2015 NFL Picks: Will Another Unbeaten Fall in Week 9?
A week ago we went into our weekly NFL picks fearing an undefeated team would fall. We didn’t know for sure who, but we ended up being right and even with that uncertainty, we ended up picking it correctly, too.
Pat on the back and all that jazz, right? Regardless, the Packers came up woefully short in Denver and it makes us wonder going into week 9 which of the remaining four perfect teams could falter next.
Check out this week’s NFL picks to see which – if any – finally lose:
Last week: 11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS
Season: 69-36 SU, 52-53-1 ATS
Browns @ Bengals (-11)
I believe Johnny Manziel has the goods to be a franchise quarterback, but I’m not completely sold it’ll be in Cleveland. On a short week against the 7-0 Bengals, I’m not sure there’s a whole lot of logic that supports picking Cleveland to get the upset. The Browns do tend to keep games close, but in this case I’d be inclined to take Cincy to cover, as well.
Pick: Bengals 27, Browns 10
(-2.5) Packers @ Panthers
Green Bay looked inept on the road last week and while the Panthers are definitely a tough defense, they’re not the Broncos. I can’t see Aaron Rodgers playing that poorly again, and this is a much bigger game because it’s in the NFC. I think the Packers right the ship and get to 7-1, while also handing Carolina their first loss of the year. The Panthers are definitely a good team, but their only good win was against a Seahawks team that isn’t themsleves in 2015. This is less bold of a pick that it seems, and Vegas agrees.
Pick: Packers 20, Panthers 17
Redskins @ Patriots (-14)
The Redskins are a total mystery, as they’re absolutely capable of defending and Kirk Cousins has those odd moments where he resembles a good quarterback. I can’t see the Redskins taking down the Patriots on the road, and even though New England has only covered three times all year, a 14 point spread isn’t that insane for this matchup.
Pick: Patriots 34, Redskins 17
Titans @ Saints (-8)
Tennessee should get Marcus Mariota back but they just fired their coach, have lost six straight and are on the road. New Orleans, meanwhile, seems to very much have their mojo back.
Pick: Saints 26, Titans 17
Dolphins @ Bills (-3)
This might be the toughest game of the week to call, as neither of these teams are awful, but neither are always who they’re supposed to be, either. Inconsistency is the name of the game here, but Rex Ryan is coming off a bye and his guys are at home. Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins could be back for this divisional clash, too, so I favor the Bills. They also dominated Miami earlier this year, so there’s that, also.
Pick: Bills 27, Dolphins 20
Rams @ Vikings (-2)
Another tough game to call, as both of these teams lean on strong defenses and their running game on offense. Minnesota has the edge at home and because their quarterback isn’t Nick Foles.
Pick: Vikings 20, Rams 17
Jaguars @ Jets (-6.5)
Ryan Fitzpatrick (hand) is a go for this week, so I’m leaning towards the Jets. If he weren’t in I would have liked a Jacksonville upset, but they’re a little bit better than given credit for anyways, so I at least like this to stay close. New York’s defense got a little exposed last week and has lost two straight, too, so they’re somewhat vulnerable.
Pick: Jets 24, Jaguars 20
Raiders @ Steelers (-4.5)
If this were in Oakland I’d be all about the Raiders here, but Big Ben is shaking off the rust and the Steelers are at Heinz Field. They just don’t lose there all that often and they’re still the better team. Losing Le’Veon Bell hurts, but DeAngelo Williams has proven to be an elite backup and I doubt Pittsburgh really skips much of a beat. That being said, Oakland is for real and they won’t go down easy, which is why I think they can beat the spread.
Pick: Steelers 28, Raiders 24
(-2.5) Giants @ Buccaneers
Jameis Winston said it best this week when he admitted he’s “no Drew Brees”. That’s so very true, as the rookie turnover machine could be in for a rough week against the top turnover-forcing defense in the league. New York’s offense is also a problem, as Tampa Bay’s defense isn’t overly stingy – especially against the pass.
Pick: Giants 29, Bucs 17
(-7) Falcons @ 49ers
Blaine Gabbert is starting for the Niners this week and they have no quality running backs. The Falcons should crush them.
Pick: Falcons 37, 49ers 13
(-5) Broncos @ Colts
Peyton Manning returns home and actually looked quite good last week, so I have very little fear Indy is going to be the team that hands the Broncos their first loss. Manning would love to crush his former team in what could be his last visit to his old stomping grounds, and I bet he does. The Colts are just a mess in general, too, so a blowout is a real possibility.
Pick: Broncos 34, Colts 19
(-2.5) Eagles @ Cowboys
Dallas beat the Eagles without Tony Romo (for the most part) in their earlier meeting, and that was in Philly. That plus a healthy Dez Bryant and a pretty effective Darren McFadden has me thinking Dallas has a real shot. I’m not overly confident in Matt Cassel, but the Cowboys have been in most of their losses and this losing streak has to end eventually. Sam Bradford has also done nothing to win over my confidence, so I’m not in love with Philly on the road.
Pick: Cowboys 20, Eagles 17
Bears @ Chargers (-4)
This is another really tough game to call, as both of these teams are quite talented and competitive (at least offensively), yet can’t find a way to win consistently. I’m giving the edge to the Bolts, who have defended the pass well for most of 2015 and have the more explosive offense. They don’t run the ball and they’ve been losing a lot, though, so I think Chicago hangs around and beats the spread.
Pick: Chargers 31, Bears 28
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