Daily Fantasy Basketball Bargain Picks For Wednesday Night
Tuesday night was a fun time for daily fantasy basketball. Or so this writer thought. Often if my team is climbing the ranks late in the night, I like to mail it in with the chance to wake up in the morning and be surprised with some big winnings.
You can call it superstition if you’d like, but it’s a fun experiment – especially if you have a team already in the money. This was the case last night, as I retired for the night within striking distance of a cool $500 at the top of a 870-man daily fantasy basketball league at DraftKings. All that needed to go my way was Kobe Bryant getting 12 more fantasy points in the second half of the Lakers/Pelicans game and Jrue Holiday not getting 14 more fantasy points than the Black Mamba.
Considering Bryant had a cool 13 at break, I figured I’d awake to a solid 28-30 point night and first place. No such luck. Instead, Jrue ended with a solid 26 fantasy point and Bryant left (and never returned) due to a sore Achilles.
Luckily Bryant got me one last fantasy digit before exiting for the night, which pushed me into second place and a nice $300 win. However, had Jrue had a bigger finish or had that game produced bigger fantasy performers while I slept away my worries, I could have plummeted to nothingness.
There isn’t a real moral to the story here, other than DFS can bone you even when it seems it’s impossible to get boned. Luckily I didn’t get completely screwed and finished with a very nice profit (played just $11 on the night).
A big reason why my team was so good last night was because I rolled with some killer value that I was really high on. Sometimes that mans paying for guys in the $7.5k-$8.9k range that you normally wouldn’t use. And sometimes it means trusting some guys at $6k and cheaper. Let’s see if we can’t find some guys in the latter range as we try to sniff out some stellar value buys to help us win big money in the giant GPPs at DraftKings tonight:
PG: Deron Williams – Mavs ($5.7k), Emmanuel Mudiay – Nuggets ($5.4k), George Hill – Pacers ($5.2k) and Patrick Beverley – Rockets ($4.5k)
D-Will returned to life last night with a strong 36-point fantasy outing, so he could be a swell bargain again tonight. The only issue is the Mavs did go into overtime with the Cavs, so make sure he’s not being rested.
Mudiay is probably my favorite bargain point guard on the night, as he got all of the minutes in his return the other day and is a 30+ fantasy point threat everytime out due to his ability to score and rack up dimes in a hurry.
Hill was solid last night and has been pretty good over his last five games, but we all know he can sack anytime out. I think he should be fine again tonight and he’s worth a roll of the dice at this cheap price.
Beverley is the riskiest of the bunch, as Ty Lawson is healthy and no longer suspended. He still logged 29 minutes last night with Lawson back in the fold, though, so he remains worth a shot at this price.
SG: Rodney Hood – Jazz ($5.9k), J.J. Redick – Clippers ($5.3k), Wesley Matthews – Mavs ($5k) and Avery Bradley – Celtics ($5k)
Hood is healthy and active again and he just got done logging over 30 minutes with over 30 fantasy points. He was on a bit of a tear before getting hurt, so he could end up being one of the top values at shooting guard.
Redick has really been solid lately but it sadly hasn’t exactly turned into amazing fantasy production. He has a good role and can score in bunches, though, so he’s a guy I’ll be considering.
The same goes for Wes and Bradley. Bradley has had two tough matchups in a row since returning from injury, so he’s a guy to look out for tonight as a bit of an explosion candidate. Matthews has a low ceiling but he’s been decent and as long as he doesn’t get rested, should be able to get you 25-30 fantasy points with little trouble.
SF: Chandler Parsons – Mavs ($5.4k), Harrison Barnes ($5.4k), Trevor Ariza – Rockets ($5.2k) and Shabazz Muhammad – Timberwolves ($4k)
Parsons looked good last night for the second time in four games, but it’s certainly worth pointing out that you never know when he’s going to be on top of things. You could shoot for a second straight stellar outing with this price being so nice, but like all Mavs players, make sure he’s actually in the lineup tonight.
Barnes’ role is increasing every game now that he’s back and he could top 30 minutes tonight and even start. Draymond Green is likely being rested for the next two games, so Barnes should get run and could be quite busy on both ends. Ariza is right there in the same neighborhood as these guys when it comes to price and value and he’s actually been decent lately. Hopefully he can keep it going and get you 27-30 fantasy points tonight.
Muhammad has seen good minutes over his last several games due to Kevin Garnett playing less and Minny playing some small ball, and that’s likely to continue tonight. He’s mostly just a scorer but the run and upside are there when you look at his low price tag.
PF: Serge Ibaka – Thunder ($6k), Kenneth Faried – Nuggets ($6k), Cody Zeller – Hornets ($5.5k) and Drew Gooden – Wizards ($3.8k)
Ibaka and Faried are not sexy options tonight, either because their matchup is troublesome or they’re just not crushing on the court. That being said, they’re good prices when you consider their talent and upside, so there are definitely worse dives to be taken at the four spot. Faried might even catch a bit of a break tonight, too, as the Warriors should be without Draymond Green (rest).
Zeller is a drop down is terms of floor and upside, but with Al Jefferson on the shelf he’s seeing good minutes. He is a dub-dub threat and can score a bit, so he has some nice potential based off of his low cost.
Gooden might be my favorte PF play of the night and he should trump Nene Hilario, who is more limited and doesn’t hit treys. Marcin Gortat’s status (knee) is key here, but Gooden dropped 30+ fantasy points with him out on Monday and could be in for a big role again if that remains the case.
C: Ian Mahinmi – Pacers ($5k), Robin Lopez – Knicks ($5k), Gorgui Dieng – Timberwolves ($3.9k) and Marreese Speights – Warriors ($3.3k)
I’m not in love with Mahinmi or Lopez but they’re not expensive, are typically pretty safe and get solid run. Neither is very explosive and can go spare quite easily, but they’ve both been hovering around 25-30 minutes and have put up numbers around 25 fantasy points per game with ease. I expect something similar from both tonight.
Dieng is a dive but he’s probably the best play in terms of value at center, just because he usually gets 28-32 minutes and can do so much. Dieng can score a bit but he really makes bank with rebounds and blocks. With KG seeing less time on the floor, Dieng could be a monster value if he can just stay out of foul trouble.
Speights could be an even better value play when you look at his price, matchup and the fact that Draymond Green is likely out. That doesn’t for sure give Speights a monster role just because Golden State could use a lot of small ball, but there certainly is potential for 20+ minutes and 20-25 fantasy points here. At this price, he’d be a total bargain and could be a key piece in building the perfect GPP team tonight.
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