2016 John Deere Classic Preview With Odds and Prediction
Most eyes in the golf world will be at the Olympics, but we needn’t forget about a nice tourney known as the John Deere Classic. We’ll be short of some big names, but this week’s event still actually presents a strong field that could translate into some interesting results.
This year’s John Deere Classic pushes into August, but will again be played at the usual TPC Deere Run. The course usually caters to crafty veterans and golfers who can work out the intricacies of the green, rather that dominate with the long ball. Keep that in mind when making your PGA bets.
— GOLF.com (@golf_com) August 10, 2016
With that, let’s take a look at which golfers come in as the early John Deere Classic favorites, who should be considered as a sleeper and who should win the whole thing, outright:
John Deere Classic’s Top Odds
- Zach Johnson +650
- Steve Stricker +1000
- Jon Rahm +1200
- Daniel Summerhays +1800
- Kevin Na +2000
- Ryan Moore +2000
- Gary Woodland +2500
You’ll want to consider the top favorites and search high and low for some sleepers to fall in love with, but Zach Johnson is the easy call up to. The heavy hitters are few and far between this week, but on top of that, Johnson has crushed at this event.
Johnson took first place back in 2012 and has come extremely close to winning again recently, finishing one stroke back in 2014 and losing in a three-man playoff in 2013. With the big stars elsewhere this week, Zach Johnson is without a doubt the top favorite to win the 2016 John Deere Classic.
While Johnson leads the way, we can’t forget about Stricker and Rahm, who enter Thursday’s start with the next best odds. Stricker actually won here three years in a row from 2008 to 2011, while he’s finished no worse than 11th in six of his last seven trips here. Even if he doesn’t win, he’s a borderline lock to finish inside the top-10.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 9, 2016
Rahm is a little further out there, but he’s been pretty fantastic in brief exposure in 2016, locking down two top-5 runs and finding a way to finish inside the top-25 in each of his five tournaments on the year. It will be interesting to see if he can kill on the green, as he’s largely been known for his driver to this point. We doubt he secures his first win, but he could come close.
These other guys are obviously in play via Vegas, but the guy to really watch could be Summerhays. He’s missed a few cuts this year, but he’s been in strong form, going for 3rd and 11th place runs in his last two tournaments. He failed at the Canadian Open, but other than that, he’s finished 21st or better in his last five tourneys. He probably isn’t a great bet to actually win (zero wins on the year), but if you’re looking for another top-10 finisher, he could be in play.
- Jerry Kelly +3500
- Patrick Rodgers +4000
- Chris Stroud +6600
- John Senden +6600
- Scott Brown +8000
There are probably a ton of interesting sleepers to consider, as this field feels pretty wide open after you get past the first two favorites. That being said, this group gives you some feasible outs in what should be an entertaining tourney.
Of this five-pack, we tend to lean towards John Senden, who won here in 2004 and has fared well here in other runs. He’s also been solid in 2016, boasting a top-10 finish and four finishes inside the top-30 in his last five tournaments. This feels like a good spot for him to heat up again and maybe vie for the win.
Jerry Kelly, Chris Stroud and Scott Brown are also viable options, with Brown delivering the bigger payout potential based off of his odds. He’s the most attractive John Deere Classic sleeper due to his betting upside, while his three top-10 runs show he can finish strong in the right event.
He hasn’t fared so well lately (five missed cuts in his last seven runs), but the two times he did place he was 27th and 25th. If he’s got his game going the right way, he could be in the mix late in this one.
John Deere Classic Prediction
The harsh reality is this is probably Zach Johnson’s tourney to lose. Not only has Johnson been amazing at this event over the last several years, but he’s been pretty decent throughout 2016, with one top-5 run and three finishes inside the top-10.
That being said, it’s actually Steve Stricker who feels to be getting close to his first victory of the season. Stricker has been even better at the John Deere Classic and his second place run at the St. Jude Classic showed us he still has some gas left in the tank. Look for him to push Zach Johnson and steal this won to earn his fourth title here.
Like our favorites and sleepers or have some of your own to share? Feel free to talk about them all in the comments below!
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