Top Daily Fantasy Basketball Bargain Buys For 3/21
Monday could be massive in Daily Fantasy Basketball at DraftKings tonight, as the perfect GPP squad could take home an insane $100k cash prize.
The best route to money like that is, well, perfection, but some stellar value plays certainly play a helping hand. If you’re looking for an extra edge for tonight’s action, be sure to check out our favorite bargain plays at or under $6k. Injuries could very well open the door to even more, but even early in the day there are already a litany of solid value plays to consider.
Let’s get to it:
PG: Jeff Teague – Hawks ($5.9k), Derrick Rose – Bulls ($5.8k), Darren Collison – Kings ($5.2k), George Hill – Pacers ($4.8k) and Marcus Smart – Celtics ($4.3k)
There is a ton of value at point guard tonight, so you could use a trifecta of really well-priced lead guards, or use 1-2 to help pay up for Stephen Curry and/or some other elite options.
Teague isn’t a bad place to start, as he’s at home in a fast-paced matchup with John Wall and the Wiz. His minutes are somewhat capped, but he dropped 34 fantasy points on Washington last time and is at home, where he puts up 30 fantasy points per game on the year.
I also like Rose (more if Pau Gasol remains out), as he’s a very good price, has been playing pretty well and gets an awful Kings defense at the United Center. He wrecked them last time (albeit without Jimmy Butler), but he could easily deliver a strong line again.
Collison is in that same game and continues to get heavy run due to injuries and poor play behind him. He might have Jimmy Butler on him, but he’s a good value and carries some upside in a potential shootout.
Hill and Smart are your money-savers, as Hill gets good run and just went nuts against the Thunder. Indy could demolish the Sixers tonight, but perhaps he’s part of the reason why. He’s a low-risk cash and GPP option at just $4.8k.
Smart is even cheaper and could be just as fun, as he traditionally fares well against Orlando and will be at home. Jae Crowder remains out, so he should be looking at 26-32 minutes and some extra shots.
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Pistons ($5.8k), Evan Turner – Celtics ($5.7k), Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.5k), Will Barton – Nuggets ($5.2k), Avery Bradley – Celtics ($5k), Kyle Korver – Hawks ($4.1k) and Nik Stauskas – 76ers ($4.1k)
I’m not enamored with KCP tonight, but he’s the first guy priced below $6k and the Bucks are not a tough matchup – especially at home in Detroit. He hasn’t done great against them, but he’s scored 20+ points in two of his last three games and plays almost 40 minutes a game.
Turner has benefited greatly from the Jae Crowder injury, and actually crushed last night (37 fantasy points in 35 minutes). Boston does balance things out and it’s tough to trust him in two straight games, but he’s also facing Orlando at TD Garden. It’s a pretty good spot to give him a try. You can also enjoy the same logic with Avery Bradley, who also wrecked last night (41 fantasy points) and is $700 cheaper.
In that same matchup you’ll find Evan Fournier, who is adept at scoring 17-23 points on a nightly basis and is also a good price. He has been pretty “meh” against the Celtics, but perhaps that makes him a little contrarian in what could be a pretty fast-paced matchup.
Barton is another contrarian play, as people are really starting to sour on him after failing to take over with Danilo Gallinari going down. That may not matter tonight, though, as the Nuggets should get beat by Cleveland. If it’s bad enough, he should see a ton of run off the bench. It’s also worth noting that he destroyed the Cavs last time (43 fantasy points).
Korver and Sauce Castillo are mere throw-ins, as they’re pretty cheap and can get hot from outside. I don’t trust either of them at all, but Korver at least is at home against a fast-paced Wiz squad that gives up outside shooting production. Sauce is normally weak but he has a solid role with Covey (concussion) still out, so he’s worth a shot in big GPPs.
SF: Matt Barnes – Grizzlies ($5.8k), Jerami Grant – 76ers ($5.5k), Marcus Morris – Pistons ($5.1k), Otto Porter – Wizards ($4.9k), Harrison Barnes – Warriors ($4.2k) and Doug McDermott – Bulls ($4.1k)
Barnes returns from a one-game suspension, so he could be a great GPP play. The presence of Zach Randolph could hurt him a bit, but given how much Memphis has been rolling out small ball, he’s probably fine. Barnes is averaging 27 fantasy points per game in three meetings with the Suns, too, so he’s looking like a quality play.
You can save more cash than that, though, as Grant continues to have a good role with Robert Covington and Jahlil Okafor both out and Morris is usually good for 35+ minutes in Detroit.
The value play I’m targeting at small forward might be Otto Porter, however. He’s getting 30+ minutes per game right now and if Marcin Gortat sits, he could see an expanded role and more time on the floor. He’s also going up against a Hawks team that rebounds poorly, while he’s fared quite well against them in three games (31 fantasy points per contests).
Harrison Barnes is also cheap and gets 30+ minutes per game, while Iggy and Andrew Bogut also remain out. That solidifies his role and in a potentially up-tempo matchup with the Timberwolves, he could be in for a strong outing.
Dougie Buckets cooled off last game out and the potential return of Pau Gasol could kill his stock, altogether. That being said, he’d been ablaze and he faces an atrocious Sacramento defense. If Gasol is out, I still like Buckets as a GPP try.
PF: Jabari Parker – Bucks ($5.8k), Taj Gibson – Bulls ($5.3k), Nikola Mirotic – Bulls ($5.2k), Myles Turner – Pacers ($4.9k), Markieff Morris – Wizards ($4.8k), Tristan Thompson – Cavs ($4.5k), Darrell Arthur – Nuggets ($4.1k) and Channing Frye – Cavs ($3.6k)
Parker isn’t on the tear he was a few weeks ago, and we can thank Giannis Antetokounmpo’s amazing reign of terror for that. Still, Parker has a good role in Milwaukee and is a nightly threat for 30+ fantasy points. With 15+ points scored in 9 of his last 10 games, DFS gamers will just have to hope he can hit the boards and get involved elsewhere to crush his price tag tonight.
Keep an eye on Pau Gasol’s status, as he’s questionable to suit up tonight. His status is going to directly impact Taj Gibson and Nikola Mirotic, who are going to be awesome DFS value plays if he sits, but lose serious luster if he’s playing. Mirotic possesses the upside between the two thanks to his outside shooting, but if Pau plays, it’s Taj who will likely see more time as the main power forward.
Turner’s run is very hit or miss, but he gets Philly and is a fine GPP try. He can always blow up offensively, so as long as he’s not going up against Nerlens Noel too much, he could be a fun try. The same goes for Kieff, who continues to see decent run and could be in for a huge role if Marcin Gortat (back) sits. Morris is a threat for around 30 fantasy points on any given night, but the extra work would make him a great value play against the Hawks.
Three guys that could also benefit greatly from injuries tonight are Arthur, Thompson and Frye. Kenneth Faried has already been ruled out, possibly giving Arthur the start against Cleveland and good run, either way. He tends to be shaky, but went nuts in his last game and could be a big GPP play again. Thompson could end up starting and the five and Frye could start at the four or at least see 20+ minutes should Kevin Love (back) end up sitting this one out.
C: Nikola Jokic – Nuggets ($6k), Greg Monroe – Bucks ($5.6k), Jared Sullinger – Celtics ($5.5k), Tyson Chandler – Suns ($5k), Ian Mahinmi – Pacers ($4.8k) and Joffrey Lauvergne – Nuggets ($3.3k)
Let’s be clear, a date with Cleveland’s bigs is not an ideal situation for Jokic, but due to his explosive nature and ability to dabble in a little bit of everything, he’s a fine GPP try. Denver is probably getting trounced, though, so this is not the safest of plays based on price.
Moose has been rather sacky and his minutes have been shaky, but he gets a shot at his old team (Pistons) tonight, and a little revenge could be in order. I like his price and the revenge narrative, but there is clear risk in him, restricting him to GPP plays only.
Sully is in play across the board, as he get a soft matchup with the Magic and just went nuts on the Sixers last night. Boston’s bigs getting healthy can complicate things, but he’s a good price and remains highly efficient despite rarely seeing 30+ minutes on the floor.
Chandler is a fine try in cash or GPP just because Memphis doesn’t have anyone to dominate him down low and he can rebound and block for days. He’s stepped up with 35+ fantasy points in three of his last four games and the only real concern is his lack of offense.
Mahinmi is a tourney play and even with big run can go full spare, but facing the Sixers tends out to bring the beast out in people. He can rebound and score, so hopefully he can close in on a double-double tonight. Anything around 28-32 fantasy points would be a big win.
Last, but certainly not least, is the ultimate GPP dive in Lauvergne. As stated before, Denver is probably getting toasted tonight against the Cavs and Kenneth Faried is out anyways, so one way or another, it’s very possible Joffrey gets some good floor time. His game is similar to Jokic’s, so as long as he can get out there he could bring some solid upside to the table. At this price, 20-25 fantasy points is really all you need, too.
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