Super Bowl XLVIII: You Can Bet on That?
We’re six days away from what should be one of the more interesting Super Bowls in National Football League history. While the game itself holds a plethora of betting options (and we’ll get to that later this week), what makes the Super Bowl unique in gambling circles is the array of proposition (or “prop”) bets that can be made on the game. As we warm up to the actual prediction of the winner later this week (remember, we were eight games over .500 in picking EVERY GAME this last season with nine pushes), let’s take a look at some of these unique wagers and see if we can make some extra bucks through knowing something other than sports (lines courtesy of Bovada.lv, but you can probably find them on any online sports betting site or in Las Vegas)!
Prop Bet #1: Will it snow during the game?
Betting Line: Yes (+200) – No (-300)
As a quick refresher, the above bets mean that, if you bet $100 on “yes” and it does snow, you would win another $200 for a $300 windfall. You would have to lay $300 on “no” to win $100 for a $400 total win.
When the NFL decided to put Super Bowl XLVIII in the Meadowlands in New Jersey, they obviously didn’t consult a meteorologist prior to the decision. Not only is the average temperatures for that time of year in the mid-to-low 30s, but snow is a constant coming off the Atlantic Ocean. At Bovada, they designate that it has to snow at any point during the game (kickoff to final whistle) to determine the outcome.
Looking at the forecast for Sunday in New Jersey, there is a 10% chance at the start of the game that there will be snow. That percentage goes up significantly throughout the game, however, so the best bet on this prop bet would be to take “yes.” Considering this winter in the U. S., however, that line seems way off to me!
Another weather prop bet: the over/under on the temperature. Currently at Bovada, both over 32° and under are at -120, so you stay away from this one. The lowest temperature during the game O/U is 28°, with even money on under and -140 on the over. Take the under there.
Prop Bet #2: The National Anthem
Betting Line: Over 2.5 minutes (Even) – Under 2.5 minutes (-140)
Knowing the propensity for the vocalists at the Super Bowl to embellish their performances, this seems easy. Add in the fact that Renee Fleming, an operatic soprano, has been chosen for the honors this year and it seems even easier. Bovada, however, has thrown in a couple of caveats; it goes from the first note she sings until the first time she ends the National Anthem with “brave,” no matter if she says “brave” again or not. This is another bet that doesn’t have any real “win” rate to it (if you go over, you get even money back, you have to bet $140 to win $100 on the under), so stay away from it. For fun and games, though, some of Ms. Fleming’s cohorts may want to time her next rehearsal!
Prop Bet #3: The Manning Family
With Peyton Manning helming the Denver Broncos, it is obvious that his father Archie and brother Eli will be there for the game and should get some television time. Bovada has set that only live pictures will count, no taped pictures or past video is counted in this one.
For Archie, the O/U has been set at 1 (with the over -160 and the under +120) and it will almost be too easy to take the over here. For Eli, the O/U has been set at 1.5 (got to love odds makers!), with the over at -140 and the under at even money. Unless he’s sitting right beside Archie, I’d take the under here as the cameras of Fox Sports will be more trained on Dad than little brother, even if he is a two-time Super Bowl champion.
Prop Bet #4: Manning’s Love of Kansas
Much was made about Peyton Manning’s play checking during the playoffs by shouting “OMAHA!” at the line of scrimmage. Bovada has set a line on the Super Bowl for Manning’s shout-out to Kansas, with the O/U set at 27.5. This might be a spot to make some money as you get a good return on both sides (over -130, under -110). If you hedge the bet and go both ways, you’re guaranteed to get something positive out of the wager. Considering that he called out one of Kansas’ major metropolis’ 22 times in the AFC title game (yes, someone counted), take the under if you want one bet.
Prop Bet #5: The Doobie Bowl?
Betting Line: Yes (+400) – No (-700)
Much has been made (jokingly, of course) about both teams being from states that decriminalized marijuana last year being a factor in the game. Of course this is ridiculous…these are HIGHLY TRAINED ATHLETES, for crying out loud! Still, Bovada has set a line on this and it is too easy to take the “Yes” bet. Also, with the game being broadcast on Fox (and the NFL’s drug policy), don’t think that the network (or the league) is going to be promoting this factor much. Stay away from this bet but, if you want to take one over the other, I’d go with “No.”
Prop Bet #6: The Halftime Show
There are a slew of things that can be wagered on here, so here’s a quick list of the wagers to take. Halftime performer Bruno Mars will start the set with “Locked Out of Heaven” (even money) while wearing a fedora (-160). His co-stars for the halftime show, the Red Hot Chili Peppers, will have at least one member without a shirt (even money and bet on RHCP’s Flea to be shirtless) and the halftime show will not beat the record (Madonna’s 2012 halftime show drew in 114 million viewers, -300).
Prop Bet #7: The Game Is Over
Once again, we’ll go quickly here. If the Broncos win, do you really think they’ll dump a cold bucket of Gatorade over head coach John Fox’s head, considering the man sat out a month of the season due to heart problems? Unfortunately, Bovada doesn’t give odds on that, so let’s go with orange (3/1). If the Seahawks win, you can guarantee it will be green (10/1).
Super Bowl XLVIII will have over 112 million viewers (-140 versus even money on under) but, because of the assortment of television options, will score under a 47.5 Nielsen rating (both over and under are at -120, a stay away bet). Finally, expect the Broncos to score more points in the first half than Team USA will win gold medals at the upcoming Winter Olympics (-150 and, if you think that Team USA will have more golds than Bronco points, you can bet that side for +120).
This only scratches the surface as to the prop betting options on just one website! Take a look around, see if you can get a better price online (or perhaps live), but just know that, with the Super Bowl, betting on anything is fair game!
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