The new week has arrived and Monday brings another shot for some lucky soul to capture a cool $50,000 in Daily Fantasy Baseball at DraftKings for just a $3 entry fee.
The night’s main slate is the place to be, but it’s oddly an extremely light one, with just eight games hitting the schedule.
Toss in Stephen Strasburg being scratched, and Monday could be a very difficult spot for MLB DFS decision-making.
Many DFS gamers will be all about the elite pitching, which could have you considering pairing up some combination of Jon Lester, David Price and Carlos Carrassco.
On the flip side, there is some shaky value in the pitching department that could have some people looking to load up on Cubs, Rockies, Red Sox or even Nationals bats.
Regardless of your DFS path tonight, you can probably use some solid value coming your way. Join us as we touch on each position with our favorite value play for the night:
This really could be a good night to pay up for elite pitching and then seek out value with your hitting.
That being said, Godley could be worth a try. He’s put up at least 16 fantasy points in each of his last two trips to the mound, his home splits are better than his road splits and he’ll be facing an Atlanta Braves offense that certainly can bottom out.
The dark side is Godley sports a poor 4.85 ERA on the year and has low K upside (no more than 7 Ks in any of his last 8 starts). Being at home could also always work to his disadvantage, as Arizona is a home run hitter’s dream at times.
The point here is Godley is not safe, but there is enough to like if you need value and want to fade the elite arms for some reason. If we can help it, though, we’re probably paying up in some manner on DK tonight.
It’s really tough to not use Gary Sanchez right now, but in the name of saving cash, let’s try out Leon tonight.
He’s not smacking homers as frequently as the Yankees rook, but he’s still been red hot with 8+ fantasy points in 9 of his last 10 outings. Yeah, the dude is ablaze. He’s also cheap, does just as much damage on the road and has a positive splits matchup with lefty, Blake Snell.
Snell can catch fire and be a problem at times, but Leon looks like a terrific play. Sanchez has to slow down eventually, too, so perhaps at $1.4k less, the equally hot Leon makes for the top pivot play of the night. If he works out and Sanchez doesn’t, you could quickly be ahead of the curve.
There is going to be risk if you’re looking to save at first base tonight. Personally, my favorite pick is Hanley Ramirez, as he has good lefty splits.
He’s not exactly cheap, though, so you may have to gravitate to someone like Reed, who has safely produced 6+ fantasy points in 7 of his last 10 outings.
Reed is not necessarily safe by the numbers, of course, as he’s not even batting .200 on the year. However, he gets avery favorable splits matchup against right-hander, Jameson Taillon. He’s also been dead on when he’s established contact, and you can see that clearly in all five games he’s registered a hit over his last 10 contests (two hits each time).
I’d like more consistency, but Reed has a good matchup here and has a little upside, as well.
The well is dry at second base value at the moment, too. I still like Pearce enough to give him a long, hard look, as he’s just as cheap as Reed (you can use him at first if you prefer, too) and he provides even more power.
There is no denying the fact that Pearce strikes out too much, but he’s actually batting a strong .301 on the year and we know he loves the long ball. Now that he’s not facing Stras (scratched), we need to consider him even more if he is active.
He has positive splits and faces A.J. Cole, so this could be a good spot to use him.
I’m not sure I’m enamored with the idea of using Athletics against Carlos Carrasco tonight, but we need to be aware of two things: Carlos can be hit and Healy is a supreme value.
For one, as great as Carrasco has been lately, he did get absolutely destroyed three games ago and even during his nice three-game run, he’s given up 21 hits, three home runs and 10 total runs. He’s also been an absolute masher in his short time in the big leagues:
Healy hasn’t blown up too much lately, but he’s at least been very consistent, with a knock in each of his last 10 games. That’s not easy to do, but on top of that he sports a strong 0.33 wOBA and has fared just fine against right-handed hitting. At home, super cheap and with a winnable matchup, Healy might be the best dive of the night.
I’m also into Torreyes tonight, seeing as New York’s young lineup has really come to life over the past couple of weeks. Torreys has been a big part of it, dropping in his first dong of the year two games ago and registering five total hits over his last couple of games.
That comes after an ugly six-game hitting drought, but the play here is he’s back on track and gets a positive splits showdown with Cody Martin. There is clear risk involved here and we’re still not sure if Torreyes can bring reliable pop, but the value is obvious.
I also like Seth Smith’s splits (if he plays), as he’s even cheaper ($3k flat) tonight and is at home against the ever volatile Michael Pineda. His matchup is a little tougher on paper, though, and his status going into the final game of the night could be an issue. Still, he makes for a fun try.
The other guy I’m digging is Kim, who mashes the heck out of right-handed pitching and will draw A.J. Cole tonight. That could bode quite well, plus the guy isn’t too far removed from an awesome 4-hit outing just two games ago.
Kim can be hit or miss at times, but he’s batting a top notch .321 on the year and has a great wOBA (/394) against right-handed pitching. With the O’s at home against an unproven pitcher, this could be a dream spot to use him.
Got your own DFS MLB value plays for tonight? Love/hate the ones we provided here? Tell us in the comments below!
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