If you’re looking to win big in daily fantasy football this weekend, look no further than our weekly preview, which highlights the top sleepers, busts, chalk and contrarian options at each position.
It’s ultimately up to you to decide which players to pair together, but we do the research and find the top options that could potentially push your NFL DFS lineup over the top.
Let’s see where you should be leaning at every turn based off of the salary cap prices over at DraftKings in week 10:
Top NFL DFS Sleepers
Jay Cutler, QB, Bears ($5.3k)
Todd Gurley, RB, Rams ($5.3k)
Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs ($3.8k)
Lance Kendricks, TE, Rams ($3k)
Jacksonville Jaguars ($2.3k)
Believe it or not, Jay Cutler might be a good play in NFL DFS leagues this week. He looked sharp against a good Vikings defense last week and in week 10 draws a tasty matchup against a Buccaneers secondary thank ranks dead last in the league against quarterbacks over the last four weeks.
That doesn’t automatically mean Cutler will set the world afire, but he’s really only had three games to show us what he’s got left in the tank and he’s also finally got a fully healthy arsenal of weapons. Don’t be shocked if he takes flight in week 10.
Another guy we might be overlooking just a tad is Todd Gurley, who in 2015 was a living legend but injuries and awful quarterback play have bogged him down in 2016. Regardless, he’s dirt cheap for a guy who can go off at any moment and at DK he’s at least been stable (11+ fantasy points in six straight games).
The beauty here is two-fold, as Gurley is projected to be low owned, but also faces a Jets run defense that people still think is elite. The reality is New York is ranked just 26th against running backs over the past four weeks.
Hill is one of many Chiefs receivers that could flourish this week, both because Jeremy Maclin is out with an injury and because the Panthers aren’t really stopping receivers. Of the Kansas City wide receivers to consider, Hill has been the most consistent and stands to benefit greatly from Maclin’s absence.
I’m not enamored with any tight end this week, so dropping down and paying just $3k for Lance Kendricks feels like a reasonable move. It’s even more logical when you consider he’s produced 12+ fantasy points in each of the past three games and gets a Jets pass defense that hasn’t been amazing against tight ends in 2016.
Our last sleeper for week 10 is the Jaguars defense, which gets the never-inspiring Brock Osweiler. Some may think this is an opportunity for Brock to break out, but I’m not seeing it. Jacksonville has a talented defense, is at home and has an overall favorable matchup. Oh, and they’re cheap as heck, so they make for a fine GPP dive.
Players to Avoid
Brock Osweiler, QB, Texans ($5.4k)
Spencer Ware, RB, Chiefs ($6.7k)
Allen Robinson, WR, Jaguars ($7k)
Antonio Gates, TE, Chargers ($3k)
Philadelphia Eagles ($2.6k)
We touched on Osweiler as we loosely plugged the Jacksonville defense. This guy just hasn’t had it all year, as he’s been especially atrocious on the road (8 fantasy points per game!) and has topped even 200 yards passing just once in his last four games.
Houston runs a ball control offense that tries to let their defense win the game. Osweiler can’t be counted on for a big day – even against a middling defense and at a discounted price.
Moving on, Spencer Ware returns this week from a concussion but I can’t bring myself to touch him. He’s a little too pricey as he faces a Carolina defense that has suddenly found life over the past two weeks (9th against RBs during that span).
While I don’t love Houston’s offense, I don’t particularly like Jacksonville’s, either. We can probably brace for a gross AFC South defensive battle, which likely means very little DFS production out of the disappointing Allen Robinson. He does have his moments still, but the Texans rank 3rd on the year against wide receivers and he’s flat-lined way too many times this year.
I normally would love Antonio Gates at just $3k, but in week 10 he faces a rising Miami defense that has stifled tight ends severely. They’re only a middling unit on the year, but over the last four weeks they rank #1 against the tight end position.
I will also be avoiding the Eagles defense. I’ve used them three times all year and this is what they’ve gotten me: 4, 3 and 6 fantasy points. They topped 10+ fantasy points in every other game they played.
Thanks, Philly. But even aside from a personal grudge, they’re not cheap and they face the best offense in football – the Atlanta Falcons. That makes them super contrarian, but I’ll have a big bowl of “no thanks”.
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers ($7.6k)
Darren Sproles, RB, Eagles ($4.3k)
Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers ($8.9k)
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs ($5.6k)
Arizona Cardinals ($3.7k)
Several top shelf passers have tough matchups this week or are simply tough to trust, which makes Rodgers the easy pick atop the entire field in week 10. He’s been awesome with 27+ fantasy points in three straight games, and he gets a Titans pass defense that ranks just 31st against QBs over the last four weeks.
Rodgers is pricey, but he’ll probably be worth it this week as Green Bay is in a must-win situation. But don’t tell him we called it that:
Darren Sproles has to be rather chalky this week, considering the starting RB job is his in Philly, he’s a good price and he’s pumped out two straight 10+ fantasy point efforts. A date with a Falcons defense that ranks just 20th against RBs in 2016 can’t hurt, either.
I don’t need to plug Antonio Brown much. He’s a discount for what he can do, the Steelers are down two other receivers and he’s at home in a huge game for the Steelers. Dallas has been good defensively, but it’s tough to win at Heinz Field and I think the wheels could come off a bit on Sunday.
Kelce has the top matchup for tight ends and in a week where the elite options have brutal showdowns, he feels like a no-brainer. Jeremy Maclin is down and Alex Smith is back, too, so it’d be relatively shocking if he had a bad week.
Arizona is uber chalk this week, as they get a 49ers offense that stinks pretty badly. On top of that, Arizona has been strong for the most part, with last week being their first week of 2016 below 5 fantasy points. This is a massive must-win game for them, too, so it’s tough to see them cratering at home against Colin Kaepernick and the Niners.
Drew Brees, QB, Saints ($6.9k)
Tim Hightower, RB, Saints ($4.6k)
Alshon Jeffery, WR, Bears ($6.6k)
Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots ($6.9k)
Washington Redskins ($3k)
Drew Brees being contrarian at home is insane, but here he is, under $7k and a ton of people will be off of him. I understand the logic, too, as Denver’s elite defense (#1 against QBs) comes into town. Unfortunately, they are down Aqib Talib and Derek Wolfe and it’s quite possible they’re not so elite in this one.
Sticking with that game, there is a spot to attack the Broncos even better, and that’s on the ground. Not having Wolfe is huge for the Broncos’ run defense, which already got carved up by Latavius Murray in week nine. Everyone will be on Mark Ingram after a monster week nine, so pivot to teammate Hightower, who has 14+ fantasy points in each of his last two outings.
I gotta have me some Jeffery this week, especially if I’m buying any Jay Cutler shares. Even if that isn’t the case, Jeffery looks to be his normal self after putting up a strong 16 fantasy points last week. He could get even more comfortable in week 10, when he gets a Tampa Bay secondary that ranks dead last in the league against wide receivers.
Anytime The Gronk is contrarian, you kind of have to pull the trigger. And probably when he’s rocking out for your betterment, as well:
He’s projected to have low ownership this week for two key reasons: he’s the most expensive tight end on the slate and he’s facing a good Seattle defense. Of course, Gronkowski is fairly matchup proof and people might want to note that the Seahawks have only been a middling unit against tight ends over the last four weeks.
I also have my eye on the Redskins defense, which is never an elite unit, but in week 10 they get a Vikings offense that simply has been awful. On the flip side, Washington has actually been passable this year, with just two games below 4 fantasy points all season. Here’s to hoping Minnesota keeps turning the ball over in week 10.
That does it for our week 10 daily fantasy football breakdown. Hopefully our picks lead you to big cash winnings. Regardless, we wish you luck in your week 10 NFL DFS contests!
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