Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview, Odds and Week 4 Pick

Pick: Bills -2.5
Odds: -120
$100 Could Win You...$183.33

In Week 4 of the NFL season, the undefeated Buffalo Bills head to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders in what’s expected to be a highly entertaining matchup.

The Bills pulled off a dramatic win against the Rams last weekend while the Raiders fell to the Patriots on the road. Can Buffalo remain undefeated or will the Raiders get a big AFC upset victory? Kickoff inside Allegiant Stadium is at 4:25PM ET.

Bills vs Raiders Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120) -155 Over 52.5 (-110)
Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 (+100) +135 Under 52.5 (-110)
Betting Data Buffalo Bills Las Vegas Raiders
2020 Record 3-0 2-1
2020 Home 2-0 1-0
2020 Away 1-0 1-1
2020 ATS 2-1 2-1
2020 ATS Home 2-0 1-0
2020 ATS Away 0-1 1-1
2020 O/U 3-0 3-0
2020 O/U Home 2-0 1-0
2020 O/U Away 1-0 2-0

Bills vs Raiders NFL Game Preview

The Buffalo Bills and the Las Vegas Raiders have played against each other 41 times with the Raiders holding the slight edge at 21-20. These two teams last played in 2017 and Buffalo won 34 to 14. The Raiders have 6-3 in the last nine meetings.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders (2-1) failed to build off their stunning Week 2 upset over the Saints as they lost on the road at New England in Week 3. The Raiders were blown out in the second half of that game. However, at 2-1, this is a different team with a different attitude. Can they rebound by taking down the Bills?
  • The Buffalo Bills (3-0) gave up a 25 point lead against the Rams last weekend, but scored in the final seconds to beat Los Angeles 35 to 32. It was a thrilling game that highlighted an exciting Week 3 slate. Can Buffalo keep up their torrid offensive pace or will the Raiders slow them down?

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Raiders are 6-4 SU in last 10 meetings
  • Raiders are 7-3 ATS in last 10 matchups
  • The Over is 8-2 SU in last 10 games
  • Raiders are 5-0 SU in last five home games

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

  • 13-7 SU in last 20 overall games
  • 3-7 SU in last 10 games vs winning teams
  • 11-3 SU in last 14 games as the favorite
  • 6-4 SU when a favorite of +3 to -3
  • 10-6 ATS in last 16 road games
  • 1-4 ATS in last five AFC games
  • 1-4 ATS in last five October games
  • Over is 7-2 in last nine AFC West games
  • Under is 13-4 in last 17 road games

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

  • 3-6 SU in last nine overall games
  • 7-3 SU in last 10 home games
  • 1-5 SU in last six October games
  • 3-7 SU in last 10 games vs winning teams
  • 0-3 SU in last three AFC East games
  • 8-17 SU in last 25 AFC games
  • 0-3 ATS in last three AFC games
  • 3-0 ATS as home underdog of 3 pts or less
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 October games
  • Under is 6-2 in last eight AFC games
  • Over is 4-2 in last six Week 4 games

Buffalo opened up as a two point favorite with most NFL betting sites. Their spread has gone up slightly to a range of 2.5 to 3 points depending on which sports betting site you use. The Over/Under opened at 49.5 points and has gone up to an O/U of 52.5 total points.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Bills -2.5 (-120)

I think this game requires us to throw out betting trends from prior seasons. These two teams are very different than the last time they played (2017). In fact, they’re both noticeably better than last year’s squads.

Buffalo enters this week’s matchup as the 4th highest scoring team (31ppg) and the 2nd ranked passing offense at 346 ypg. QB Josh Allen has been spectacular with 1,038 passing yards, 10 TD throws, 1 INT, and two rushing TDs. He will have the advantage in the quarterback duel against Derek Carr.


https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1310330477761441792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

The Raiders are giving up 30ppg, 411.3 total ypg, and 247.7 passing ypg. That number could be higher, but they played New England last weekend who put up nearly 250 rushing yards. Buffalo should be able to find success in the air and on the ground against this Las Vegas defense.

Speaking of rushing, Raiders running back Josh Jacobs has 252 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs on the season and he gets a nice matchup against a Bills defense that’s allowing 106 rushing ypg. Yet, they gave up 167 yards to the Rams last weekend, which really bodes well for Jacobs.

However, stopping the run isn’t just a problem for Buffalo as the Raiders are even worse at it. After three weeks, the Raiders have the 29th ranked rushing defense as they allow 163.7 ypg.

This is a good sign for the Bills as they got RB Devin Singletary back on track against the Rams. Singletary finished with 71 yards rushing on 13 carries. He also had four catches for 50 yards. That’s a total of 121 yards from scrimmage. I expect Buffalo to give Singletary at least 15 touches this week as well.

Until someone shows the rest of the NFL how to slow down this Buffalo offense, I just don’t see the Raiders having a chance at winning this game. I believe Buffalo will put up over 30 points again this week and Josh Allen will flirt with a 4th straight 300 yard passing performance and at least 3 TDs.

I’m going with the Bills to cover the 2.5 point spread. I actually think they will win by a touchdown. I expect their defense to bounce back this week and for the offense to keep trucking along. Look for Diggs, Brown, Beasley and Singletary all to have big games as Buffalo improves to 4-0.

If you don’t feel comfortable with the spread then take the Over 52.5 points. Both teams have gone Over in all three of their games this season. Furthermore, they’re averaging a combined 60.3ppg and they’re allowing a combined 55.7ppg.

Bills vs Raiders Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Bills (-155) vs Raiders (+120)
  • Spread: Bills -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 5 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Buffalo 31 – Raiders 24

Bills vs Raiders Pick

Bills -2.5 (-120)

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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