Week 16 Daily Fantasy Football: Top Value Buys at DraftKings
Our daily fantasy football value buy breakdown for week 15 was a bit of a mixed bag, as we had plenty of misses, but if you picked the right guys we took a look at, you easily could have hit it big.
A few success stories worth pointing out: Philip Rivers, Jeremy Hill, James White, Golden Tate and Gary Barnidge.
We’ve had a good run for most of the year, but as aways, these value buys mean very little if you can’t round out the rest of your roster with the right intermediate and elite options. For instance, you could have used White and Tate last week and even mixed in someone like David Johnson, but using Aaron Rodgers (11 fantasy points) could have held you back significantly.
Still, finding the value each week is a great place to start. Let’s take a look at the field for week 16 and note the top value buys at DraftKings you should at least consider:
QB: Eli Manning – Giants ($5.6k), Ryan Fitzpatrick – Jets ($5.2k),Teddy Bridgewater – Vikings ($5.2k), Alex Smith – Chiefs ($5.1k) and Johnny Manziel – Browns ($5.1k)
Manning could be without Odell Beckham Jr. this week, but the Giants badly need to win and he’s coming in red hot (4 touchdowns last week). It’s unlikely he completely face plants and he also comes at a serious discount when you consider his upside.
Fitzmagic has been as steady as it gets in 2015 and this week he and his Jets have a huge game against the Patriots. He was more than fine in the previous meeting with New England this year and constantly carries 25+ point upside. He’s also one of the safest fantasy quarterbacks and is insanely cheap when you consider how stable of an option he is.
Bridgewater and Smith are looking like solid, cheap options that have beatable matchups. Bridgewater is normally tough to trust, but a huge 5-score week has his value on the rise. He’ll get a very beatable Giants pass defense, so there is a lot to love in terms of his value and upside. Smith didn’t really take advantage of a dream matchup with a bad Ravens secondary last week, but he’s got another great matchup this week against the Browns.
Speaking of the Browns, Johnny Football could be in play after showing fairly well in Seattle against the Seahawks last week. He’s running into a very good Kansas City defense on the road, but we can’t ignore the fact that the Chiefs have given up quite a bit of yardage through the air in 2015. The Chiefs get sacks and turnovers, but in their last four games they’ve also given up well over 200 passing yards per game.
RB: David Johnson – Cardinals ($5.8k), Charcandrick West – Chiefs ($5.7k), Chris Ivory – Jets ($4.7k), James White – Patriots ($4.7k), Karlos Williams – Bills ($4.5k) and Christine Michael – Seahawks ($4.4k)
Johnson was an obvious pick last week and he remains exactly that again this week, fresh off a crazy 3-touchdown night. He’s money in the bank at this price and is a great chalk play, as everyone will (and should be) using him.
West is potentially a similar chalk play with Spencer Ware likely out again. West returned to top shelf status with a strong outing last week and should be a great play at home against the Browns.
Ivory and White are solid intermediate options right below those guys, as Ivory has been a total menace at home (20 fantasy points per game) and White is highly involved in New England’s passing game. Both are quality options at their listed prices on DK.
If you’re looking for even more value, consider Williams and Michael. Williams has been awesome in a bit role for much of his rookie season, but with an injury to LeSean McCoy, the door is opened for a massive week 16. Michael could also be ready to bust out this week, as he put up over 80 rushing yards on 16 carries last week and could be even more involved moving forward.
WR: Brandin Cooks – Saints ($5.9k), Martavis Bryant – Steelers ($5.6k), Allen Hurns – Jaguars ($5.3k), Michael Floyd – Cardinals ($4.9k) and Reuben Randle – Giants ($3.5k)
Cooks has proven over the second half of the year that he’s one of the best wide receiver values in daily fantasy football. He did it again last week with 31 fantasy points and he could go nuts again in week 16, when he hosts a beatable Jags defense. The same goes for Bryant, who has really been terrific ever since returning from a four-game suspension. He and the rest of the Steelers take a minor backseat to Antonio Brown, but against a bad Ravens pass defense, it’s highly possible every Steelers receiver wrecks in week 16.
Hurns wasn’t great in week 15 but that should change with a date with a bad Saints secondary in week 16. Golden Tate just shredded them on MNF this past week, so Hurns could be looking at similar production in what will surely be a shootout.
It’s also going to be hard not to be into Michael Floyd and Rueben Randle. The Packers got lit up by Amari Cooper last week and Floyd has been feasting for weeks. In a huge game in the desert, I can’t see how he doesn’t pan out at this price. The same goes for Randle, who is always worth a shot when cheap regardless, but if ODB is out with a one-game suspension, this price is suddenly absurd.
TE: Gary Barnidge – Browns ($4.7k), Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($4.3k) and Will Tye – Giants ($3.5k)
Barnidge continues to drop in price, yet he’s done nothing put deliver 10+ fantasy points in his last five contests. His matchup with the Chiefs isn’t good, but he’s a bargain at this price and Johnny Manziel has proven he knows how to get this guy the ball. Kelce has also seen his price dip too low, as he’s now too good of a value to turn away. He’s been quiet more than we’d like to see, but bounced back with a solid 13 fantasy points in week 15. He’s cheap enough to give a try this week.
Tye is the real value dive at tight end, as he’s been super stable with 10+ fantasy points in five consecutive outings. His matchup with the Vikings isn’t amazing but a suspended ODB would really open the door to a much bigger workload. Either way, he’s super cheap and getting it done, so he’s worth a shot.
DEF: Detroit Lions ($2.8k), Houston Texans ($2.8k) and Tennessee Titans ($2k)
There aren’t many cheap defensive options that you can feel good about, so I’ve narrowed it down to the Lions, Texans and perhaps the Titans. I am not overly confident in the Titans, but they’re as cheap as it gets for a defense and they’re possibly facing Brandon Weeden this week. If that sticks, you have to give them a try in a bitter division rivalry clash.
Detroit and Houston are a little more expensive and are much safer, so they’re probably the way to go if you want a solid defense but also would like to save a bit. The Lions are still a stout defense and carry reasonable upside, and this week they’ll battle the 49ers at home. Anytime you face Blaine Gabbert and the 49ers as presently constructed, there’s a chance you dominate. The same goes for the Texans, who still have a very solid defense led by J.J. Watt and will head to Tennessee to take on Zach Mettenberger. It’s a pretty good matchup for the Texans, as Mettenberger tends to throw picks and the Titans struggle to run the ball.
Overall, at least a few of these value buys should pan out for you in daily fantasy football this week. Picking the right ones to mix with the right elites, of course, is the tough task. Be sure to check back all week as we continue to gear up for week 16 with more daily fantasy football advice.
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