2016 MBL All-Star Odds: Previewing and Picking the All-Star Game
The 2016 MLB All-Star festivities officially began on Sunday and Monday, as we all got to witness the Futures game and then see Giancarlo Stanton crush enough balls to win this year’s Home Run Derby.
An already exciting All-Star break continues on Tuesday night, as the best players in the majors get together for the 2016 MLB All-Star game.
The midsummer classic drops down into Petco Park in San Diego, California at 8:00 pm ET tonight, with Johnny Cueto taking the mound for the National League and Chris Sale hitting the dirt for the American League.
MLB All-Star Game starters:
· AL: Chris Sale
· NL: Johnny Cueto pic.twitter.com/KmG7sdZFgV
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) July 11, 2016
The starting pitchers shouldn’t go too long into the night, but their presence could set a domino effect for an intense All-Star battle.
Let’s take a look at the rest of the matchup for tonight’s game and see who might come away as the winner:
All-Star Game Starting Lineups
NL manager Terry Collins announced his crew, which features a nasty lineup, including the game’s best catcher in Buster Posey and a bunch of Cubs mashers:
— New York Mets (@Mets) July 11, 2016
The AL starting unit is no slouch, either, as it boasts a strong offense and David Ortiz in what appears to be his last All-Star game appearance:
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 6, 2016
All-Star Game Odds
As we’ve come to expect when it comes to MLB betting, it can be tough to gauge the winner and Vegas doesn’t like to give much wiggle room. That can be even more difficult in All-Star games.
For one, you don’t typically see a ton of offense in these games. Since 2004, we’ve only seen one team drop in more than 8 runs. That’s a good 12 years of moderate scoring – at best.
In the past three seasons, we’ve seen scores of 3-0, 5-3 and 6-3. The American League has been the dominant team here, too, winning each of the last three All-Star games and all but three meetings since 1997. That’s a 15-3 run, not including that regrettable tie back in 2002.
So, on paper, we can probably expect somewhat limited offense and we might be leaning toward the AL getting yet another win.
Vegas doesn’t see it that way, though. So far, this is how the 2016 MLB All-Star game is set up, per Bovada:
- National League -1.5 (+150)
- American League +1.5 (-170)
That’s just the Run Line, though. That is always a tough bet, so we may want to just roll with the Money Line, which also mildly favors the NL:
- National League -112
- American League +102
There is also the Total (7.5), which could be the most interesting bet, especially when you look at the modest scoring totals in most All-Star games.
While the American League has had more success lately, it’s tough to disagree with Vegas, seeing as the NL does carry the better bats, overall.
First Inning Scoring
First inning scoring could be one of the best bets at tonight’s All-Star game, especially with Bovada giving a fun Yes/No option on the betting:
- Yes +130
- No -160
With two elite aces hitting the mound for both sides, it’d be easy to bet for there being no scoring to start the 2016 MLB All-Star game. However, as good as Cueto and Sale are, these lineups are beyond stack with efficient, hard hitters – most of which are on winning clubs.
There are decent odds for a run coming right away, making the “yes” bet all kinds of fun.
AL vs. NL Pick
The real question of the night, of course, is who wins this thing? Will Cueto or Sale start things off by holding down the fort, or will one/both fold and give way to an unlikely mash-fest?
The former is probably more likely, but then we have to dig deeper into the pitching rotations and look at the offenses and wonder which unit has the advantage in power and efficiency.
On paper, it’s the National League. The NL offense boasts the best two Cubs, Bryce Harper, the league’s top catcher, a masher in Wil Myers and another home run king in Carlos Gonzalez.
Before it’s all said and done, a few of those guys are bound to sound off and help the AL get the win.
Pick: NL 5, AL 3
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