D.J. LeMahieu and 7 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays For Monday Night
To Coors or not to Coors. That is the age old daily fantasy baseball question, to be sure, but its even more prevalent with Monday kicking off a new week.
The best arm – Max Scherzer – lands in the rocky stadium (see what I did there?), and it will be interesting to see if he can make it out alive.
He still has the most upside of any ace on tonight’s slate, yet he’s barely priced over $10k on DraftKings due to his location.
On top of Mad Max, we need to consider Coors for hitters, where we’re obviously going to have to pay up for Nats and Rockies, alike.
So, does that have us using Max with another solid pitcher and fading Coors bats, or fading Scherzer and going all in on the mother of all offensive shootouts?
Perhaps an even more contrarian route – and one that may help you win $50k tonight – is fading them all.
Whatever your plan is, you probably could use a little DFS value to lean on. We’ve got your back yet again to start the week out, as we jot down one value play we like for each main position at DK. Let’s get to it:
SP: David Phelps – Marlins ($4k)
This is a rough slate for pitching, as there are maybe 3-4 reliable arms, then Max and then a bunch of nothing. It feels like a pretty good spot to drop all the way down and take a chance on Phelps, seeing as he’s been pretty good and these other dudes are a tad inflated and as we’ve learned, anyone can face plant.
Phelps surely could on the road against the Reds, but he’s been very stable in his last three appearances, producing 14.8+ fantasy points in each, while also allowing just nine hits and one homer during that span – total.
We don’t have much else to go on here, but Miami is favored to win and he actually has a pretty high K/9 rate.
You could also take a stab at Ross Detwiler’s demolition of the Orioles not being a fluke, but on the road against Texas probably isn’t the spot to do it.
C: Gary Sanchez – Yankees ($2.9k)
We are still learning about Sanchez, but with the Yanks going young, we do know he has a role going forward, is dirt cheap and offers some pop.
Sanchez’s main selling point right now is his price, but tonight he’s also at home against the erratic R.A. Dickey. Dickey can light teams up every now and then, but his recent production isn’t scary: 4+ runs allowed in four of last five outings.
If you’re not down for gambling on Sanchez, you could always pay up for Wilson Ramos and Jonathan Lucroy.
1B: Justin Smoak – Blue Jays ($3.7k)
Toronto players are fun to try most days, but when they’re playing at Yankee Stadium against a potential dumpster fire like Chad Green, they’re even better.
Green has gotten knocked around quite a bit this year and specifically has had problems at home. Smoak comes in at a good price, brings power to the table and has reached a base safely in five straight games.
Smoak tends to be abit of an “all or nothing” option, but the value is here, plus his strong splits make him a guy to seriously consider.
Then again, this could be another spot to pay up, considering Joey Votto has been insanely ablaze and first base is pretty loaded in general.
2B: D.J. LeMahieu – Rockies ($3.4k)
Going against Max is pretty contrarian, but one way or another, getting some type of action in Coors tonight might be a good idea. D.J. gets you access on the cheap, and while the matchup isn’t great, he actually may be one of the most reliable options to consider.
LeMahieu is a hitting machine, having recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games. He usually returns for more damage, too, as he’s registered multiple knocks four times during that span.
The matchup and power are not ideal here, but LeMahieu is good at getting contact and getting on base. He’s also a master at home, where he’s averaging a steady 10 fantasy points per game on the season.
3B: Wilmer Flores – Mets ($3.6k)
I am not in love with Flores tonight, as I actually like Robbie Ray a good bit. That being said, there is a good amount to like here, and it doesn’t just stop at the nice price.
Flores is coming in a bit hot, having mashed a homer last game and piecing together two straight 13+ fantasy point outings. He’s also in a deadly park for pitcher’s and owns fantastic splits against left-handed aces.
Ray is a fun try at pitcher tonight, but that doesn’t mean he can’t get bit a few times. Flores could be one of the problems he has to deal with and could also be the piece to a majestic daily fantasy baseball GPP lineup.
SS: Shawn O’Malley – Mariners ($3k)
Who wrecks righties? Shawn O’Malley wrecks righties! The guy has only started against a left-handed hurler once since his late July return, but when played against right-handed pitchers, he’s fared quite well.
Just look at his recent logs when he’s seen ample playing time: 10+ fantasy points in four of the last seven games he’s seen at least four plate appearances.
His on the year numbers don’t pop out, but O’Malley fares well against right-handed pitching and Ricky Nolasco is home run waiting to happen (12 given up in last 10 starts).
OF: Nick Franklin – Rays ($3.5k)
There is a lot of value to like tonight, and some of it lies with Tampa Bay. Franklin is most certainly a cheap option to consider, as he’s been at his best when at home and tonight he’s got a nice date with the forever beatable Luis Perdomo.
Perdomo hasn’t been good no matter where he’s pitched this year, while his recent form promotes optimism for Rays batters. In his last 10 trips to the mound, Perdomo has allowed 8+ hits five times and a jack at least once in six of those appearances.
On top of the solid home matchup, Franklin boasts quality numbers of his own. Not only has Franklin launched all three of his homers in his last 10 outings, but he’s enjoyed most of his success against right-handed pitching.
Franklin still seems to be everything or nothing, but he has some upside in a very favorable setting tonight. Worse risks could be taken.
Oh, Aaron Judge ($3.1k) is also a guy to consider. He’s been mashing, with two jacks in his first two games of 2016. His run could be halted tonight, but it could be fun to #ridethewave.
Love/hate our daily fantasy baseball value plays for Monday night? Got some of your own to share? Feel free to join in the conversations below in the comments section!
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