Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Buys at DraftKings For 2/19
We missed out on Big NBA Wednesday this week thanks to the NBA All-Star break (it lasted for a thousand years!), but daily fantasy basketball finally returns with the strength of Thor on Friday night.
It just feels super, is what I’m driving at. One look at the rich 14-game slate and you’ll likely agree, but these are dangerous waters we’re pushing off into, as GPP tourneys could end up being a literal nightmare when it’s all said and done.
I’m still personally diving into the GPP seas tonight, but I also encourage you to do many a 50/50 game and maybe even break the slate down with some Turbo entries if you’re up for it. Regardless of what you end up doing, you’re going to need/want some quality value picks. Here are our favorite ones over at DraftKings for tonight:
PG: Deron Williams – Mavs ($5.9k), Emmanuel Mudiay – Nuggets ($5.8k), Goran Dragic – Heat ($5.7k), Elfrid Payton – Magic ($5.5k) and D’Angelo Russell – Lakers ($4.6k)
D-Will has come back to life lately with two straight games of 30+ fantasy points, so he’s mildly trustworthy tonight with a nice matchup against the Magic. He’s a good price and can get you between 30-40 fantasy points anytime out, so he’s worth a shot.
Mudiay is less reliable but probably has a similar ceiling in an up-tempo matchup with the Kings. Sacramento and Denver both push the pace and the Kings give up a ridiculous 109 points per game, so it’s tough not to like Mudiay if he can just avoid an awful shooting night.
The Dragon could be unleashed in a big way tonight, as both Chris Bosh and Hassan Whiteside are out and Dwyane Wade is questionable to play (knee). Dragic is probably worth a shot at this cheap price either way.
Payton may start getting minutes stolen from him if Brandon Jennings gets a big role now that he’s in Orlando, but his job should be safe for the moment. His run and production have both been sick lately, as he’s topped at least 30 fantasy points in three straight contests. I think he’s a fun contrarian play at a very low price tonight.
Russell is still coming off the bench but that’s fine since he is in line for extra run when the Lakers end up getting smoked by the Spurs. Russell actually has averaged around 30 fantasy points against San Antonio in three prior meetings, so he’s a pretty decent dive and closes the slate in the final game of the night.
SG: Kobe Bryant – Lakers ($6k), Will Barton – Nuggets ($5.5k), Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.4k), Zach Lavine – Wolves ($5.3k), Wesley Matthews – Mavs ($4.4k) and Kyle Korver – Hawks ($4.2k)
The Black Mamba will battle Tim Duncan literally for the last time ever, so provided Kawhi Leonard isn’t around to face guard him, he’ll be in play at a solid price. Kobe has had a week to rest up and while he can fall flat anytime out, he usually gets about 33 minutes and 20 shots, so on sheer volume alone he’s to be considered.
Barton could be a total miss but with Randy Foye gone (traded) more minutes could be opening up at the two spot in Denver. Hopefully that gets Barton closer to 30 minutes off the bench and with his scoring potential, that could be a big deal. His up-tempo matchup with the Kings is quite appealing tonight.
Fournier is on a hot run with 30+ fantasy points in each of his last four games and now Tobias Harris is gone. His role and production should stay the same but definitely keep tabs on how Ersan Ilyasova ends up impacting Orlando’s rotation.
Lavine was the man at the All-Star break, as he won back to back dunk titles. The Wolves are probably on the outs with Kevin Martin and Tayshaun Prince’s role is starting to shrink, so Lavine is going to be in play down the stretch. I’m a little gun shy on him tonight, but he still could crush his price tag.
Matthews and Korver just have big roles and can get hot from outside. I don’t trust either, but both are dirt cheap and could easily pay off.
SF: Robert Covington – 76ers ($5.9k), Jae Crowder – Celtics ($5.7k), Luol Deng – Heat ($4.7k) and Mirza Teletovic – Suns ($4k)
I really don’t live Covey’s volatile nature, but he’s hit the floor for well over 30 minutes in his last two games and even blew up for 48 fantasy points his last time out. He gets his hands in a lot of categories and in a fast-paced showdown with the Pelicans, could be quite busy on both ends. I don’t trust him, but the value and upside are both there for the taking.
Crowder is just a role guy who is typically safe. I don’t know if I expect him to top 30 fantasy points every time out, but he’s usually going to get you something close to 25-30. I’d be fine with that at this price, although there is some really good value at SF above our $6k price threshold.
Deng could be pretty active if the Heat deploy small ball and run him more at the four spot. He should take on more of a scoring role with Miami down their top two bigs and if Dwyane Wade sits he’d be a lock for 25-30 fantasy points.
Fearza is one of my favorite plays of the night, as he was already seeing about 20 minutes off the bench and the recent Markieff Morris trade really opens things up in Phoenix. Either he or Jon Leuer will start, but both should see good run and have some extra scoring opportunities. I prefer Mirza just because he’s a little more explosive with his outside shooting.
PF: Dirk Nowitzki – Mavs ($6k), Aaron Gordon – Magic ($6k), Kenneth Faried – Nuggets ($5.9k), Serge Ibaka – Thunder ($5.5k), Bobby Portis – Bulls ($4.5k), Amar’e Stoudemire – Heat ($4.2k) and Jon Leuer – Suns ($4k)
Dirk is pretty steady right now with 37+ minutes in each of his last two contests. He doesn’t need to be run into the ground to pay off, though, as he’s scoring at a good rate and provides value based on his price. He should be fine in a favorable matchup with the Magic.
The same goes for Aaron Gordon, who is doing a good job meeting value even when his erratic jumper isn’t falling. He just does a ton and has enormous upside. The only issue with him is what kind of a hit Ersan Ilyasova will deliver his run. Keep an eye on that.
Ibaka is very hit or miss but paid off in a big way in his last game and continues to get really nice run. He’s just a good price for a guy who is out there for most of the game and can easily go nuts with blocks and/or rebounds.
Portis has shown well lately and is still really cheap. He handed out a solid 28 fantasy points last night and could do so again. Injuries have Chicago badly needing his scoring and energy.
STAT should start tonight with both Chris Bosh and Hassan Whiteside out. That should have him chasing around 25 minutes, if not more, en route to a solid 25-30 fantasy point outing. I wouldn’t be shocked if he was highly owned and he could grab a lot of rebounds against a really bad rebounding Hawks team.
Leuer was touched on with Fearza and he obviously has about he same value, as he’s the same price. Whoever starts will have the mild leg up here, but both are in play in a fast-paced showdown with the Rockets.
C: Jonas Valanciunas – Raptors ($6k), Zaza Pachulia – Mavs ($5.6k), Robin Lopez – Knicks ($5.2k) and Andrew Bogut – Warriors ($4.4k)
Jonas V still isn’t even playing 30 minutes consistently but he still has a role and is a nightly double-double threat. Against a Bulls team that just isn’t defending these days, he’s in play and could be pretty contrarian.
Pachulia is back to logging heavy minutes and while it hasn’t seen him blow up yet, I’m back on him for tonight. Orlando is a good matchup for him and he’ll be needed to defend Nikola Vucevic down low.
Lopez is hit or miss but he’ll be needed tonight to stop his brother, Brook. He can score and rebound and he loves to shutdown his bro, so tonight could be an interesting spot to use him.
Lastly, you have Bogut, who dominated two games ago with a nice 40+ fantasy point outing. His run and production can be all over the place but tonight’s matchup with the Blazers isn’t bad and he’s quite cheap for what he can do on the glass and with blocks when he’s cooking.
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