Sunday’s matchup between the Colts and the Titans is a huge game within the AFC South Division. The winner will stay within striking distance of the top spot and the loser will fall further toward the bottom of the division. Both teams come into this matchup playing their best football of the year. Will it be Tennessee or Indianapolis who continues their winning streak? Kickoff inside Lucas Oil Stadium is at 1 PM ET.
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Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis AFC South Game Preview
Sunday’s divisional showdown will be the 48th time these two teams have played against each other. The Colts have a commanding lead in this head-to-head series with a record of 31-16. Last year, the Titans swept the Colts. However, prior to the 2017 season, the Colts had won 11 straight games against the Titans dating back to 2011. The Colts have an 18-8 record against the Titans at home and have gone 9-1 in the last 10 games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Tennessee (5-4) is coming off their most impressive win of the season as they dominated the Patriots last weekend to a final score of 34-10. Two weeks ago, the Titans also had an impressive road win over the Cowboys. Tennessee is on a two game win streak and playing great on both sides of the ball. Can the Titans win their 3rd straight game this month and their 3rd straight against the Colts?
Indianapolis (4-5) has turned their season around by winning 3 straight games. At 1-5, many fans and pundits wrote this team off. However, the Colts have put together some solid performances and look to climb back into the division race. Can Indy win their 4th straight game?
With most online betting sites, the spread opened at -3 for the Colts. Since then, the line had steadily come down. At some books, the line went all the way to Even before climbing back up to the current spread of the Colts -1.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 48 points for most sports books and didn’t see much movement at all. Currently, the O/U is at 49 total points.
Free NFL Spread Bet and Game Preview: Titans +1.5
After their Bye Week, the Titans have come out and won two straight games by playing solid defense and scoring points. On the season, the Titans average only 18.7 ppg on offense. However, the last two games they have averaged 31 ppg. Furthermore, that offense has come alive under the play of QB Marcus Mariota.
Mariota has averaged 234 passing ypg, a 69 completion percentage, 2 touchdown passes, and .5 rushing TDs. His QB rating in the last two games was 125 and 119.9. Obviously, his best games of the season. I believe Mariota will have a solid game against the Colts this Sunday as the defense allows 26.6 ppg, 388.8 total ypg and 281 passing ypg. This matchup bodes well for Mariota on Sunday.
Indy does have a solid run defense just like the Titans do. However, Tennessee’s overall defense is better statistically and according to the eye test. The Titans only give up 16.8 ppg and 341.9 total ypg. They do allow 242.1 passing ypg. In the last two weeks, the Titans allowed 254 passing yards to Tom Brady and 243 passing yards to Dak Prescott. Even more impressive, they held Brady to zero touchdown passes.
The only chance that the Colts have at winning this game, is on the throwing arm of Andrew Luck. I don’t see Indy being successful running the ball against the Titans. Also, I don’t see Indy being able to score close to their 28.9 ppg average on the season. But, I do see Luck being able to make some plays and keep the Colts in the game.
The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, 6-2 ATS as an Underdog, 9-5 SU and 9-5 ATS against divisional opponents, and 7-3 SU over their last 10 games during November. The Colts are 6-12 SU in games where the line is +3 to -3, 11-20 against AFC opponents, 4-8 ATS versus the AFC South, 3-6 SU in their last 9 home games.
The Over/Under is not a bad choice, but it’s not the smart play. The Colts score almost 29 ppg and the Titans limit their opponents to under 17 ppg. However, these two teams have combined to score 50.5 ppg in their last 10 games.
I like the moneylines as they offer good value. But, since I’m taking the Titans to win this game, it’s safer to go with Tennessee getting 1.5 points at -113 than taking the +100 Titans moneyline. This game will be close and a $13 difference for a $100 bet is worth taking the points.
I believe the Titans defense will be the difference in this game and I expect them to win a tight divisional battle.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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