Week 4 Daily Fantasy Football: Top Picks at Each Position
Week four brings the first set of bye weeks, as the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans both get the week off. That’s good news for them, but it could be a bummer for daily fantasy football gamers. No Patriots means no Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski or Julian Edelman in DFS leagues, so we now have to drop down to alternative options as we try to win the big bucks.
Week three did probably the best job of paying off when it came to studs out of the first three weeks this year, as most of the top-priced guys ultimately came through for daily fantasy players. Looking back on our week three picks, Tom Brady, Gronk, Jimmy Graham, Adrian Peterson, Demaryius Thomas and Randall Cobb all came through in big ways. The Seahawks were one of the top defenses of the week, too, while the Patriots worked out just fine, as well. Russell Wilson was pretty weak but he didn’t bury your team (16 fantasy points), with our only true miss being a less than 100% Marshawn Lynch (we wrote the article before anyone learned of a calf issue).
Overall, it was a strong week. With the byes considered, we obviously have to crown a couple different guys as safe picks heading into week four. Let’s get to it:
Note: All salaries used from DraftKings.com
Quarterbacks: Aaron Rodgers ($7.9k) and Andrew Luck ($7.8k)
DraftKings doesn’t really let quarterbacks explode like wide receivers can (PPR, and all), but A-Rod tossed five touchdowns last week and finished with over 37 fantasy points. If you had him, you know that it’s nice to have an elite fantasy quarterback at any price. These are the two most expensive guys in week four and they both are worth paying up for. Rodgers is easily the safer pick of the two, although going on the road against the 49ers isn’t exactly ideal. That being said, he’s looked unstoppable so far.
Luck finally seemed to turn the corner last week and he could be in for his best game of the year this week. The Jaguars just got slapped around by Tom Brady and the Patriots last week, and Indy could deliver a similar beat down. If so, Luck should have plenty to do with it.
Running Backs: Jamaal Charles ($7.6k) and Eddie Lacy ($6.9k)
Charles scored three times in a blowout loss last week, showing once and for all he is a near-lock to get his, just about every week. In week four the matchup isn’t nearly as bad against a Bengals defense that has been hit or miss all year. Besides, Charles is matchup proof and so involved it won’t matter. I like him better than Adrian Peterson this week, who is a tad more expensive and is on the road against a very strong Broncos defense.
Lacy may as well be a value pick at this price, but I tend to like him more than Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte, both of which are even less healthy than Lacy at the moment. He’s got a solid matchup this week against the Niners, who have given up a ton of scores to running backs the past two weeks. Lacy also is much healthier (ankle) than he was in week two, so he could be in for his first truly big game of 2015.
Wide Receivers: Odell Beckham Jr. ($9.1k) and A.J. Green ($7.6k)
I’m not sure I really want to pay up for ODB, but I like his matchup better than Julio Jones’ this week and he’s been money in each of the past two weeks. He also gets a Bills pass defense that has given up a ton of production to wide receivers this year. With New York throwing all day on the road here, ODB should pay off just fine.
Green might even be my overall favorite wide receiver play for week four, as he’s an elite option at considerable value. It’s worth wondering what a guy does for an encore after putting up over 220 yards and two touchdowns, but Green is at home against the absolute worst defense against wide receivers in 2015 (Chiefs). Randall Cobb just scored thrice and Aaron Rodgers tossed five touchdowns, so it’d be relatively shocking if Green didn’t go nuts again this week.
Tight Ends: Jimmy Graham ($6k) and Travis Kelce ($5.3k)
No Gronk this week, so pick the tight end position wisely. It seriously may be a good idea to just pick a really cheap guy you feel good about, but we’ll get to those possibilities later in the week. If you’re paying up, you’re talking about Graham and Kelce, and of course you’ll want to factor in Greg Olsen and Tyler Eifert as well.
I’m not as high on Olsen (matchup, likely to come down after massive week 3 outing) and Eifert (zero catches last week), but they’re a close third and fourth this week. Graham gets the Lions at home on Monday Night Football and he’s really not a bad price for what he can get you. He hasn’t even truly blown up yet, but he’s been solid enough in two of three games. It’s always nice to have an elite closer to cap the week, too. Kelce hasn’t had a true crater game in three weeks but he blew up in week two and has only been OK since. Even with a troubling matchup, I like him to get back to an elite level in week four.
Team Defenses: Arizona Cardinals ($3.4k) and Seattle Seahawks ($3.7k)
There aren’t a lot of fantasy defenses you want to roll the dice with, as would-be great matchups have routinely backfired through the first three weeks. The best option is to play it safe with Arizona or Seattle, or maybe even the Broncos or Packers. All of these defenses have been rock solid and have elite potential going into week four.
AZ and Seattle are by far the top picks for the week, however, as the Cards get a Nick Foles offense in the desert this week. Yuck. Foles and the Rams put up just six points at home against the Steelers last week, so yeah. Seattle gets a Detroit offense that could maybe be a bit of a problem, but with Kam Chancellor back and this game being in Seattle on MNF, I doubt the Seahawks come up lame.
Be sure to check back next week as we go over these picks and see who came through in our daily fantasy football contests. Good luck this week!
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