Raphael Assuncao Underdog Against Ricky Simon at UFC Fight Night 199

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  • Raphael Assuncao has opened as the +180 betting underdog against Ricky Simon.
  • Simon, who has won three straight bouts, is the -210 odds on favorite to beat Assuncao.
  • Assuncao has dropped three fight in a row, including a buzzer-beater knockout loss to Cody Garbrandt in his most recent fight.

Raphael Assuncao has a tough task ahead as he looks to end the longest skid of his MMA career next month.

The UFC’s no. 12 ranked bantamweight has opened as the +180 betting underdog against Ricky Simon who hit the boards at -210 at the best UFC sportsbooks on Wednesday.

Buzzer-Beater Knockout

Assuncao has not fought since he was face-planted by former bantamweight champion Cody Garbrandt in a buzzer-beater knockout at the co-main event of UFC 250 back in June 2020. The loss was Assuncao’s third straight, marking the longest losing streak of his MMA career. Prior to his current skid, the last time the Brazilian lost two straight fights was in 2010 when he was still fighting for the WEC.

The 39-year old has been fighting since 2004 and was among the WEC holdovers during tit merger with the UFC. His 11 wins at bantamweight are tied for 2nd most in the history of the division. Assuncao won his first seven UFC bouts before suffering his first UFC loss to T.J. Dillashaw at UFC 200. He then won four straight bouts, including a win over current bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling before his current skid.

This marks the fourth straight bout where Assuncao has been listed as the betting underdog. He was a +225 when he was submitted by Marlon Moraes, a +220 when he was outpointed by Cory Sandhagen, and a slight +125 bottom dog when he was stopped by Garbrandt. Overall, Assuncao closed as the underdog in all of his five UFC losses.

Simon Outworks Kelleher

Ricky Simon meanwhile, is coming off a unanimous decision win over Brian Kelleher at UFC 258 last February. Simon outworked Kelleher with a wrestling-heavy offense to take the victory on points. The victory was the third in a row for Simon who lost back-to-back fights against Urijah Faber and Rob Font in 2019.

A former LFA bantamweight champion, the Pendleton, Oregon native started his career at Main Event MMA before moving on to fight for promotions like FCFF, KOTC, Titan FC, and LFA. He earned a split decision win over Donovan Frelow at the Contender Series 5 but did not earn a UFC contract. He returned to LFA where he became champion and finally got access to the UFC.

Simon has been favored in all but two of his UFC appearances. The only times he saw the plus money sign next to his name was when he defeated Montel Jackson as the +110 bottom dog at UFC 227 in 2018. He was also the +130 betting underdog when he lost on points to Rob Font in the Fight of the Night winner at UFC on ESPN in December 2019.

Shane Acedera

Shane has been writing sports stories since 2015 and has published hundreds of online sports articles. A retired banker, he juggles his day as his wife Rocelle's driver, a furdad to three Golden Retrievers named Horry, Fisher, and Ranger, and a content writer here at GamblingSites.ORG. ...

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