Celtics vs Cavaliers – NBA Game 6 Pick for May 25th
Game 5 went about as well as expected for Celtics fans. The Cavaliers decided to take the day off and Boston defended their home court to remain undefeated (10-0) at the TD Garden in the postseason. Additionally, the Under hit as I predicted. Now, the series heads back to Cleveland for Game 6 and things don’t look good for the Celtics and their road woes in the playoffs.
Boston is one win away from going to the NBA finals for the first time since 2010. Unfortunately, that one win won’t come in Game 6 because they’re on the road where they’ve gone 1-6 SU in the playoffs. Oddsmakers have the Cavs as a big favorite at home with a spread hovering around 7 points. That’s reflective of Boston’s road troubles and the Cavs’ two beatdowns of Boston at home.
In Game 5, LeBron led all scorers with 26 points on 11-of-22 shooting. He also had 10 rebounds and 5 assists. Unfortunately, other than Kevin Love, the rest of the team forgot to show up. Once again, role players like Hill, Smith, and Korver only combined for 16 points. Even Thompson had his worst game of the series with 1 point and 6 rebounds. In the end, Boston won 96-83 and now the Cavs are on the brink of elimination.
Boston had a great team effort, especially on the defensive side of things. Tatum led the way with 24 points and Al Horford returned to playoff form with 15 points and 12 rebounds. Brown added 17 points and the bench came up big as both Morris and Smart scored 13 points apiece. Boston also shot more free throws, had more assists, forced more turnovers, had more steals and outrebounded Cleveland.
Unfortunately for the Celtics, they’ve been unable to maintain this consistency on the road and I don’t see them doing it in Game 6 at Cleveland. Celtic players are saying the right things that they need to play a great game on Friday, but I don’t see it happening. They were blown out on the road in Game 3 by 30 and then lost by 9 in Game 4. Boston might be able to keep it within single digits for Game 6, but I don’t see them winning it.
The Cavs are a much better team at home in the playoffs, especially because their role players remember how to shoot the ball at home. So, I expect this team to come out aggressive and try to get up by double digits before the 1st quarter ends. In Game 3 they were up by 15 at the end of the 1st and in Game 4 they were up by 16 at the end of the 1st quarter.
So, typically I stay away from high moneylines, but the way this series has gone, I’m going with the Cavs moneyline for Game 6. The home team is 5-0 SU in this series. Boston is 1-6 SU on the road in the playoffs and the Cavs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games during the playoffs.
The Celtics are 1-9 SU in their last 10 road games, 7-17 SU in their last 24 games against the Cavs and 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at Cleveland. The Cavs are 4-1 SU when trailing in a playoff series, 47-25 SU as a favorite, and 36-13 SU in all home games this year.
On the road, Boston has averaged 101.5 ppg this year and Cleveland has averaged 110.5 ppg at home this year. For this series, Boston has averaged 99.2 ppg, but only 94 ppg on the road. The Cavs have averaged 97.4 ppg, but perform much better at home with an average of 113.5 ppg.
No messing around with this bet. Going all in on the Cavs moneyline and taking King James to lead his team to victory at home over the Celtics.
Bet: Cavaliers moneyline (-330)
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