Top Bargain Buys in Daily Fantasy Basketball For 3/16
Big NBA Wednesday returns with a healthy 9-game slate of NBA action, which could set us up for a glorious run in daily fantasy basketball.
There is much to get excited about, as the stars are all coming out, with James Harden, Russell Westbrook, DeMarcus Cousins, Anthony Davis, Stephen Curry and more hitting the hardwood tonight.
If you want to take down some big GPPs, you’ll probably have to find a way to roster one (or two) of those guys. The best way to do that is to stock up on some solid value. Let’s see who the best plays are at DraftKings tonight at $6k and cheaper:
PG: Jeff Teague – Hawks ($5.8k), Deron Williams – Mavs ($5.2k), Darren Collison – Kings ($5.2k), Toney Douglas – Pelicans ($4.8k), Brandon Jennings – Magic ($3.7k) and Briante Weber – Grizzlies ($3.3k)
Teague’s run has been inconsistent and he has disappointed in spots, but if he can get close to 30 minutes, he’s a terrific value tonight. Going up against the Pistons on the road isn’t necessarily ideal, but in two games this year he’s averaged 37 fantasy points per game against them.
D-Will remains a solid value as his price continues to drop. He’s not a lock for even 30 fantasy points anymore, but he still has that potential thanks to a good role and solid offensive ability. Kyrie Irving can’t guard worth a lick, so Williams is certainly in play tonight against the Cavs.
Collison has been starting at shooting guard, getting good run and producing, so as long as he’s this cheap, he’s in play. A very soft matchup tonight against the Pellies makes him a fun GPP try.
Douglas goes up against Collison’s Kings and could be an equally good play if Norris Cole is out. Douglas is notably shakier, but the Kings also play no defense and you may want as much exposure to this clash as you can get.
Jennings is another guy probably dependent on health around him, as he wrecked last night with C.J. Watson and Elfrid Payton both banged up. If either can’t go tonight, Jennings could be in line to start and crush his price tag again.
Weber is worth considering if Lance Stephenson is out, as he’d be starting and would be asked to run the offense quite a bit. Weber has proven to be a horrific shooter in three games with Memphis, but he does collect stats and is getting good run. Against Minnesota at home, he’d be a low risk play at this price.
SG: Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.9k), Zach Lavine – Timberwolves ($5.9k), Evan Turner – Celtics ($5.7k), J.J. Redick – Clippers ($4.8k) and Kyle Korver – Hawks ($3.9k)
Fournier is easily the top value play at shooting guard, which happens to be an erratic position in general and one with just one true stud tonight (Harden). Fournier is coming off a career-high 30-point outing and has a big role as a starter with Orlando, so given his price, he brings a solid combination of safety and upside to the table. The story is similar with Lavine, who is the same price and has a fine matchup with Memphis tonight.
Turner can save you a little extra money and has a solid role with jae Crowder out for now. He disappointed last night but has otherwise been solid, dropping in 34+ fantasy points in three out of his last five contests.
Redick is getting cheaper by the day and continues to be an effective scorer for the Clippers. He doesn’t do much else but make buckets, but he can easily score 16-22 points on any given night. Tonight’s date with the Rockets, who he’s torched for 33 fantasy points per game in three previous contests, could do the trick.
Korver is all name for the most part, but like Redick, he gets decent run and can get hot from outside. He has 23 and 34 fantasy points in his last two games, and if he can meet somewhere in the middle, he’d easily return solid value.
SF: Matt Barnes – Grizzlies ($5.8k), Trevor Ariza – Rockets ($5.7k), Lance Stephenson – Grizzlies ($5.5k), Marcus Morris – Pistons ($5.1k), Jeff Green – Clippers ($4.5k), Otto Porter – Wizards ($4.5k), Luke Babbitt – Pelicans ($3.9k) and Doug McDermott – Bulls ($3.7k)
It only takes one glance at Barnes’ game logs to see his utter downside and ridiculous upside. That has a lot to do with Memphis being down their main three stars, and also Barnes can be decent when he gets cooking. His insane 65-point fantasy outing won’t happen again, but he can shoot outside and add a bunch of defensive stats if he’s on. He probably needs Lance Stephenson out to really thrive, but he’s going to be in play as long as Zach Randolph sits (he’s out again tonight), as Memphis is running a ton of small ball right now.
Ariza is worth a cursory glance, simply because he can get hot from outside and he can also help with rebounds and steals (big time). If he can just score a bit, he could be in for a solid night against a Clippers team that doesn’t really lock up small forwards.
Speaking of Lance, he’s questionable again tonight, but if active he should be in for a huge role. He can run the offense and attack as a scorer, while he also rebounds well and can rack up defensive stats in general. He has 33+ fantasy points in three of his last four games, and we can’t ignore that.
I love the value of Marcus Morris, who gets a Hawks team he’s obliterated this year (36 fantasy points per game in two meetings). He’s at home, gets good run and Atlanta can’t rebound, so he’s very much in play.
Jeff Green needs to be mentioned just because he has a solid role and is facing a bad Houston defense. He can blow up at any point, too, so he could be GPP worthy based purely on upside; he’s also a solid price. The same goes for Otto Porter, who is probably the safer play of the two and could torch a Chicago defense that is horrid against small forwards. Jimmy Butler will be more worried about Brad Beal (although he’s questionable), so Porter could get loose for some easy buckets. May Mike Dunleavy’s soul rest in peace.
If you’re in the mood for the dive to end all dives, consider Luke Babbitt or Dougie Buckets. Babs has been on a mini roll lately, suddenly getting good run and chipping in 24+ fantasy points in his last two outings. New Orleans is ravaged by injuries and they need all the offense they can get, plus he gets the Kangz. Buckets probably isn’t dropping 29 points again and Dunleavy returns from the grave tonight, but hey, the kid can stroke it and he’s cheap.
PF: JaMychael Green – Grizzlies ($6k), Kristaps Porzingis – Knicks ($6k), Gorgui Dieng – Timberwolves ($5.9k), Marvin Williams – Hornets ($5.8k), Serge Ibaka – Thunder ($5.5k), Nikola Mirotic – Bulls ($5k), Taj Gibson – Bulls ($4.9k) and Jason Smith – Magic ($3.9k)
Green has flat-lined the last two games after looking like a revelation for a second there. He is still a double-double threat as long as Z-Bo is out, and simply needs to not have the Grizz get murdered before he has a chance to meet value. I think he’s an OK play against Minnesota tonight, so look for a mild bounce back.
Zinger is here on name alone, as Kurt Rambis has normally refused to hand him starter minutes and he’s also on the road against the Warriors. He did erupt last game to show signs of life and his upside can be off the charts – which is why he’s on our list – but keep in mind a blowout loss could cap him considerably here.
Dieng is a pretty good value right now, as his run and production are fairly reliable and a date with a team that keeps calling itself the Grizzlies could be quite favorable. He’s a double-double threat for sure in this matchup, while it’s worth pointing out he’s blocked at least two shots in each of his last six games.
Marv gets the Magic at home and there’s not much to hate there, as he’s hung a solid 29 fantasy points on them per game in three meetings this season. His role is a lot bigger now than it had been previously, so I think his ceiling can lift a bit. I wouldn’t be shocked to see 35 fantasy points out of him tonight. The same goes for Ibaka, who was really on a role last game before OKC crushed Portland into fine dust. He could destroy Boston’s frontcourt and after dropping 36 fantasy points on them early this year (keep in mind, no KD), we have evidence to support that notion.
I’m digging the Bulls bigs again, as Pau Gasol is still out and the Wizards have big men that can be a handful. That should make for a lot of run for both of these guys, but of the two I tend to lean toward Mirotic. Not only can he shoot from outside, but he’s in general the better scorer and should have the ball in his hands a decent amount. He’s a borderline must-play option if Derrick Rose is out again.
Jason Smith can’t be ignored, either, as he went nuts last night with 25 points and 13 rebounds. That can’t happen again, but in a different dimension where WE are all the pets, but I do think at this price he can return enough value. He’s not safe, but he’s surely worth the gamble in a GPP if Nikola Vucevic remains out.
C: Jared Sullinger – Celtics ($6k), Robin Lopez – Knicks ($5.9k), Enes Kanter – Thunder ($4.8k), Al Jefferson – Hornets ($4.6k) and Willie Cauley-Stein – Kings ($3.6k)
I’m not sure how he’s doing it, but Sully has been going nuts with 37+ fantasy points in four of his last seven games. He’s done it in the face of tough matchups, too, as Dwight Howard, Ian Mahinmi and Cleveland’s strong interior didn’t have an answer for him. Will he continue to defy all logic and dominate Stevan Adams and Serge Ibaka? Probably, just cuz. If so, you’re getting a killer bargain.
Lopez can be hit or miss and the Knicks could easily get housed in Golden State tonight, but Kurt Rambis loves giving him run and he does tend to produce. He could be an utter failure tonight, but chances are if he somehow tops 30 minutes he’s going to pay off.
Kanter and Jefferson are throw-ins for different reasons. Kanter has been killing lately and benefiting from some blowouts, but it will be interesting to see if that can continue against a good Boston squad. Three straight games of 33+ fantasy points is tough to leave in the player pool, though. Jefferson hasn’t been hot, but he’s still a good player who can get up to 30 minutes in the right situation. if Nikola Vucevic is out again tonight, that’s the right situation.
Trill is our last pick at center, as he’s back in Sacramento’s starting lineup and has been decent in his last two games. He can shoot for a double-double any time out and the run is going to be right around 27-32 minutes. In a high-scoring date with the Pelicans, this is a good spot to take a shot at his $3.6k salary.
Got some value buys of your own or a success story from a past value buys column? Let us hear about them/it in the comments below!
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