Week 12 of the NFL season wraps up with an exciting Monday Night Football contest between the smash-mouth Baltimore Ravens and last year’s NFC Champions the Los Angeles Rams.
The Ravens (8-2) are coming off a complete destruction of the Houston Texans last weekend as they won at home 41 to 7. Baltimore has won six straight games including victories at Seattle and at home over the New England Patriots.
The Los Angeles Rams (6-4) are 3-1 in their last four games, but have struggled against talented teams like San Francisco and Seattle. They are desperate to stay in touch with the NFC West leading 49ers and the last Wild Card spot.
Will the Rams get their biggest win of the season or will the Ravens continue to steamroll the competition and fight for the #1 spot in the AFC? Kickoff at Las Angeles Memorial Coliseum is at 8:15 PM ET.
Ravens vs Rams Live Odds and Betting History
The following odds are courtesy of our live odds feed:
Los Angeles Rams
2019 ATS Home
2019 ATS Away
2019 O/U Home
2019 O/U Away
Baltimore vs Los Angeles MNF Game Preview
These two NFL franchises have only played against each other six times. The Ravens hold the advantage with a 4-2 record. Their last meeting was at Baltimore in 2015, where the Ravens won 16-13.
Baltimore has won three straight contests including the last time they played in L.A. The Rams have a 2-1 home record against the Ravens, but have been outscored by a combined total of 69 to 67 in those three games.
The spread opened with the Ravens favored by three points at most NFL betting sites. This line has stayed pretty consistent all week long. The Over/Under opened at 49 points with many sports betting websites before falling to the current O/U of 46.5 total points.
The moneylines opened with numbers all over the map. However, since then, we’ve seen some stabilization as the Ravens have become the betting favorite with all online betting sites. Currently, they’re listed at -165. The Rams have gone as high as +150 before settling as +145 underdog at home.
Head to Head Betting Trends
The Ravens are 4-2 SU in head to head meetings.
The Rams are 3-2-1 in these six games.
The Over/Under is 3-3 overall.
The Under is 2-1 in last three games.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends
4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU in their last 5 overall games
13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games
4-1 ATS after winning two or more straight games.
6-2 ATS and 8-0 SU in last eight games during Weeks 10 through 13.
The Under is 5-1 in last six games against the NFC.
The Under is 5-0 in last five games against NFC West.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends
11-4 ATS and 10-5 SU in their last 15 overall games.
Can the Rams Defense Stop Lamar Jackson and the Ravens Offense?
For the Rams to have any hope in winning this game, and possibly saving their season, they need to slow down this Baltimore Ravens offense which means containing Lamar Jackson.
Don’t look now, but Lamar Jackson is putting together a historic season which has him in the conversation for MVP. Although I’m still in the camp of Russell Wilson winning the award, Jackson’s on pace to do things that no other QB has ever done before.
Currently, Jackson is 11th in the NFL with 781 rushing yards and six rushing TDs. He leads the Ravens in rushing despite the team featuring lead running back Mark Ingram who only has 667 yards and eight TDs.
If you are looking for a weakness with Jackson’s passing game, you won’t find one either. He’s thrown for 2,258 passing yards, 19 TDs and just 5 INTs. This offense is devastating when Jackson is on top of his game.
For the Rams to have a shot against the Ravens, they will need to contain Jackson and collapse the pocket on him. However, that’s easier said than done. The Ravens offense put up 30 points on the Patriots defense a few weeks ago. New England has the #1 defense in the league.
Baltimore rushed for 210 total yards and 3 rushing TDs against the Patriots as the Ravens have the best rushing attack in the NFL. They also have the #1 scoring offense at 34.1 ppg and the #2 offense in the league with 428.6 total ypg.
Baltimore’s lowest point total this season was 23 against Arizona and Cincinnati. However, they won both games.
The Rams have the 5th best run defense in the league as they allow just 89.1 rushing ypg. They also give up just 19.8 ppg defensively. There are two key factors to focus on when looking at this Rams defense: before Jalen Ramsey and after Jalen Ramsey.
Before Ramsey, the defense was bad. After Ramsey, they have improved significantly.
The Rams traded for Ramsey in Week 7 of the season and his first game was against the Atlanta Falcons. Since the trade, the Rams are 3-1. If it weren’t for a poor offensive performance at Pittsburgh, the Rams would’ve gone 4-0. They lost 17-12.
The Rams are giving up 11 ppg with Ramsey in the lineup. Additionally, in three of those games, they held opposing offenses to 283 total ypg or less. That would put them as the 3rd best in the league if they carried that number throughout the season. They’ve forced six turnovers over the last four games as well.
One more stat to throw at you, the Rams are only allowing 4.25 ppg in the second half of games since bringing Ramsey into the fold. He’s one of the best corners in the league. Even in the Steelers loss, Ramsey shut down their best receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster. He had just 3 receptions for 44 yards.
This week, I believe Ramsey will take away the Ravens top receiving threat which will allow the Rams to stack the box and stop the run. Clay Matthews, Dante Fowler and Aaron Donald will have a better chance at getting to Jackson when Ramsey and the secondary lock down the receivers.
It all starts with Ramsey, but it ends with Donald on the d-line. If he can wreak havoc on the Ravens o-line then the Rams will win this game.
“He’s a legit monster. You talk about a game-wrecker, a game-changer, that’s who it is."
Free NFL Sports Bet and MNF Prediction: Under 46.5 Total Points (-110)
It’s a big “if” for the Rams to stop the Ravens offense. Yet, I don’t see the Ravens defense having too much trouble slowing down the Rams offense. In fact, a lot of what the Rams have suffered offensively as of late has been self-inflicted.
QB Jared Goff has had a bad stretch and his current TD-to-INT ratio of 11-to-10 is terrible. The Rams rushing attack has been poor as well and so has their coaching. This MNF game is a chance for the Rams to save their season and reemerge in a tough NFC playoff race.
They won’t win in a shootout against the Ravens. This isn’t last year’s Rams offense. The best chance at winning is holding the Ravens out of the endzone and keeping this a low scoring game.
For this MNF contest, I’m going with the Under 46.5 total points (-110). Each team allows a little over 19 ppg. Offensively, the Rams look average and I don’t see them putting up more than 20 to 23 points against the Ravens. If the defense comes to play, then the Rams can keep Baltimore down to their season low of 23 points.
The Under is 4-1 in the Rams last five home games and their last six overall games this year. The Ravens have seen the Under go 5-1 against the NFC and 5-0 against the NFC West. Lastly, the O/U opened at 49 total points and fell down to 46.5 points after bettors hammered the Under. I still think the Under will hit.ddddd
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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