Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Buys For Wednesday Night
The 2015-16 NBA season draws to a close on Wednesday night, offering up one last shot at a full night of daily fantasy basketball action.
Big NBA Wednesday makes its last appearance in it’s truest form tonight, but we certainly need to come with more focus than ever. One huge reason is because of the enormous slate (14 games with 28 of the league’s 30 teams in play), but also because of so many inactives.
There are a ton of non-playoff teams that have already or will continue to shut down star players, and there are also playoff bound teams that have nothing to gain in their finale by forcing their studs out onto the floor.
The Golden State Warriors are the chief exception, as they’re very likely to play their starters as long as it takes as they aim for an NBA record 73 wins. A lot of other teams are also still putting the finishing touches on their exact seeding, while the Heat and Hawks are both trying to claim the Southeast Division title.
The main teams with something to play for are the Warriors, Hornets, Heat, Hawks, Celtics, Blazers, Mavs, Rockets and potentially the Jazz.
Utah is going to be a key spot to keep an eye on, as they’re out of the playoffs if Houston beats the Kings. That could have them playing less than spirited ball or even sitting their star players. In that same game is Kobe Bryant, who will end his career in front of his home crowd at the Staples Center.
Best Value Plays
Needless to say, any of the guys/teams mentioned are among the safer plays in DFS action tonight. Of course, with a lot of stars resting from the Raptors, Spurs, Cavs and other teams, the door opens quite a bit for a lot of value to leak out. Join us as we capture some of that value (all players listed priced at $6k or lower at DraftKings) to help you prepare for a wild Wednesday night:
PG: Tim Frazier – Pelicans ($5.9k), Elfrid Payton – Magic ($5.8k), Toney Douglas – Pelicans ($5.5k), Shelvin Mack – Jazz ($5.4k), Ramon Sessions – Wizards ($5.2k), Seth Curry – Kings ($5k), Jordan Clarkson – Lakers ($4.6k) and Matthew Dellevadova – Cavs ($3.4k)
Depending on how rosters shake out, you can also consider guys like Cory Joseph, Andre Miller, Patty Mills and even Pablo Prigioni. However, as cheap as those guys are, they’re really not very stable and with so many elites out or limited, dives like that may not be overly necessary tonight – at least not at point guard.
Still, there is good value to be had and Frazier, Douglas, Sessions and Curry are the top plays here. Payton, Mack and Clarkson can all be fine choices, but they’re pretty erratic and can be tough to trust.
Frazier and Douglas are pretty much all the Pelicans have, and they should get into a fun, up-tempo shootout with Minnesota tonight. I like them both to top 30+ fantasy points and the same goes for Sessions and Curry. The Kings could pull the rug out from under us and sit Curry (who has been awesome) in an effort to tank, but if they’re smart they’ll give him another game so they can gauge if they want him back in a big role next year.
Curry has all of the upside you want from a DFS value play, as he can hit the outside shot and score in bunches in general, plus he can run an offense and adds flare with flashy passing. Hitting on 20 points and 15 dimes in his last game about says it all.
Sessions continues to run Washington’s offense with John Wall shut down, and he’s been simply masterful. He’s right there with Curry in terms of scoring and assist numbers, so pairing the two of them isn’t a bad idea if you’re looking to save up for James Harden or Seth’s brother.
SG: Zach Lavine – Timberwolves ($5.5k), Rodney Hood – Jazz ($5.3k), Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.1k), Kobe Bryant – Lakers ($5k), Will Barton – Nuggets ($4.6k), Norman Powell – Raptors ($4k), Mario Hezonja – Magic ($3.5k) and Austin Rivers – Clippers ($3.4k)
Lavine heads out list but is not nearly as reliable as some of the other options due to his minutes taking a bit of a dip. He still has a good matchup and is capable of blowing up, however, so he could make for a fine GPP play. The same goes for Hood, Fournier, Barton or Hezonja.
Hood may have a lot to play for to close the night in a dream date with the Lakers, Fournier and Hezonja both have bigger roles with Victor Oladipo out and Barton has a revenge date with his former team (Blazers). Barton might be the most interesting GPP play of the group due to his sheer upside as a scorer.
Of course, few can touch on the upside of Kobe Bryant, who will play his last game as a Laker. He’ll probably be run into the ground in his final game and even though the matchup with Utah isn’t ideal, the minutes, shots and price all make him a fun, if not nostalgic play.
We can’t ignore Powell or Rivers, either. The Raptors and Clippers should both be resting all of their main players, thrusting both of these guys into huge roles. Rivers is easier to trust of the two, of course, as he has a very positive matchup with the Suns, can run L.A.’s offense and is cheaper. He also wrecked against the Thunder a week ago, so there is plenty of reason to roll with him tonight.
SF: Mirza Teletovic – Suns ($5.9k), Luke Babbitt – Pelicans ($5.3k), Kent Bazemore – Hawks ($5.1k), Jeff Green – Clippers ($3.7k), Solomon Hill – Pacers ($3.5k) and Kyle Anderson – Spurs ($3.5k)
Fearza is red hot these days (22+ points scored in 5 of last 6 games) so as long as Tyson Chandler remains out, he should continue to get major run and put up a ton of shots. He’s probably still in play regardless, but if Chandler suits up he might be a little more contrarian.
Babs is hit or miss overall, but as a scorer he’s getting the job done (14+ points scored in 8 of last 10 games). A date with the Timberwolves shouldn’t scare you away, as he’ll get quality run and should get you close to 30 fantasy points, if not much more.
Bazemore and the rest of the Hawks should be fighting hard tonight, as they still have a shot at winning a division title and the #3 seed in the East. He just got done dropping 43 fantasy points on the Cavs, so he represents solid value in a spot where he’ll be needed.
Green and Anderson are throw-in options based on price and role. They’ll both play a good amount with the Clippers and Spurs resting guys, but they’re incredibly shaky and tough to trust. Green probably has the ceiling here, while Anderson has the better floor.
The play of the night at SF may actually end up being Solomon Hill. Paul George is likely out and Indiana may sit other key players in general. C.J. Miles is also out, too, so Hill could continue to see major run. He’s taken advantage of an expanded role lately, putting up at least 23 fantasy points in each of his last four games. He should fly somewhat under the radar with so many cheap plays on the table tonight, potentially making him a bit contrarian, as well.
PF: Dirk Nowitzki – Mavs ($5.7k), Nikola Mirotic – Bulls ($5.6k), Nemanja Bjelica – Timberwolves ($4k), Bobby Portis – Bulls ($3.8k) and Channing Frye – Cavs ($3.6k)
Dirk Nowitzki could be a very fun play at home against a depleted Spurs team – if he play. Dallas has already clinched a playoff spot, but they can still improve their seeding with a win and a Portland loss. That could drive Nowitzki to go hard tonight and if he’s active, that price is absurd.
Bjelica and Portis both feel like throw-ins as they’re going to get good run. Bjelica has been playing well and getting solid minutes, so that’s unlikely to randomly change tonight. Portis is oddly the shakier play, but he’ll get good run with the Bulls down two of their best big men.
Mirotic is the Bull you’ll want to target, as he should see 30+ minutes in the starting five and offers outside shooting and some rebounding. Chicago needs scoring, so he should be quite active in an extremely positive matchup at home against the 76ers.
Frye should get the starting nod with Kevin Love and the rest of the main Cleveland starters out. Frye can hit the outside shot and rack up rebounds at times, plus tonight he’ll get good run with so many guys out. He has a real shot at 30+ fantasy points tonight and is probably the top pure value play at the position. The position is also very weak with so many injuries and players resting, so taking a dive here is encouraged.
C: Alex Len – Suns ($5.6k), Nikola Jokic – Nuggets ($5.3k), Willie Cauley-Stein – Kings ($5.1k), Cole Aldrich – Clippers ($4.2k) and Cristiano Felicio – Bulls ($3.5k)
Tyson Chandler is probably out again tonight and with a ton of stud centers out, you’ll probably want to save here. Len is a good starting point, as he had a strong double-double last time out and has a good matchup against the Clippers. Staying in that game, Cole Aldrich will get the starting nod with DeAndre Jordan out and he was a total monster (50+ fantasy points) the last time he started.
Jokic is very cheap given his upside at the moment, so he’s definitely in play in a positive throwdown with Portland. You can’t forget about Trill, either, as he gets a date with a bad Houston defense and Boogie isn’t around to eat up minutes or touches. Felicio is more of a throw-in, but he’s insanely cheap and is starting with Pau Gasol done for the year.
The top center play is going to be Aldrich, simply when you look at past success in a big role, combined with matchup and price.
Overall, tonight is insane for daily fantasy basketball, so we can see why some may just sit it out and wait for the playoffs. If you really look at roles and matchups, though, you should be able to build an amazing team around two of the best studs – Stephen Curry and James Harden.
Let us know how it works out for you tonight, and as always, good luck in your daily fantasy basketball leagues!
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