Week 6 NFL Picks: Which Undefeated Teams Could Finally Lose?
Few teams can make a serious run at perfection. The New England Patriots were the last team to give it a real run back in 2007, yet so far in 2015, a whopping six NFL teams enter the sixth week of the year without a loss.
Some of those teams have gotten to this point by masking deficiencies, others are total shocks and a couple have arguably been really, really lucky. For some the luck may run out in week six, but which teams are safe to pick against despite being undefeated? We’ll tackle that and more in our week six NFL picks:
Season: 39-24 straight up, Last week: (7-7)
Season: 29-35 ATS, Last week: (6-7-1)
(Favorite: -3) Falcons @ Saints
Atlanta and New Orleans kick week six off at the Superdome on Thursday Night Football. It could easily be a classic shootout between two division rivals, or the superior Falcons could run them out of their own stadium. I think it’s closer to the former, as New Orleans is without a doubt their best on their home turf and they’re fully in desperation mode. The Falcons also don’t have Julio Jones at anything close to 100%, so I smell an upset here. I don’t have a ton of confidence in the Saints, though, so I’ll take the Falcons to win and let the Saints beat the spread.
Pick: Falcons 27, Saints 26
Redskins @ Jets (-6)
Washington goes as Kirk Cousins goes. He kept it together for an entire game last week, and then caved on a pick-six in overtime. Welp. Now he heads to New York to try to take down the Jets, which I doubt is possible. That being said, I don’t think the Jets blow the Redskins out. Washington has a strong defense and can run the ball, so they’ll keep it close in a likely defensive battle.
Pick: Jets 13, Redskins 9
(-3) Cardinals @ Steelers
Michael Vick was totally inept for 95% of the past two weeks, so I really don’t love his chances against a very good Cardinals defense. Arizona’s offense is also awesome, so as difficult as it is to enter Heinz Field and play well, the Cards should get the win and cover.
Pick: Cardinals 30, Steelers 16
Chiefs @ Vikings (-4)
Kansas City appears to be dead in the water with Jamaal Charles done for the year. They’ve lost four games in a row and now they head to Minnesota, where the Vikes have yet to lose this year. I like Minnesota to get the win, but KC still has enough talent on both sides of the ball to keep it close and beat the spread.
Pick: Vikings 23, Chiefs 20
(-3.5) Bengals @ Bills
Cincinnati won’t run the table in 2015 but it’s hard not to favor an undefeated team going up against the Bills right now. Not only is Buffalo decimated by injuries on offense, but their would-be elite defense has really gone off the rails. If Tyrod Taylor is out I have to go with the Bengals across the board, as E.J. Manuel is impossible to trust.
Pick: Bengals 28, Bills 24
Bears @ Lions (-3)
Detroit has to win eventually and they’re at home, and that’s literally the only reason they’re “favored” here. Chicago has new life and if Alshon Jeffery is back this week, they could shoot for their third win in a row.
Pick: Bears 24, Lions 21
(-4) Broncos @ Browns
Josh McCown has been ablaze lately and the Browns shouldn’t be taken lightly, but this week they draw the best defense in the league. On the flip side, Cleveland’s defense is awful, so this could end up being Peyton Manning’s best game of 2015. It’s Denver all the way here, although I wouldn’t be overly shocked to see the Browns keep it fairly close throughout.
Pick: Broncos 34, Browns 27
Texans @ Jaguars (-1)
This is basically a pick’em, as no one knows what to make of either of these teams right now. Jacksonville is better than they’ve been in the past though, and playing at home gives them a mild edge. Houston reverting back to Brian Hoyer could go either way, but for this matchup I think it makes them look smart for at least one week.
Pick: Texans 19, Jaguars 16
Dolphins @ Titans (-2.5)
This game is incredibly tough to gauge, as Tennessee plays everyone close these days and Miami could easily be a different team now. They got rid of their head coach and had an entire bye week to figure things out, so I think there’s a chance to put it together somewhat against a beatable opponent.
Pick: Dolphins 21, Titans 17
Panthers @ Seahawks (-7)
This is a defensive battle all the way, as Seattle’s offense has been trash and both defenses are pretty strong. Carolina has lost four straight to Seattle and winning on the road against the Seahawks just doesn’t happen. I like Seattle to win, but it will be hard to cover in a low-scoring game.
Pick: Seahawks 17, Panthers 13
Chargers @ Packers (-10.5)
This is an insane spread for the Packers, who are very good at home but this isn’t an easy matchup. San Diego is usually in games and has one of the best passing attacks in the league. I’m expecting a bit of a shootout and while I’ll still take the Pack to stay undefeated, it should be relatively close.
Pick: Packers 34, Chargers 31
(-2.5) Ravens @ 49ers
Baltimore has a bad record but they’ve been in every game this year and are a lot better than they seem. They’re banged up and could easily give up with their season largely over already, but they’re too good to lie down against a bad 49ers team. That being said, the Niners play better at home and have fought hard in three of five contests this year.
Pick: Ravens 23, 49ers 20
(-8) Patriots @ Colts
Tom Brady and co. have been waiting for this matchup ever since the Colts tattled on them (deflategate), so this one could get ugly. New England destroyed Indy in their last two matchups and Andrew Luck could sit this one out, too.
Pick: Patriots 45, Colts 17
Giants @ Eagles (-4)
Eli Manning has a bad history of not playing well in the City of Brotherly Love. As good as he’s been in 2015, he’s still on the road against a divisional foe that has looked better in recent weeks. I’m taking the Eagles and I think they cover.
Pick: Eagles 27, Giants 20
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