Monday presents some interesting price options in daily fantasy baseball on DraftKings, as you probably need to decide between stacking Coors or paying up for Jake Arrieta.
This is what happens when you get the Blue Jays and Rockies at a home run-inducing stadium and Trevor Bauer is your second most expensive pitcher.
Bauer indeed has been good and he gets the Braves, but an arm so volatile isn’t to be trusted – especially at a staggering $12.8k. Instead, we need to either land Jake, grab Thor at $12.2k or take a stab at Matt Shoemaker ($9.9k) and work our way down from there.
Again, that’s if we want Coors. If you want to work the other way, you can pair whatever two pitchers you want and load up on cheap bats.
Whatever your strategy is, we’re here to help with a few value plays that hopefully end up making life a little easier tonight:
SP: Collin McHugh – Astros ($6.9k)
There are three interesting value options at pitcher tonight, starting with Shark (Jeff Samardzija) and also including McHugh and Daniel Mengden.
Shark was awesome two starts ago, but has been brutal for a good stretch now, posting fewer than 10 fantasy points in 4 of his last 5 starts. See? Not good. However, he’s only $8.4k, is at home in a pitcher’s park and gets a weak Oakland offense. There is safety and upside here and it also comes with value. He’s the first true value buy at pitcher to consider, but perhaps we needn’t stop there. After all, he’s not really in a groove and has his downside, too.
There is also the guy he’s facing in Mengden, who has actually been pretty good in just three MLB starts. He’s gone up against some solid bats with matchups with the Reds, Rangers and even the Brewers, and he’s come out with 12+ fantasy points each time. Going on the road against the Giants shouldn’t produce a ton of confidence for a dude that has yet to earn his first win, but he’s improved his K number each time out (5, 7 and 9) and is a good price ($7.5k).
McHugh might be the value play of the day, though. He beat the Angels the last time he faced them, producing 19 fantasy points in the process. He does have to head out on the road tonight, where he tends to put up 3 fewer fantasy points per outing.
That doesn’t look great on paper, but L.A. is not a world beater offense and McHugh has been in a solid groove lately, registering 19+ fantasy points in five of his last seven trips to the mound. He’s even got some K upside with an 8/per 9 strikeout ratio. At this price, you can go get Arrieta with him and hopefully land some solid bats, as well.
C: Nick Hundley – Rockies ($3.2k)
Whenever you can get cheap exposure to a hitter’s park where two top shelf offenses are banging heads, you have to consider it. Hundley certainly qualifies, as he brings a little pop to the party and has found a way to hit safely in six straight and in 8 of his last 10 games.
Should Hundley sit out (he’s not good against right-handed pitchers), you could save even more with Tony Wolters ($2.4k).
1B: Tommy Joseph – Phillies ($3.1k)
Joseph has been a little touch and go over the past week or so, but he’s stepped ahead of Ryan Howard and offers a little upside (8 homers). Tonight he’s in a hitter’s park against a shaky pitcher in Robbie Ray and he also has a terrific splits matchup (he crushes lefties). He’s a great play on paper and a nice alternative to paying up for Edwin Encarnacion.
2B: Jace Peterson – Braves ($2k)
Atlanta’s offense is rarely anything to get excited about, but let’s consider the logic here. For one, 2B isn’t a ton of fun tonight and some of the top guys may not be worth their price tag. Peterson isn’t a high upside bat, but he’s the absolute minimum, playing at home and he gets a super pricey pitcher in Trevor Bauer that has proven to be highly volatile.
We don’t need Peterson to blast a homer here, either. We need him to hit safely once or twice and maybe knock someone in or get a run, himself. That might be more doable than we’d think, too, considering Peterson has reached the bases safely in 7 straight and 9 of his last 10. He’s worth the gamble to open things up for the rest of your roster tonight.
3B: Taylor Motter – Rays ($3.1k)
Truth be told, this will be the spot to spend your cash tonight. Nolan Arenado and Josh Donaldson in Coors are both worth a shot and I can’t get mad about tries for Kris Bryant or Matt Carpenter.
There also is not a ton of value beyond those guys, so that’s the way to go. That being said, if you want a cheap guy who might pan out, take a look at Motter. I wish he’d be a bit cheaper and he has not been good, but there’s a silver lining: he absolutely wrecks left-handed pitchers. I actually like Eduardo Rodriguez a bit tonight (mostly on FanDuel), but when a cheap guy has killer splits, it’s often worth chasing. Just make sure Motter is starting.
Oh, better yet; Motter has position versatility, so you can still pay up for a stud 3B and then consider slotting Motter in at SS.
SS: Brandon Crawford – Giants ($3.2k)
Colorado could be pushing up some bench guys if Trevor Story and D.J. LeMahieu sit this one out, so keep an eye on their situations and whether or not we need to seriously consider the likes of Daniel Descalo and Christian Ames tonight.
Neither of those guys are overly reliable, but they’re really cheap and starting roles at Coors would put them on the DFS map.
For now, shortstop looks pretty brutal if you’re looking for value. A lot of the expensive guys either have sketchy matchups or just have been in a mild rut. Paying down for someone like Brandon Crawford could make sense. He’s at home, kills right-handed pitching and faces a rookie pitcher. He brings a little pop potential, too, so there could be upside to be had here.
OF: Nomar Mazara – Rangers ($3.4k)
You usually don’t need to be convinced to try a Texas offensive player, and the case is the same with the powerful Mazara taking a trip to Yankee Stadium. He’s in a great hitter’s park, gets a shaky Ivan Novan on the mound and happens to crush right-handed pitching.
Mazara is worth a try anyways – especially at this low price – as he can unload a dong and is arguably due for one. The venue and matchup beg for him to unleash one tonight.
Got some value plays of your own? Love/hate ours for Monday night? Let us hear it in the comments below!
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