AFC West TNF Showdown: Chiefs vs Broncos Betting Preview, Odds and Pick

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Week 7 will begin with an AFC West clash as the Kansas City Chiefs travel to Colorado to take on one of their divisional rivals, the Denver Broncos. This matchup typically brings out an extra level of intensity and physicality due to the history between these two teams.

The Broncos have won two straight games, while the Chiefs have dropped two in a row. Denver is hoping to extend the Chiefs’ losing streak to three games. Can KC bounce back, or will Denver add to their misery? Kickoff inside Empower Field at Mile High is at 8:20 PM ET.

Chiefs vs Broncos Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of our live odds feed:

Betting Data Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos
2019 Record 4-2 2-4
2019 Home 1-2 1-2
2019 Away 3-0 1-2
2019 ATS 3-3 3-3
2019 ATS Home 1-2 2-1
2019 ATS Away 2-1 1-2
2019 O/U 4-2 2-4
2019 O/U Home 2-1 1-2
2019 O/U Away 2-1 1-2

Kansas City vs Denver TNF Game Preview

These two teams have played against each other a total of 118 times. Other than the Chiefs vs Raiders, this is the top rivalry in the history of the AFC West Division. Currently, Kansas City holds the advantage in this series with a 63-55 record.

The Chiefs also have dominated this head to head rivalry over the last several years as they’ve won the last seven meetings between these two teams. Before that, the Broncos won seven straight against the Chiefs. Denver has dropped four straight games at home in this rivalry.

The Chiefs (4-2) are coming off two straight losses, and panic is beginning to set in with the fans, critics, and possibly even the franchise. KC has looked like an average team despite being picked at the beginning of the season to compete with the Patriots for the AFC Championship.

The two losses came in different manners as the Colts physically beat them up, and the Texans won in a shootout. Will the Chiefs be able to turn things around on a short week?

Denver (2-4) has won two straight games and looks like a rejuvenated team. They just shut out the Tennessee Titans at home and are trending upward. The defense continues to give this team a fighting chance every week. Can Denver pull off the upset and hand KC their third straight loss?

The spread for this game opened with the Broncos getting anywhere from three to five points, depending on which NFL betting sites you look at. Currently, the spread sits at 3.5 points for the Broncos. The Over/Under opened as high as 50.5 points but has come down to 49 total points with most online betting sites.

Free TNF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs (-177)

The Chiefs are in desperation mode right now. Another loss and they will be in a full panic. This team was expected to contend for the conference title.

Once October came, it was like the Chiefs forgot how to play football. Most notably, it’s been their offense. In the last two weeks, both losses, the Chiefs have averaged just 18.5 ppg. That’s well below their 34 ppg in the first four weeks of the season.

It also appears that the Chiefs have forgotten how to run the ball also. They averaged just 45.5 rushing ypg in the last two weeks, which is far below the 123 yards that the team tallied against the Detroit Lions in their last win.

To make matters worse, Patrick Mahomes has only thrown for four touchdowns in the last three games, including the win at Detroit. Over the previous two games, he’s turned the ball over two times. He was also sacked five times in those games. In comparison, Mahomes had zero turnovers and just three sacks in the first four games of the season.

The Chiefs will face a solid defense on the road that brings the pressure. Denver has only given up 6.5 ppg over their last two contests. Furthermore, they’ve given up just 14 ppg in their three home games.

Denver’s offense has been atrocious, but the Chiefs defense is bad and I can see Denver having some success. Most notably, Denver’s running game should get back on track this week as KC allows 161.8 ypg on the ground and 24 points per game. On the road, KC gives up 22 ppg.

The Broncos average only 17.7 ppg on offense, which is near the bottom of the league. However, the Chiefs defense has given up 26 or more points in four of their six games this year. I can see Denver’s duo of Lindsay and Freeman having success on the ground. Sutton will also be a difficult matchup for the Chiefs secondary.

With all of that said, I believe this game will be close. Yet, I don’t see the Chiefs losing three games in a row. That’s why I’m taking the Chiefs moneyline at -177. If you can find those odds lower by shopping at different online betting sites, then do so. I don’t trust either team with the spread right now.

The Chiefs are 23-11 SU as a favorite, 12-7 SU in their last 19 road games, 22-10 SU in their previous 32 conference games, 25-9 SU in grass games, 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record and 11-2 SU in their last 13 divisional games.

The Broncos are 5-9 SU in their last 14 divisional games, 10-18 SU against the AFC, and 5-13 SU in their previous 18 games as an underdog.

I’m taking the Chiefs to win this divisional battle and to snap their two-game losing skid. I’m going with their moneyling because I’m not confident that they will cover the 3.5-point spread the way they’ve been playing the last few weeks. Take the safe play and go with the Chiefs to win outright.

Chiefs vs Broncos Betting Recap

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Chiefs (-177) and Broncos (+157)
  • Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Kansas City 27 – Denver 24
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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