Big NBA Wednesday returns and that is definitely one thing we have to be thankful for as we prepare for the holiday break. Perhaps you’re already on break or getting ready for a few days off. Either way, it sure would be nice to enjoy tonight’s NBA action with a fat cash prize at the end of the road.
That could happen if you mix the right studs with the right value plays and tonight there is no shortage of said value. Let’s take a look at the top bargain buys at $6k or below over at DraftKings and see if our picks can’t help you win the big bucks tonight:
PG: Deron Williams – Mavericks ($5.9k), T.J. McConnell – 76ers ($5.2k), Tony Parker – Spurs ($5.1k) and Jeremy Lin – Hornets ($4.5k)
D-Will took a step back last night and draws the Spurs tonight, but he’s been getting really good run and remains a nice price. He’s also been producing at a solid rate with 25+ fantasy points in seven straight before last night’s dud. San Antonio has also struggled against the point guard position a bit, so he looks like a solid value – especially if some other Mavs guys take a break on the b2b set.
McConnell remains a good price for his potential (he does so many things), but let’s keep in mind he’s not consistently seeing 30+ minutes, Philly is prone to blowout losses and he doesn’t score very well. That being said, he’s pretty cheap and gets dimes and rebounds at a solid rate. Anytime this guy can approach 10 points scored, he has a chance to crush his value.
Parker and Linsanity are definitely in play, too, and might be better picks. Parker can be a total spare at times but he put up 37 fantasy points the other night and is getting starter run right now. That’s because he’s healthy and playing at a pretty high level. I doubt he suddenly tanks against the Mavs at home. Lin has been in and out of the starting lineup in Charlotte, but he can get you production regardless of his role. The run is the key for him, and we’re seeing him play at a 29 minute per game clip right now. Thats enough to take the dive at this price.
Bradley has been awesome with Marcus Smart on the shelf and he was at his best last night with a sick 38 fantasy points. He won’t get you that every night due to his annoying tendency to do little else other than score, but he has a big role in the offense right now and his value can’t be ignored. He might not even be needed against the lowly Sixers tonight, but he also could dominate the matchup. That’s what makes him so risky, but also so much fun. Teammate Evan Turner is also in the mix and could even be a good pivot with more people all over Bradley tonight.
J.R. Smith probably remains the play at shooting guard aside from James Harden tonight. And with The Beard facing the Grizzlies, I don’t see why we wouldn’t all just use Smith. Smith is getting killer run right now due to injuries and that shouldn’t stop tonight. He’s on the court and chucking with confidence, so he has a shot at crushing his price tag yet again.
I don’t have a ton of faith in the likes of Korver, Afflalo and RHJ, but they need to be pointed out. Korver is on the second of a back-to-back set and could sit or be limited, but he’s been heating up and has been playing b2b games more often. Afflalo is a starter and sees solid run, but we all know his offensive game can be streaky. He also does very little else other than score, but he could easily get hot against the Magic. RHJ is super raw but the Nets are going nowhere and are wisely giving him a ton of playing time lately. If that continues there is little reason not to use him as long as he’s so cheap.
SF: Otto Porter – Wizards ($5.9k), DeMarre Carroll – Raptors ($5.8k), Jae Crowder – Celtics ($5.8k) and Robert Covington – 76ers ($4.8k)
It’s hard not to like a do-it-all small forward like Porter, who can easily return value even when his shot isn’t falling. Luckily his offensive game is decent these days, though, so he has a solid chance of topping the value of his current price tag. Carroll and Crowder are close behind, as Carroll has gotten hot lately and Jae gets a horrendous Philly team. Neither are overly reliable, but both appear to be solid value and can always blow up.
Covey seems to be the cheap play of the day, as he’s still under $5k and is now starting and getting really good run. He’s also be far Philly’s best offensive player and can fill it up with three’s, rebounds and steals. If he’s off he’s a total turd, but when he’s on he can absolutely destroy his listed value.
Noel has been a total bust so far this year and I have little confidence in him as a whole, but he’s still quite talented and his price is absurdly low. I don’t trust him in the least – let’s be clear – but there isn’t a better time to test him out than right now.
A safer option is TT, who has a big role with Timofey Mozgov injured and due to his awesome rebounding skills is probably a lock for 20+ fantasy points each night. He can easily blow up if he’s also getting some easy buckets, so as long as he’s priced at $6k or lower, I’m all over him in daily fantasy basketball.
Kieff is insanely cheap for what he’s been doing lately. Obviously he got off to a sluggish start and then got hurt, but he’s fully back with two 35+ fantasy point slayings in a row. Facing The Brow can always be trouble, but he just dropped 35 fantasy points on him a few days ago, so I’m not overly concerned. At that price, throw caution to the wind.
Parker is the best deep dive, as he’s immensely talented and has been pretty involved when on the floor. His run has been negatively impacted by blowouts lately, but otherwise he is going to start and see about 30 minutes per game. He probably won’t crush his value but he can get you 20+ fantasy points and if he can hit on 30 it’s a win all day.
I don’t know how Pachulia is a total stud right now, but he is. He’s not even $6k and this is a guy who is basically averaging a double-double. Earlier in the year he was doing it every other game so he was too erratic to trust, but now he’s stringing these games together. It’ll be tough to trust him to keep it going on the road against the Spurs, but if the run is there, chances are he meets value.
Gortat remains a solid price for a guy who will just go do his thing and get you 25-30 fantasy points. I’m not anticipating an explosion game, but the guy is just flat out safe and won’t kill your salary cap.
Koufos stands to benefit quite a bit tonight with DeMarcus Cousins (back) listed as doubtful. He’d draw the start and would probably see 25-30 minutes. That would give him a shot at 25+ fantasy points, so at that price he’d be worth a look. Biyombo is even cheaper and may be the more stable play, oddly. He’s going up against a depleted Cavaliers front line and he logged 31 minutes (23 fantasy points) in his start last game. With Jonas V out for a good amount of time, Biyombo is going to start and see solid run as long as he can avoid foul trouble. He’s not a good offensive player but he can get you rebounds and blocks fairly easily.
That does it for Wednesday’s daily fantasy basketball value buys. Keep in mind every single one of these value plays won’t work out, but if you mix the right ones with 1-2 studs, you could win big. We certainly hope that’s the case. With that, good luck to all who play tonight and if we don’t catch you in our next column tomorrow, happy Thanksgiving!
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