Daily Fantasy Baseball Targets For 5/10
Daily fantasy baseball can be a cruel mistress. The sad thing is it’s horrors know no bounds and have no loyalties.
You can pay up for elite pitching ala Corey Kluber and get totally sacked. You can stack Blue Jays can watch them accrue just three runs.
And then you watch the Red Sox lead the way with 14 runs and freaking Mike Fiers dish out some one-run ball.
It’s maddening, I know. Throw in two PPD games that included an ace in Jon Lester and some heavy bats via the Cubs and Orioles, and Monday night may have been a brutal start to the new week.
Tomorrow is now today and you have a fresh opportunity to officially make that trash heap a thing of the past, however. It still comes with tough calls when it comes to the right stack and the right pitching, but we’re here to help.
Without further haste, here are our favorite value plays to target at DraftKings for Tuesday night’s huge 15-game slate:
SP: Adam Conley – Marlins ($7.5k)
There are not a ton of safe cheap pitchers on tonight’s slate, so we have to work with what the DFS gods give us. I like Conley enough, who is at home against a beatable Brewers offense that he worked the last time he faced them.
He certainly could face plant just as easily, but he’s delivered with 17+ fantasy points in four of his last five starts. I’ll take the combo of value, matchup and playing at home and pair him with Jon Lester at DK tonight.
C: Jason Castro – Astros ($2.9k)
Castro is very interesting tonight (provided he starts), as everyone is going to be all over Welington Castillo at Coors. Punting the position and getting a cheap, high upside catcher may be the appropriate response.
I’m digging Castro, who has been pretty brutal to start 2016, but has been heating up over his last 10 games and has an extremely favorable matchup at home against the volatile Trevor Bauer. Bauer gives up the long ball with ease, plus Castro mashes the heck out of righties. He could be a fun play and then just hope Castillo is a dud.
1B: Ben Paulsen – Rockies ($3.2k)
I’m very high on Justin Bour above all others tonight, but I need to give Paulsen a shoutout if he’s in the lineup. First off, #Coors and all, but Paulsen also brings a big bat to the table and also has a very good splits matchup here.
Rubby De La Rosa tends to crater against left-handed mashers and wouldn’t you know it, but Paulsen wrecks righties. This could be a nightmare outing for De La Rosa and as long as he’s active, Paulsen could be a pretty big reason why if all goes well.
2B: Derek Dietrich – Marlins ($3.3k)
I passed on Bour at 1B but I like him and a lot of Marlins for the second night in a row. They’re at home against the freaking Brewers, who are tossing the corpse of Zach Davies out there to toss them hittable action all night.
Dietrich has especially carried value with Dee Gordon out and he brings some pop to the table. The point is just Davies’ hittability, though, as he’s gotten slapped around to the tune of 5, 6, 9 and 8 hits in his four starts this year. It hasn’t been good for him, plus he was at his very worst in his only road game of the year. Dietrich has been connecting at a great rate on the year (.333) so look for that to keep up tonight.
3B: Martin Prado – Marlins ($3.6k)
I’m not kidding about Miami tonight. I really liked them last night and they paid off with honorable enough numbers, but hopefully they provide a little more pop against Davies.
The matchup is there and Prado has been awesome all year. The splits aren’t great against a righty for him, but I’m not overly concerned with the actual matchup. As long as he can just get on like he normally does, he should score a couple of times tonight.
SS: Zack Cozart – Reds ($3.5k)
I can see the downside of Cozart, as opposing pitcher Juan Nicolasio certainly can heat up with missable pitching, but Cozart has been very safe, is at home and is a good value.
The splits don’t really favor him here, but Cozart has been on throughout the year (batting .340) and that hasn’t changed lately with 10+ fantasy points in five of his last 10 outings. He’s early in the order and he’s been connecting on fly balls lately, so perhaps we get some reliability with a little pop tonight.
OF: Odubel Herrera – Phillies ($3.5k)
I also like Adam Eaton a good deal against Derek Holland (who got absolutely destroyed last time out), but Herrera may have the better matchup against Matt Wisler. Wisler has an uncanny ability to deal a gem every time I stack against him, so I’m really only going with one Phillie here, and that’s Herrera.
Herrera has been rock solid all year and also comes in hot with 9+ fantasy points in four of his last five games. Wisler is not a great pitcher and the splits favor Herrera here, so he’s worth a shot.
Got some other value plays in mind for tonight’s late? Lay’em on us in the comments below! Good luck in your daily fantasy baseball leagues tonight!
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