There has been plenty of furor so far this offseason about the uncertain future of legendary New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Brady is primed to become a free agent for the first time his career, and it’s far from a lock that he begins next season in a Patriots uniform.
There has been all sorts of speculation about Brady’s next move. He has spent his entire career with the Patriots to this point, so it would be quite strange to see him play for any other franchise. The Pats failed to win their lone playoff game last year, however, and there’s reason to believe New England could be ready to move on from the soon-to-be 43-year-old.
You can bet on anything these days, and NFL free agency is no exception. BetOnline has listed New Orleans Saints backup Teddy Bridgewater as a +300 favorite to replace Brady with the Patriots if Brady winds up leaving. The Westgate SuperBook has issued new odds on where Brady will sign once the free agency period opens later in March.
Some have said recently that it’s somewhat unlikely that Brady and the Patriots reunite, but the oddsmakers at the Westgate are having a hard time imagining the 6-time Super Bowl champion skipping town. In fact, the Westgate has listed the Pats as minus-money favorites to keep Brady in Foxboro for at least another year.
Odds to Sign Tom Brady in 2020
New England Patriots (1-2)
Tennessee Titans (9-2)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (8-1)
San Francisco 49ers (12-1)
Indianapolis Colts (14-1)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14-1)
Dallas Cowboys (80-1)
The list goes on, but those are the only teams listed with odds more favorable than 100-1 to sign Brady ahead of next season. As you can see, there isn’t much bang for your buck when it comes to wagering on Brady and the Patriots to come to terms on a new deal.
It’s somewhat shocking to see the Titans listed as the non-Patriots favorite to sign Brady. Tennessee just beat Brady and the Pats in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs, and the Titans managed to get to within a game of Super Bowl 54. Why would they sign Brady?
Well, both of the Titans’ current QBs, Ryan Tannehill and Marcus Mariota, are set to become free agents, as well. Mariota almost surely won’t be back. Tannehill is likely to stay, but there’s at least an outside chance the Titans could look to Brady as a potential replacement.
The link between Brady and the Titans is Tennessee’s head coach, Mike Vrabel. In fact, Brady and Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman were spotted FaceTiming with Vrabel during a recent appearance together at a college basketball game:
In all likelihood, this means nothing. Brady, Vrabel and Edelman all used to play together, so they’re probably just casual friends. I can’t imagine Vrabel was chatting with Brady about potentially inking a deal with the Titans during their call.
It’s also unlikely that Edelman would actively facilitate Vrabel’s recruitment of Brady. Edelman has been a very vocal advocate of Brady coming back to New England next season.
Brady might help the Titans make the next step, but betting on Brady actually going to the Titans just because of a FaceTime with Vrabel seems pretty farfetched.
Head West, Old Man
Brady has spent his entire career in the Boston area, but he’s originally a Northern California native. The 49ers are the only NorCal team left, as the Raiders are set to begin play in Las Vegas after bolting Oakland after last season. The Raiders themselves could use an upgrade for Derek Carr, and what better way to introduce yourself to a new city than by having arguably the greatest player in NFL history on your team?
The Los Angeles Chargers obviously don’t play in NorCal, but it’s still California. The Chargers are about to move into a fancy new stadium in Inglewood, and it behooves Dean Spanos to put butts into seats. Philip Rivers won’t be back with the Chargers next year. There isn’t a bigger fish in the free agent market than Brady, so there is certainly reason to believe the Chargers could have interest in the veteran.
The Niners (12-1) seem like an unlikely destination considering Brady’s former understudy, Jimmy Garoppolo, just led them to the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan may not be sold on Jimmy G in the long run, but I can’t imagine the Niners cut bait with the QB that just nearly led them to a championship.
Brady was seen at a fight in Las Vegas chatting with Raiders owner Mark Davis, which led many to speculate that Brady could have interest in heading to the Raiders. The Raiders and Chargers have identical 8-1 odds to land Brady this offseason. Given the choice, I’d rather bet on Las Vegas than LA. There is probably more allure for Brady in playing for the first-ever Vegas NFL franchise than to willingly play for the second-best team in Los Angeles.
If you think Brady heads west, betting on the Raiders at 8-1 looks like the best option.
The Colts and Buccaneers could use upgrades at the quarterback position. Indianapolis is widely expected to draft a long-term replacement for Andrew Luck, while Tampa Bay is likely to scour the free agent wire in search of an upgrade over interception machine Jameis Winston.
Tampa Bay (14-1) is a very interesting sleeper. Brady would get to head to a warm-weather city to play with a coach in Bruce Arians that is known to have good relationships with his QBs. Brady would also have some dangerous weaponry at his disposal with Mike Evans, OJ Howard and Chris Godwin catching passes in the Bucs’ offense.
The Colts (14-1) have long been rivals with the Patriots, which would make Brady heading to Indy very weird for all involved. While the Colts do have a roster built to win now, I think the best idea for the team’s long-term interests is to get younger at the quarterback position.
Jerry Jones is known for wanting to make a splash, but I can only imagine the Cowboys chasing Brady if the team is unable to come to terms on a contract extension with Dak Prescott. Both sides seem interested in getting a deal done, though, so I would be legitimately shocked if Prescott wasn’t Dallas’ QB1 in 2020.
If you’re looking for an off-the-radar option when it comes to Tom Brady’s potential destination in 2020, I think there’s merit to taking a stab at the Buccaneers at the current 14-1 odds.
Where Will Brady Sign?
Tom Brady may be enjoying everyone freaking out about his next stop, but in the end I can’t imagine the Patriots let him get away. He’s no longer in his prime, but his drop-off in performance last season wasn’t so steep that the team should be alarmed about how he’ll fare next season.
I think Brady and the Patriots will give it another go in ’20. If not, though, the Raiders and Buccaneers make for intriguing long shot betting options.
What Team Will Tom Brady Be on in 2020? Patriots (1-2)
Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...
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