30 percent of the time in the past three seasons when facing a team (like Purdue) with a winning record
  • Every one of Purdue’s six games so far this season have gone under the projected over/under points total
  • The Boilermakers have covered the spread 73 percent of the time since the 2019 season as an underdog

Oregon (5-1) at UCLA (5-2): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

Two teams still in the hunt for the Pac-12 championship meet up at the Rose Bowl when the Ducks travel to meet the Bruins. The conference probably doesn’t have a national championship contender, but these two teams could be seeking at least a major bowl appearance if they can build momentum off a win here.

For Oregon, they’ve struggled to play up the potential they showed in their thrilling upset win over Ohio State back in Week 2 of the season. UCLA has to be encouraged by better results from its defense over the past two weeks after that unit let them down in losses to Fresno State and Arizona State.

  • Moneyline: Oregon +105, UCLA -125
  • Point spread: Oregon +2 (-115), UCLA -2 (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 60 ½ (-110), Under 60 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Oregon comes into this game with UCLA having won the last two over the Bruins and eight of the last nine when these two teams meet
  • Both of Oregon’s road games so far in the 2021 season have gone under the total projected by the over/under
  • The Ducks haven’t been an underdog often over the last three years (only six time), but they covered the spread in 67 percent of those games
  • In their last 10 games within the Pac-12 conference, UCLA has covered the spread 70 percent of the time
  • The Bruins are two games below .500 against the spread in the Pac-12 conference over the past three seasons of play

Clemson (4-2) at Pittsburgh (5-1): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

At the start of the year, this looked like just another game where Clemson would be squashing another ACC team en route to their umpteenth conference title in a row. But it’s the Panthers, led by long shot Heisman candidate Kenny Pickett, who currently sit with an unbeaten record in the ACC, joining NC State and Wake Forest as the only two teams in that position.

Meanwhile, it’s been a struggle for Clemson, who has lost twice already (once in the conference) and barely escaped with three other wins on their schedule to gate. Tiger fans are waiting for that dominant performance that they’re so used to seeing, and Clemson will get another chance in this one for that effort.

  • Moneyline: Clemson +140, Pittsburgh -160
  • Point spread: Clemson +3 (-102), Pittsburgh -3 (-118)
  • Over/under: Over 48 (-115), Under 48 (-105)

Top Trends

  • This will be Pitt’s first chance to play a home game against Clemson since joining the ACC, as they’ve faced them twice at Clemson and once on a neutral field
  • Clemson has been a bettor’s worst enemy (unless they’re betting against him), going 0-6 against the spread to start the season
  • The Tigers have covered the spread 62 percent of the time against teams with winning records since the start of the 2019 season
  • Pitt has started the year covering the spread five of their first six games, and the over has been the correct bet in five of their first six games as well
  • The Panthers are five games above .500 when playing as a favorite over the past three seasons

LSU (4-3) at Mississippi (5-1): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

The Lane Kiffin/Matt Corral show sets up tent at home in Mississippi as Ole Miss plays another crucial SEC conference game. It’s been an emotional week for the Tigers with the announcement that Ed Orgeron is stepping down as coach at the end of the year, so it will be interesting to see how they respond on the field.

As for the Rebels, they’re in the midst of the rugged part of their SEC schedule and are holding up quite well. They showed great resilience in wins the last two weeks over Arkansas and Tennessee, and they’re hoping to keep it rolling over LSU, who are also coming off their best win of the season (over Florida.)

  • Moneyline: LSU +280, Mississippi -350
  • Point spread: LSU +9 (-110), Mississippi -9 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 75 ½ (-105), Under 75 ½ (-115)

Top Trends

  • Louisiana State has won the last five times they’ve played against Ole Miss and they’ve covered the spread in four of those games (the other was a push)
  • The Tigers have covered the spread in four of their last six games played on the road
  • Over the past three seasons, LSU has covered the spread 67 percent of the time when playing against a team with a winning record
  • The Rebels have won all three of their home games so far this season and the total points scored has gone over the over/number in all three of those contests
  • Ole Miss has covered the spread at a rate of 69 percent when made the favorite in games played the last three seasons

Tennessee (4-3) at Alabama (6-1): Saturday at 7 PM Eastern Time

The Crimson Tide are trying to inch back up the rankings after their shocking loss at the hands of Texas A&M two weeks ago. They started on the right path when a nice road win over Mississippi State, and they’ll look to keep it rolling as they return home to take on their longtime rival Tennessee.

Tennessee might be one of the most dangerous 4-3 teams in the nation, with four blowout wins and two of the three losses coming by less than seven points. The Volunteers will be looking to follow the Texas A&M formula of staying close early and giving themselves a chance late if the Tide tightens up in any way.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Tennessee +25 (-110), Alabama -25 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 66 ½ (-108), Under 66 ½ (-112)

Top Trends

  • Alabama has won the last 14 games played between these two teams and have covered the spread in four of their last five against Tennessee
  • Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in any of their last five games against opponents hailing from the SEC West division
  • The Volunteers are three games under .500 against the spread since 2019 when playing against a team with a winning record
  • Alabama has won three of its home games so far in the 2021 season and covered the spread in two of those games
  • The Crimson Tide have covered 73 percent of their games played in the SEC over the past three seasons

San Diego State (6-0) at Air Force (5-1): Saturday at 7 PM Eastern Time

These two teams have the best overall records in the Mountain West Conference, with just one loss between them so far this year. Air Force is the team that has that loss (to Utah State), but they’ve reeled off four straight wins since then and are chasing Colorado State in the MWC Mountain Division.

As for the Azteca, they represent the MWC in the Top 25 after their 6-0 start to the 2021 season. The Aztecs can boast a victory over Pac-12 leading Utah among their opening streak, meaning that right now they can stake a claim to the best college football team in all the West.

  • Moneyline: San Diego State +155, Air Force -175
  • Point spread: San Diego State +3 ½ (-112), Air Force -3 ½ (-108)
  • Over/under: Over 39 (-110), Under 39 (-110)

Top Trends

  • San Diego State comes in on an eight-game winning streak against Air Force and has covered the spread in six of those games, although the Falcons have covered the spread in two of the last three versus the Aztecs
  • In the last 20 games played by San Diego State, the under has been the correct bet 65 percent of the time
  • In the last three years when playing as an underdog, the Aztecs have covered the spread 71 percent of those games
  • Three of the four games that Air Force has played at home this season have gone under the projected points total
  • In the month of October since 2019, the Falcons have covered 70 percent of their game

Ohio State (5-1) at Indiana (2-4): Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

The Buckeyes have one loss so far this season but it was a nonconference tilt, meaning that they’re in a good spot to chase another Big Ten crown. But they can’t afford any slipups with the way that Michigan and Michigan State, both unbeaten and both in the East division with the Buckeyes, have been playing.

As for the Hoosiers, many thought they might be near the top of the Big Ten East following their breakthrough 2020 season. But it hasn’t worked out that way, and the Hoosiers have yet to come up with a victory in the conference so far this season as they prepare to host the Buckeyes in prime time.

  • Moneyline: Ohio State -1400, Indiana +825
  • Point spread: Ohio State -21 (-110), Indiana +21 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 60 ½ (-110), Under 60 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • The last time the Buckeyes lost to the Hoosiers was 1988, and Ohio State is currently on a 25-game winning streak in the series, although Indiana has covered eight of the last ten of those games
  • The Buckeyes have won both of their road games so far this season and both of those games have gone over the points total
  • Ohio State has won nine games in a row as a road favorite in the last three seasons and have covered the spread in eight of those nine contests
  • Indiana has covered the spread in just one of its first six games at the start of the 2021 campaign
  • They have covered 67 percent of their games when playing at home over the last three seasons of play

USC (3-3) at Notre Dame (5-1): Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

One of the greatest rivalries in college football returns to South Bend on Saturday night when the Trojans come to visit the Irish. It’s been a tumultuous season in Southern Cal with one coach ousted and the search for a new one already in full bloom, but you can be sure this team will be pumped for this contest.

As for the Irish, they are still clinging to hopes that they can somehow get back into the national championship picture after their tough loss to Cincinnati two games back. They took last week off and should be revved up once again with the rivalry game looking like one of the toughest games still left on their schedule.

  • Moneyline: USC +215, Notre Dame -255
  • Point spread: USC +7 (-108), Notre Dame -7 (-112)
  • Over/under: Over 57 ½ (-106), Under 57 ½ (-114)

Top Trends

  • Notre Dame has won the last three games played between these two teams in the series, but the Trojans have covered the spread in the last two against Notre Dame as an underdog
  • USC has won the game outright and covered the spread in each of its first two games played on the road so far this year
  • The Trojans have been good on turf in the last three seasons, covering and winning outright in 67 percent of the games they’ve played on the surface
  • In five of the last seven games that Notre Dame has played against a Pac-12 opponent, the total has gone over the over/under line
  • Although they’ve gone 15-1 at home since the 2019 season, Notre Dame has only covered the spread at a .500 rate in those games

Conclusion

Try to use these trends to cut through the clutter of the top college games for Week 8. It will help you when make your wagers on these games. The more information you have, the better your chances of winning big.

Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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