Week 16 Daily Fantasy Football: Picking the Optimal Lineup
The weekend is here, which means it’s time to start figuring out what your lineup is going to look like in Daily Fantasy Football.
Our weekly look at the optimal lineup continues to try to mix together the perfect blend of elite options and value, while if the right sneaky sleeper presents itself, we need to be ready to abandon all logic.
Last week, that logic largely worked out. The biggest disappointments? Aaron Rodgers and Latavius Murray. Literally everyone else worked out swimmingly (David Johnson got us 47 fantasy points!), but Rodgers mustered just 11 and Murray couldn’t even get 10.
Those are the breaks, though, and we can’t even really complain, since the team still placed and won us back our money in DraftKings’ week 15 Millionaire Maker. We’re back at it again, so join us as we piece together our version of the optimal lineup for week 16:
QB: Blake Bortles – Jaguars ($6.5k)
Bortles is an easy guy to start with for three reasons: he’s a solid price, he’s torched defenses all year and he faces one of the worst defenses in the New Orleans Saints. I don’t love that he’s on the road and he has burned me a couple of times this year, but the value and upside are precisely what I’m looking for in my GPP fantasy quarterback.
RB: David Johnson – Cardinals ($5.8k)
It’s one thing if you can’t quite a player because of their name or because they’re supposed to be awesome. I don’t like DJ because of either – he’s just been fantastic and remains a killer value somehow. He’s a super chalk player in that everyone will be on him, but he’s at home against a beatable Packers run defense. I can’t fade him at all in week 16.
RB: Doug Martin – Buccaneers ($6.6k)
I can go away from The Muscle Hamster if I can talk myself into someone like Karlos Williams, but for now I’m staying put because his coach wants him to get the league’s rushing title. He’s also a key piece of what Tampa does, but that tells me he’s going to get plenty of chances to wreck the Bears this week. Considering they don’t have a very good run defense, that makes me feel pretty good about ol’ Martin.
WR: Martavis Bryant – Steelers ($5.6k)
I know Antonio Brown went nuts last week and that might even be most weeks, but he’s not the only wide receiver in Pittsburgh. I think Bryant gets fed a little more this week and in a sweet date with an awful Ravens secondary, that should mean a handful of huge plays.
WR: Rueben Randle – Giants ($3.5k)
ODB is out this week, and even though Randle could easily go full spare on us, we can’t hate his role, matchup or price. He’s on the road against the Vikings, but they’ve sagged majorly as a pass defense and the Giants have about 12 extra targets to go around. Randle was already a threat for five catches and a score most weeks, but this week – especially at this absurdly low price – he’s pretty much a chalk play.
WR: Allen Robinson – Jaguars ($7.5k)
If I’m going Bortles I need at least one of his passing weapons, right? I really am considering going Allen Hurns here to save and spend elsewhere, but I don’t see why since Robinson is a touchdown machine (13 scores on the year). His value isn’t bad either and he’s facing the Saints, so logically speaking, this pick is tough to pass up.
TE: Julius Thomas – Jaguars ($5.1k)
On a week where tight ends are tough to gauge or are too expensive, I think rolling out another one of Bort’s targets makes a great deal of sense. New Orleans is really bad defensively and this could/should be a sick shootout. I don’t mind getting my hands on three Jaguars in this game.
FLEX: DeAngelo Williams – Steelers ($6.5k)
I’d like to fit in another solid receiver here, but D-Will has been annoyingly solid for weeks now. Solid, as in three straight games of 20+ fantasy points. His matchup with the Ravens isn’t good on paper, but neither were dates with the Seahawks and Broncos. He’s basically matchup proof and he’s not insanely expensive, so I’m game.
DEF: Houston Texans ($2.8k)
I don’t feel like paying up for an elite defense this week (over $4k!), so I’ll save a bit and get a value unit that’s facing Zach Mettenberger this week. J.J. Watt and co. are playing for a division title and all they need to do is abuse the Titans to get it. I like their chances.
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