Week 15 Daily Fantasy Football: Eddie Lacy and the Top Value Buys at DraftKings
Another week of daily fantasy football action is upon us. We narrowly missed out winning some serious cash in week 13, as we had a beautiful stack of Russell Wilson/Doug Baldwin/Tyler Lockett/ODB go nuts, but were ultimately sunk by Allen Robinson and Austin Seferian-Jenkins.
It was a disappointing finish, as we still placed fairly well in a big GPP, but really got boned by one of our favorite value plays in ASJ. He had a juicy matchup that he and the Buccaneers just didn’t take advantage of, but we can’t be too upset since other value plays like Baldwin and Lockett worked out beautifully. Robinson was the real downer, as he dropped a thick 46 fantasy points the week prior and only got us 7. To make matters worse, that was the first time the guy went below 10 fantasy points since the very first game of the year. What a time to go full spare, right?
While week 13 didn’t go quite as planned, we still hit big on a bunch of our calls and we didn’t lose, so we can’t complain. We’re getting so close to hitting on all 8 picks and cashing big, so join us as we hunt down some of the best bargain buys in daily fantasy football going into week 15:
Note: To make sure we’re getting serious value, we’re keeping all options priced at $5.5k or cheaper this week.
QB: Philip Rivers – Chargers ($5.5k), A.J. McCarron – Bengals ($5.4k), Jay Cutler – Bears ($5.3k) and Alex Smith – Chiefs ($5.1k)
Going cheap at quarterback has paid off big time in recent weeks, so I’m not against trying it in week 15. If I’m being honest, Rivers is the only one I’m really excited about. His price has taken a free fall and now he faces a pretty bad Dolphins defense that has gotten lit up a ton in 2015 – most recently by the Giants on MNF. People could be off of Rivers since he’s been borderline horrific in three of his last four games, but those games came against elite defenses. I think he bounces back in a big way this week and is the top value at the position.
McCarron is shaky on the road against the 49ers, but San Francisco’s defense has been hit or miss and the guy has loads of weapons around him. I’m actually surprised he’s even this expensive, as he should be the minimum in his first ever career start with Andy Dalton (thumb) sidelined. McCarron put up over 18 fantasy points in relief of Dalton last week, so we know he can get the job done if he’s in a groove.
Cutler and Smith are just two competent quarterbacks who usually can take advantage of a favorable matchup. Both could have one this week, as Cutler draws a severely banged up Vikings defense and Smith faces Baltimore’s atrocious secondary. I’m not overly into either of them, but the upside and value is plain to see.
RB: Eddie Lacy – Packers ($5.2k), Jeremy Hill – Bengals ($5k), James White – Patriots ($4.6k), Denard Robinson – Jaguars ($4.6k), Latavius Murray – Raiders ($4.5k) and Frank Gore – Colts ($4k)
Is Lacy officially back? It sure seemed so last week and if the answer is “yes” then I’m not going to fear Oakland’s run defense at this price. The Packers are looking much more like themselves and Lacy has a locked and loaded role, so I have no issue firing him up. The same goes for Hill, as the Bengals are sure to lean hard on the ground game with Andy Dalton out. Facing a Niners run defense that just got destroyed by freaking Isaiah Crowell can’t hurt.
James White has turned it on over the past several weeks, finding his way into the end-zone in three of the last four games. With LeGarrette Blount possibly out in week 15, he is looking like a sick value. The same goes for Shoelace, who could be filling in for T.J. Yeldon.
I’m also interested in Latavius Murray, as he’s facing my Packers and they always seem to let someone new go off on them. He’s been stagnant for a while now, so this week seems right for him to have a big day. Gore is just dirt cheap. I’m not into his lack of explosiveness or Indy’s quarterback woes, but he has a good role and is cheaper than a lot of guys I want nothing to do with.
WR: Golden Tate – Lions ($5.5k), Jeremy Maclin – Chiefs ($5.5k), John Brown – Cardinals ($4.9k) and Michael Floyd – Cardinals ($4.4k)
Tate has really been coming on strong and even scored twice last week. With 7 or more catches in each of his last four games, he’s finally out of his early season funk and is a pretty reliable option at this price. Against the Saints on Monday Night Football, he might even be an elite option.
I’m also into the speedy Maclin, who took a week off from killing it in week 14 but should get right back to the grind in a favorable matchup against the Ravens. He’s been awesome for the past few weeks so I’m not going to let one down week over shadow this value or his upside.
Larry Fitzgerald has not been an elite option lately, yet he’s way more expensive than either Brown or Floyd. Everyone is getting fed in Arizona’s passing game, so there’s no real concern surrounding any of these guys. I don’t see why we shouldn’t be passing on Fitz and seeing if these value options can keep getting it done, though.
TE: Gary Barnidge – Browns ($5k), Julius Thomas – Jaguars ($4.7k), Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($4.4k) and Zach Ertz – Eagles ($3.2k)
Tight end is value to come by but there are some guys worth considering in week 15. Barnidge is on the road versus the Seahawks but that’s one reason why he could be a good play. They tend to struggle against good tight ends and you have to think the Browns will be throwing the entire second half. He and Johnny Manziel have good chemistry so he could be fine.
Thomas has been crushing it lately and is a weekly red-zone threat. He’s not going to crush it on receptions but anytime he scores he can return serious value on his price tag. The same goes for Kelce, who is dipped into a really low price and per his talent, it’s almost criminal. He continues to be under-used but KC has won 7 in a row, so it’s tough to complain. Still, he can erupt at anytime and that’s a low price to pass on.
Ertz is probably one of the best dives you can take at tight end. He’s coming off of a great weak and he’s really been solid during the second half of the season. He’s hit or miss but he’s an athletic guy who can be a red-zone presence if the Eagles look his way. Facing a good Cardinals defense doesn’t make him overly enticing, but the value is there for the taking.
DEF: Packers ($3k), Bills ($2.8k), Lions ($2.7k), Steelers ($2.7k) and Jaguars ($2.4k)
Team defenses have burned me a lot this year and I’ve found that it really pays to just spend big on what feels like a sure thing. Last week I was all about the Seahawks and Chiefs and they worked out beautifully. My value plays at defense oddly did pay off, too, as the 49ers racked up a good amount of stats and the Lions got 4 fantasy points (not good, but it didn’t bury me). For the most part, though, I rolled with the ‘Hawks and Chiefs because they felt safe.
Because of that, I’m not super into going cheap at defense this week. That being said, you may want to. If so, the Packers kick things off as a solid defense, as they’ve really been pretty solid ever since getting whipped in Carolina. Buffalo, Detroit and Pittsburgh can easily sack you but all have had some fine outings in 2015 and have favorable matchups this week or have in general been decent lately.
Jacksonville is the major bargain, as they’re at home and get a Falcons team that has simply lost it’s way. Jacksonville is super cheap and has actually produced on the defensive side lately.
Hopefully these value buys help you in some manner in week 15. Either way, good luck in your daily fantasy football leagues!
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