The NFC East division picture should become a bit clearer after the Dallas Cowboys host the New York Giants on Sunday afternoon. This division is always one of the most competitive in the NFL, but Dallas is hoping to change that with a 4-1 start. Meanwhile, the Giants will be looking for their second straight win.
Troy Aikman says the Giants aren't in the Cowboys' class. Hopefully some Giants see that comment.
Troy Aikman’s quote above may have been eye-opening, but you don’t need much bulletin-board material to get these two rivals fired up. Game time on Sunday afternoon is at 4:25 PM Eastern Time with the action going down from the Cowboys home field of AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
These two squads have battled each other at least once since the Cowboys joined the NFL all the back in 1960 as an expansion team. With both in the NFC East, they now play each other twice every season in home-and-home fashion. Dallas holds the all-time lead in the series 69-47-2, with most of the difference coming in the 70s when they were a powerhouse.
The Giants have a record of 1-3, but that easily could have been with a break or two here and there. They lost on last-second field goals in consecutive weeks to Washington and Atlanta. Last week, they finally had some of that late-game luck go their way when they rallied from 11 down to win on the road in New Orleans in overtime.
Dallas battled the defending champion Buccaneers to the wire in a loss on Opening Night of the NFL season. That proved to be an indication of how this team has improved, as the Cowboys have come away with three straight wins since then. That includes a win last week against previously-unbeaten Carolina.
Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game
The point spread in this game has mostly jockeyed back and forth between 7 and 7 1/2 points in favor of the Cowboys. It opened at 7 1/2, spent time at 7 and then went back up a half-point again. Most recently it fell back to 7 again.
The over/under has seen just a little bit more movement. Perhaps in response to the fact that the Giants’ offense has been a bit more explosive than expected, it’s been on the rise. After starting at 50, the over/under line has risen a pair of points and now stands at 52.
Head to Head Betting Trends
Before the Giants knocked the Cowboys off in the 2020 season finale, Dallas had been on a seven-game winning streak in the series
New York covered the spread both games against Dallas last year, but Dallas had covered six in a row against New York prior to that
The Giants haven’t beaten the Cowboys in Dallas since the 2016 season
Both of the games between the two teams last season were decided by four points or less
The over has been the correct bet in this series between Dallas and New York in four of the last five contests
New York Betting Trends
The Giants have covered the spread in both of their road games so far this season
In both of those New York road games, the over has been the correct points total wager
Going back to last year, the over is just 2-9 in the last 11 Giants games
New York has covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games on the road
In their last ten NFC games, the Giants have covered the spread 80 percent of the time
As a road underdog with a range of between 3 1/2 and 7 points over the last three years, New York has won just 1 of 7 games, but has covered the spread in 6 of those 7
The Giants have covered 9 of their last 13 in games with NFC East opponents
New York is two games above .500 as an underdog since the 2019 season
Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends
Dallas has begun the year by covering the spread in their first four games played
Dating back to the end of last season, Dallas has covered 87 percent of their last eight games played
In the last 11 Cowboy games, the over has been the correct wager instead of the under 73 percent of the time
In their last seven games against divisional foes, Dallas has covered the spread just 29 percent of the time
Dallas has covered the spread in just one of their last five games played in October
Dallas’ record as a favorite against the spread in the past three seasons is three games below .500
They have covered 55 percent of their games at home since the 2019 season
Against teams with a losing record, Dallas is one game above .500 against the spread in the last three years
Free Bet and Game Prediction:
Much of Dallas’ success in the first four games of the season has been built from their turnover margin. The Cowboys are first in the league in turnover differential, which helps to make up for the fact that they are 30th in defensive yards per play and 27th in defensive yards per game. New York has protected the ball well with just 3 turnovers through four games.
In other words, if Daniel Jones and the rest of the offensive unit can hold onto the ball, they should be able to score. Jones is off to his best start as a pro, averaging 296 yards per games through the air and adding 47 more per game on the ground. He’s actually the team’s leading rusher over Saquon Barkley to this point.
New York’s offensive line has protected him well enough, which means he should have time to throw. Look for rookie Kadarius Toney to be a frequent target in the slot. After all, Jones would be wise to stay away from too many boundary passes, or else he could end up being victimized by ball-hawking Cowboy corner Trevon Diggs.
As the Giants’ offense has taken a step forward this season, the defense has fallen back. And they are particularly smarting against the run. That’s not a good sign as they come to face the Cowboys, who one of the most dedicated running teams in football, which is understandable because they do it very well.
Ezekiel Elliott has looked like his old self the last three weeks while getting ample support from Tony Pollard. That one-two punch will be aimed right at the middle of the Giants line, which is missing Dalvin Tomlinson from last year and lost tackling machine Blake Martinez to injury earlier this year.
From there, the Cowboys should be able to sprinkle in Dak Prescott play-action when the time is right. This is shaping up like a game that should go back and forth, with both teams mounting scoring drives and big plays on offense. The home field should make the difference with the Cowboys eking out a close one.
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...
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