Bucks at Warriors – NBA Pick for March 29th

by Taylor Smith
on March 29, 2018
Milwaukee Bucks (+170)
Golden State Warriors (-200)
Total: 216
All odds referenced in this article were taken from Bovada at 11:30am on March 29, 2018. Odds may  have changed since the time of this writing.

After a few games with guys like Quinn Cook and Nick Young leading the charge, the defending champs are starting to get healthy. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson are still sidelined, but the Warriors are expected to get both Kevin Durant and Draymond Green back tonight. Both players are listed as probable.

Golden State needs the help. The Dubs are just 3-6 over their last 9 games, and they’ve lost each of their last 2 against the Jazz and Pacers at home. Durant has missed 6 straight with a rib issue, but he’s expected to be good to go tonight against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.

With Curry and Thompson still out, Durant will re-assume his role as the focal point of the Warriors’ offense. With Curry and Thompson off, Durant has a usage rate this season of 42.4 percent, which is insane. He’s jacking shots at an incredible rate, which is exactly what they need him to do. That’s an 11 percent bump over his season-long usage.

Cook has been on fire, but he will likely go back to his role as a low-usage facilitator type in the offense. Cook, the former Duke Blue Devil, has been playing incredibly well in Curry’s place. Over the last 5 games, the rookie has averaged 17.8 points, 6.0 assists and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Warriors. He’ll still start for Curry, but we can expect his scoring output to dwindle with KD back in the mix.

The Warriors have been held under 100 points in 3 of their last 4 games, with the lone exception being a 106-point output against the lowly Hawks. Tonight’s opponent, the Bucks, likes to slow things down and grind games out defensively.

The Bucks are going to make the playoffs, but they’re staring at the No. 8 seed as of now. That would mean a first-round date with the Raptors, which you have to imagine they would prefer to avoid. That said, they’re still just a half-game back of Miami for the 7 seed. The 7 seed figures to be desirable considering it likely means a first-round matchup with the Celtics, who are expected to be without Kyrie Irving. Milwaukee still has plenty of incentive moving forward.

The Bucks had picked up back-to-back wins before a setback against the Clippers last time out. Giannis left the game against the Clippers 3 games ago with a sprained ankle, but he’s looked no worse for the wear since his return. The Greek Freak has logged 38 and 40 minutes in the last 2 games, so it’s safe to say the ankle is feeling fine.

These 2 teams last met on January 12 in Milwaukee, where a full-strength Warriors squad came away with a 108-94 victory. The Bucks have proven to be a difficult matchup for the Warriors in recent years, and that will be no different tonight with Golden State still being short-handed.

Despite having an impressive collection of talent, the Bucks are just underachievers. This is a roster that should be getting better results, but they just aren’t. Golden State is still missing some important pieces, but I think they’ll have enough to get past Milwaukee at home tonight. I like KD to bolster the team’s enthusiasm, and they’ll cover here tonight against the Bucks.

Pick: Warriors (-5)

$100 Stake Wins......

Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, but he’s willing to take one for the team on that front every now and then.

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