AFC East Battle: Bills vs Dolphins Betting Preview, Odds and Free Pick

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Miami vs Bills NFL
Pick: Bills -5.5
Odds: -105
$100 Could Win You...$195.20

The Buffalo Bills head south to take on AFC East rival the Miami Dolphins in a key divisional matchup for Week 2 of the NFL season. Both teams played divisional games in the opening week with Buffalo trouncing the Jets and Miami losing at New England.

The Dolphins will look to get back on track against the visiting Bills, while Buffalo will look to go 2-0 on the season and in the AFC East. Kickoff inside Hard Rock Stadium is at 1 PM ET.

Bills vs Dolphins Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110) -240 Over 41 (-110)
Miami Dolphins +5.5 (-110) +200 Under 41 (-110)
Betting Data Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins
2020 Record 1-0 0-1
2020 Home 1-0 0-0
2020 Away 0-0 0-1
2020 ATS 1-0 0-1
2020 ATS Home 1-0 0-0
2020 ATS Away 0-0 0-1
2020 O/U 1-0 0-1
2020 O/U Home 1-0 0-0
2020 O/U Away 0-0 0-1

Buffalo vs Miami AFC East Game Preview

These two longtime AFC East rivals have played against each other 112 times including four postseason matchups. The Dolphins have the all-time advantage in this rivalry with a record of 61-50-1. However, it’s Buffalo that’s 10-4 in their last 14 head to head games.

  • The Buffalo Bills (1-0) looked impressive in their season opening win against the Jets as they dominated on both sides of the ball. If it weren’t for Josh Allen’s two fumbles, the game would’ve been a huge blowout instead of just 27 to 17.
  • The Miami Dolphins (0-1) played the Patriots tough on Sunday and were down 14 to 11 with 10:30 minutes left in the 4th quarter. However, they gave up a late TD to the Patriots and lost 21 to 11. Offensively, Miami was pretty bad and will have to face another elite level defense this week.

The Bills do have some injury concerns on the defensive side of the ball with four of their five top linebackers all exiting the game against the Jets. These injuries could have an impact on the game this weekend if none of them can return.

Buffalo opened up as a 3 point favorite and saw their advantage grow all the way to the current line of 5.5 points at most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 43 points before sliding down to 41 total points with most sports betting websites.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Bills are 7-3 SU in last 10 meetings
  • Bills are 6-4 ATS in last 10 matchups
  • The Over is 8-2 in last 10 games

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

  • 2-4 SU in last six overall games
  • 5-1 SU in last six game vs Miami
  • 5-1 SU when a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
  • 9-3 SU in last 12 games as the favorite
  • 10-5 ATS in last 15 road games
  • 4-1 ATS in last five September games
  • 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC East games
  • 2-4 ATS in last six overall games
  • The Under is 9-2 in last 11 road games
  • The Under is 10-4 in last 14 AFC games

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

  • 5-15 SU in last 20 overall games
  • 4-11 SU in last 15 AFC games
  • 2-6 SU in last eight AFC East games
  • 3-6 SU in last nine September games
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 overall games
  • 0-6 ATS in last six September games
  • The Over is 4-1 in last five home games

Free NFL Sports Bet and AFC East Game Prediction: Bills -5.5 (-110)

I like this game for the Bills in Week 2. I believe Buffalo matches up well against the Dolphins on both sides of the ball.

Defensively, Buffalo smothered the Jets all game long and only allowed 267 total yards with 69 yards coming on one play as the Bills defenders missed tackles and Jets WR Jamison Crowder ran for 60 yards after the catch.

Buffalo picked off Sam Darnold once, had three sacks, pressured Darnold with just a four man front and held the run game to just 52 yards. The Jets also scored a TD with two minutes left in the game or the score would’ve been even lower.

The Bills Top 5 defense will face a Dolphins offense that put up only 278 yards against the Patriots including just 87 yards on the ground. Additionally, Miami could only muster up 11 points, 191 passing yards, and QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw three interceptions.

Buffalo’s offense faces a Dolphins defense that gave up 372 total yards, 21 points, and 217 rushing yards. That bodes well for Buffalo’s run game that was stifled by the Jets top ranked rush defense last weekend.

I expect Buffalo’s offense to have a lot of success against Miami on Sunday with quick passes, four and five wide receiver sets, Josh Allen making plays with his legs, and the running game taking off. Defensively, as long as the linebackers are healthy, Buffalo will hold Miami to 17 points or less.

Buffalo is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 road games, 4-1 ATS in last five September games and 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC East games. Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last six September games and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 matchups against Buffalo.

I don’t see Josh Allen throwing for 300 yards this week, but I do see the Bills rushing attack leading the charge with at least 150 yards on the ground and two TDs. Buffalo’s defense could make the day even easier with multiple turnovers and relentlessly harassing Fitzpatrick for four quarters.

Bills vs Dolphins Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Bills (-240) vs Dolphins (+200)
  • Spread: Bills -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 41 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Bills 27 – Dolphins 17
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Bills vs Dolphins Pick

Bills -5.5 (-110)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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