Who Has More Sacks in 2019: Joey Bosa or Nick Bosa?
In the 2019 NFL Draft, Nick Bosa was selected as the second overall pick by the San Francisco 49ers. He joins his older brother Joey Bosa who plays for the Los Angeles Chargers and was drafted third overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. It should come as no surprise that the Bosa brothers were taken high in their respective drafts. They come from a healthy family tree of first round NFL picks. In 1987, their father John Bosa was drafted 16th overall by the Miami Dolphins. The next year, the Dolphins would also draft their uncle Eric Kumerow 16th overall in the 1988 NFL Draft.
This family tree of first round NFL picks brings us to the current “branch” of NFL defensive ends of Nick and Joey Bosa. Both will be playing their professional football in the great state of California and both are expected to significantly help their teams out. With that said, many pundits and fans have been debating which Bosa brother is the best between the two. Furthermore, NFL betting sites have an intriguing prop bet that challenges bettors to choose which Bosa brother will have more sacks in 2019.
Joey and Nick Bosa aren’t the same player, even if they look like it sometimes https://t.co/Qs8qKdzVm1
— SB Nation NFL (@SBNationNFL) April 25, 2019
Tale of the Tape: Nick vs Joey
Before we can discuss these prop bets, let’s take a look at the tale of the tape to see how these two brothers match up physically.
|Joey Bosa||Nick Bosa|
|Weight||269 lbs||266 lbs|
|40 yard Dash||4.86||4.79|
|Bench Press||24 reps||29 reps|
Bosa Brothers Prop Bets
Currently, BetOnline offers two NFL prop bets regarding one or both of the Bosa brothers. The first is a debate on which brother will have more sacks in 2019 and the second one is directly related to Nick Bosa’s sack total this season.
Most Sacks in 2019
- Joey Bosa (-200)
- Nick Bosa (+160)
Joey clearly has an advantage over his brother Nick when it comes to NFL experience. He’s already played three seasons and has 29.5 career sacks. He also has 36 tackles for loss, four forced fumbles, and 137 total tackles in 37 career games. Unfortunately, he’s also been plagued by injuries in his professional career.
Bosa is averaging less than one sack per game. Last year, he played just nine games and had 6.5 sacks. However, he really started to come on strong late in the season and was a catalyst for the Chargers’ run deep into the playoffs.
This prop bet is more than just about the Bosa brothers, it’s also about the teams they play for. In 2018, the Chargers finished as the ninth best defense in total yards at 333.7 ypg. The 49ers were 13th with 346.6 ypg. However, the 49ers gave up a lot of points and were 28th in the NFL at 27.2 ppg. The Chargers were eighth best as they allowed just 20.6 ppg.
When it came to sacks, the Chargers finished tied for 19th overall with 38 sacks as a team. The 49ers were tied for 22nd with 37 sacks. However, that number is a little bit misleading since the 49ers defense was on the field more. If you look at the last three years, the entire time Joey Bosa has been in the league, the Chargers have averaged 2.7 sacks per game and the 49ers have averaged 2.0 sacks per game.
I believe the NFL online betting sites are on to something here with Joey being the favorite. He’s on a better defense and already has three years of experience in the league. I expect him to get more sacks than his brother Nick in 2019. However, 2020 will be a different story.
Nick Bosa Sack Total in 2019
- 9 sacks (-115)
- Under 9 sacks (-115)
On the surface, this is a pretty aggressive total. Last year, only 27 players had 9.5 sacks or more. When breaking that down further, none of those players were rookies. Yes, Joey Bosa did have 10.5 sacks in his rookie year, so there is a chance that Nick Bosa could have 10. But Joey didn’t have another pass rushing threat along the line with him. For the 49ers, DeForest Buckner finished with 12 sacks last season. Could he hurt or help Nick Bosa’s chances in 2019?
Jevon Kearse had 14.5 sacks as rookie back in 1999. He holds the record for most sacks in a rookie season. Aldon Smith is second with 14 in 2011, Dwight Freeney is third with 13 sacks in 2002, Leslie O’Neal had 12.5 in 1986, and Simeon Rice had 12.5 in 1996. Bradley Chubb had 12 sacks in 2018 and Von Miller had 11 sacks in 2011.
It’s possible that rookies can have double digit sacks in their first NFL season, but it’s more of a rarity than a common occurrence. For this bet, the safe play is on the Under.
Final Thoughts on the Bosa Brothers
As long as they both remain healthy, we’re going to be talking about the Bosa brothers for the next decade. It will be interesting to see if Nick can play as well in the pros as his brother Joey has. At Ohio State, Nick was just as good as his brother if not better according to many college analysts. If his athleticism and football IQ can translate to the NFL, I believe he will have a solid career and help transform the 49ers into a top notch defense.