Top Daily Fantasy Football Bargain Buys For Divisional Round
There’s nothing better than a bargain in daily fantasy football. Oh, except for the bargain that actually pays off. Last week was the perfect week to take a dive down into the value bin, as Adrian Peterson was a total bum against a stiff Seahawks run defense and most of the quarterbacks left a lot to be desired in a four-game slate that produced three ugly defensive battles.
It’s the playoffs, so we could surely see something similar again this week, but there is definitely way more potential for at least a couple of shootouts this time around. Correctly gauging when and where they happen is the tough part, but we can still point you to the top value plays in daily fantasy football leagues at DraftKings for the Divisional Round:
QB: Russell Wilson – Seahawks ($6.8k), Aaron Rodgers – Packers ($6.7k), Carson Palmer – Cardinals ($6.5k) and Peyton Manning – Broncos ($6k)
Cam Newton and Tom Brady remain the best options in daily fantasy football if you are only looking at their overall production this year. If you’re looking at pricing and matchups, they lose quite a bit of luster.
I don’t think I’m into paying up at quarterback this weekend, both because of that and because there is so much value to try out. Wilson gets the ball rolling, as he had previously been on fire and I tend to think he was so bad last week because of the insanely cold weather. I expect him to be a lot better against the Panthers.
That’s still a tough road matchup Wilson has to get through, of course, so I can’t fault anyone for testing out A-Rod or Palmer in what oddly could develop into a shootout between the Cards and Packers. I like both at their price, but if you’re shooting for upside, Palmer is at home, is cheaper and clearly has the better overall matchup.
My other guy I’m seriously considering is Peyton, as he’s got a nice home playoff game against a really bad Steelers secondary. This is a pass defense Brock Osweiler dropped 30 fantasy points on just three weeks ago, so a healthy Manning with some pretty good weapons cannot be ignored. He’s also a potentially sick value at just $6k, so stacking him with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders could end up being a ton of fun.
RB: David Johnson – Cardinals ($6k), James White – Patriots ($5.2k), Christine Michael – Seahawks ($4.6k), Fitzgerald Toussaint – Steelers ($4.2k) and Ronnie Hillman – Broncos ($4.1k)
There is not going to be an obvious stud running back this week, as both Marshawn Lynch and DeAngelo Williams are probably out with injuries. Johnson pops off the board as the chalk play, yet he’s still a really nice value at just $6k. He’s at home and put up 21 fantasy points against a beatable Green Bay defense just three weeks ago, so it’d be a mild surprise if he didn’t return/top value.
Obviously with Johnson being so chalky, you may want to deviate in GPPs and go a little more contrarian. If so, White, Michael, Toussaint and Hillman are all decent tries. White is a PPR guy that is quite involved in what the Pats do, while Michael and Toussaint are the two guys benefiting the most from Beast Mode and D-Will likely being out.
Hillman is a but of a shot in the dark with how Denver splits up their rushing attack, plus he’s facing a pretty good Pittsburgh run defense. That only helps his cause as a high upside contrarian play, however.
WR: Emmanuel Sanders – Broncos ($5.8k), John Brown – Cardinals ($5.2k), Michael Floyd – Cardinals ($5.1k) and Markus Wheaton – Steelers ($4.3k)
It’d be pretty easy to rattle off all of the guys after Antonio Brown (priced at $9.8k!). If Brown is active this week (concussion) he’ll be hard not to use, but everyone else in the player pool is value behind him, because they’re all at least $2.7k cheaper. It really makes a lot of sense to just grab a bunch of them up and fade Brown even if he plays, but if you want him, you could also use some of the cheaper options.
That is going to put Sanders, Brown and Floyd very much in play. Sanders has found some nominal success no matter who his quarterback was this year and his speed could kill the Steelers’ shaky secondary. There is some sweet revenge on the brain here, too, since Sanders left Pittsburgh as a free agent two years ago.
Brown and Floyd are big play threats and will be at home against the Packers, who gave up a big play to DeSean Jackson and overall gave up 300+ passing yards last week to the Redskins. They also didn’t do too well against these two guys just three games ago. They should meet the value of their price tag with ease, if not completely crush it.
Wheaton is going to be a nice pivot off of Martavis Bryant if Brown is out, as both of these guys will see bigger roles but Bryant would be shadowed by Aqib Talib. Both would represent major value and carry significant upside, but Wheaton would be the cheaper purchase.
TE: Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($5.1k), Richard Rodgers – Packers ($4k) and Heath Miller – Steelers ($3.2k)
It probably isn’t the best idea to try to get creative at tight end this week. Rob Gronkowski and Greg Olsen are both fairly expensive, but they’re also the two guys that were the best tight ends all year and probably will be once again in round two of the playoffs.
That being said, you may want to pay up elsewhere. If so, you can find value in Kelce, who went nuts against Houston last week and has a winnable matchup on paper with the Pats. Rodgers and Miller are deeper dives, but Rodgers did score 8 times in 2015 and Miller can randomly produce elite PPR numbers.
DEF: Arizona Cardinals ($3.8k), Carolina Panthers ($3.7k) and New England Patriots ($3.5k)
Arizona and Carolina aren’t a ton cheaper than the most expensive defenses (just over $4k), but in a week where no defense is cheaper than $3.4k, there just isn’t much to work with. By comparison, Arizona and Carolina are good value sand still provide solid upside at home.
I like the Panthers more given that AZ is without Tyrann Mathieu and could be facing a somewhat rejuvenated Packers offense. Seattle looked awful last week and should still be without Marshawn Lynch, though, so Carolina could be in a better spot.
New England may be the defense to play this week, though. They’re a pretty decent unit in any situation, but they’re at home against a Chiefs offense that could be without speedy receiver Jeremy Maclin and already isn’t exactly the most explosive offense in the world. It’s not an easy matchup, but it is one the Pats can definitely overcome.
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