Big NBA Wednesday is back, as 10 NBA games hit the hardwood and give you plenty of chances to win some cash. My personal favorite method of doing so is via daily fantasy basketball, and the best way to accomplish that is to pick your favorite stud and surround him with killer value.
Said value comes in the form of cheap sleepers and few daily fantasy basketball sites tend to offer as much of a discount as DraftKings. Truth be told, the value has been sapped a bit over the past week, while yours truly is riding one of the roughest stretches of DFS play.
I could go on and on about my daily fantasy sorrow but when it slumps like this, it’s best to make one team, join one league and relax. Low risk, high reward and less freaking out.
I’m not enamored with the value for Wednesday if you want Russell Westbrook, but I think the right pieces could be built around DeMarcus Cousins (my stud of choice) or James Harden to have a very strong cash game squad and a GPP team worth not telling your friends about (see what I did there?).
Take them or leave them, but these are my favorite DK value plays for Wednesday, staying at/below the $6k threshold:
Jack isn’t the greatest real life basketball player but he’s a pretty decent fantasy option. He gets his hand in a lot of categories and also gets solid run as Brooklyn’s starter. Going up against the Hornets isn’t overly tough, either. He’s on the road and on the second of a b2b, but so are the Hornets. I doubt he lights the world afire, but he should get you 25-30 fantasy points with little effort.
I had Deron Williams listed here ($5.6k) based purely on price, but you can’t use him. He’s going up against Marcus Smart, who is flat out abusing whoever he faces defensively. I doubt Williams returns value even though he’s a nice price.
You can freely try Ish Smith and T.J. McConnell, though. Smith gets the start on the road and gets to try to stop Russell Westbrook, but it’s mostly good news here. Russ is more worried about carrying OKC’s offensive load, so Ish can still get his dimes and some points. He just does a ton of stuff and with no Jrue Holiday (rest), he’s in line to log 35-40 minutes. He’ll pay off by accident. McConnell is similar if he can get the run, which he has been lately. The real issue may be his teammates actually knocking down open shots that he sets up, as he’s a passing wizard. If he’s hitting shots himself, he’ll crush his value.
George Hill is out and Rodney Stuckey is iffy tonight. Hill being out puts Monta at the point and makes him a near-must play.
Ellis has turned it on lately and with no Hill he’d have the ball in his hands and should log a ton of minutes. We know he can score, but when his role gets expanded he seems to feed off it and he can also get a good amount of dimes.
Barton’s role seems pretty set at the moment, as he’s had three straight games with 30+ minutes and won’t stop scoring. He’s getting his hands on boards and dimes, too, so he’s more than a scorer right now. That’s great news for a bench guy who is facing the Spurs on the road. With Denver likely getting trounced, he should play a ton and could end up being their top scorer.
Korver is a bit of a drop down and he can tank pretty easily, but he also can hit 25-30 on any night. His status is in limbo on the second of back-to-back sets, though, so be sure to see if he’s playing tonight. A matchup against the Kings’ awful defense could be sublime.
The value at small forward looks good at the surface. It’s even better if you want to pay just a little more, as Gordon Hayward($6.4k) and Rudy Gay ($6.9k) are good prices.
AFA seems like the play due to his run and ability to do a little bit of everything. The Rockets are getting killed by small forwards, too, since Trevor Ariza usually guards Houston’s opponent’s best guard or he’s playing the four when they go small. I think AFA is fine, either way, as his game isn’t completely dependent on his offense.
You can just drop down to Ariza, too, who went nuts in his last game and could finally be finding his shooting touch. That’d be great news at this price. The same goes for Carroll, who is logging heavy minutes thanks to his defense and has been coming around lately offensively, too. Miles is a steep drop down, but if George Hill and Rodney Stuckey are out he’s going to see 25+ minutes and hoist a decent amount of shots. That could give way to a mild scoring outburst from him.
Rando is probably the value of the day with Anthony Davis possibly out. The Brow hurt his shoulder and exited last night without scoring any points, and it’s likely the Pelicans play it safe and keep him out. If so, Anderson should start and could launch 15+ shots. His matchup with Serge Ibaka is clearly not ideal, but that shouldn’t stop him from getting some rebounds and scoring 10+ points.
Morris might be an even better value if he is in fact playing tonight. Early signs suggest he will, but he could still be limited due to a knee sprain. I’m all for him if he’s a full go, as he’d have a decent matchup against Nikola Mirotic at home.
Zeller is quite the dive, but he started last night and has flashed some solid potential this season. If he starts again he’s a cap saver for sure, especially if you’re aiming him and going after Westbrook.
Jefferson is clearly at value tonight, but let’s keep in mind two things: he played last night and his minutes have been kind of all over the place. The matchup is fine and he can still crush it, though, so he could be worth a shot.
Plumlee is probably facing Dwight Howard tonight, so he’ll carry some risk. That being said, he’s got double-double ability and gets around 30 minutes every night, so he’s a solid value at this price.
Kanter is an insane value from a talent and matchup perspective with The Brow likely out. Too bad he doesn’t start or even see 20+ minutes consistently. The good news is he has a fairly high usage when he is on the floor, so he’s worth considering still.
Mahinmi might be my favorite center play outside of Rudy Gobert tonight ($6.7k). Boogie is now listed at power forward, so I might just punt the position and go with Ian, who starts and sees 25+ minutes with regularity. He’s a bit erratic and can get in foul trouble but he’s facing the Sixers. So, yeah.
Hopefully these value plays help you win some cash tonight. Either way, good luck in your daily fantasy basketball games on Wednesday!
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