Expert Diaz vs. Lawler Betting Pick and Analysis

By in UFC on
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Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler
Diaz vs. Lawler Pick – Nick Diaz (+130)
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One of the most exciting UFC matchups of 2021 is just around the corner. The path for Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler to compete in this rematch has been a long, complicated one. Fortunately, these two men are officially slated to compete in a five-round bout this Saturday. Today, I’ll be offering an in-depth Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick with an analysis of how both fighters will approach their matchup.

Fans around the world seem excited to watch these men compete. Some even claim it’s the true main event of this weekend’s UFC 266 card. Before breaking down this incredible matchup, I will quickly explain how exactly fans can bet on this fight online.

Let’s get into it!

Here’s How to Bet on Diaz vs. Lawler Online

MMA fans around the world have been eagerly waiting for UFC 266 to arrive. This card is stacked from top to bottom with incredible matchups. Perhaps the most-talked-about fight of the entire event is the one between fan favorites Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler.

These two fighters first competed back at UFC 47 in 2004. At that time, both were considered exciting up-and-comers with a huge amount of potential. Nick Diaz ended up shocking the world that night by scoring a second-round knockout of Lawler.

Both have had incredible journeys in MMA since this bout. Fans are now eager to find where exactly they can bet on Diaz vs. Lawler 2 online. I highly recommend checking out BetOnline, one of the best online sports betting sites operating today.

This site offers fans more MMA betting options than almost any other internet sportsbook. It’s here that members can bet on every single fight taking place on UFC cards. A massive variety of unique prop bets are also provided for all of these exciting matchups.

There is no reason to have concerns about safety here. BetOnline is known for giving its members a range of secure payment options including traditional bank transfers and cryptocurrency payments. Fees are always low and processing times are short.

Not long ago, BetOnline went through a major design overhaul. It now has one of the sleekest, most modern designs and user interfaces of any online sportsbook. Even those completely new to sports betting will have no trouble figuring out how to bet on the big fights.

Anyone with a Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick should give this site a look. It’s offering some fantastic odds on this upcoming five-round rematch.

Now, let’s look at how these two legendary fighters stack up against one another.

Nick Diaz vs. Robbie Lawler: Tale of the Tape

Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler are two of the most experienced fighters in the UFC. It’s incredible to think that some of the fans watching their rematch this weekend may not have even been alive when they first competed.

As one would expect, both have evolved their game over the years. Those who predict a repeat of the first bout will likely be surprised. I expect a considerably different bout here.

There are a million ways to break down how a high-level MMA fight could play out. I tend to first look at how two fighters match up on a physical level. With that in mind, let’s check out the tale of the tape for this epic rematch.

Nick Diaz

  • Height: 6’1”
  • Weight: 185 lbs
  • Reach: 76”
  • Age: 38

Robbie Lawler

  • Height: 5’11”
  • Weight: 170 lbs*
  • Reach: 74”
  • Age: 39

The UFC’s matchmakers deserve some credit here. They booked a fight between two true legends of the game at similar points in their career. The physical statistics between these men are also very close and do not help considerably to form a Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick.

Diaz will be walking into the cage with a two-inch height advantage. He also possesses the two-inch reach advantage in this matchup. Just one year in age separates these two former MMA champions.

The issue of weight has been a major talking point with this bout. Initially, it was scheduled to take place at 170 pounds. Days before the fight, Diaz requested the fight be moved up to 185 pounds. Lawler agreed to the terms and this fight is now officially a five-round middleweight contest.

Both of these men have competed at middleweight before. In fact, Nick’s last MMA fight took place in this division against Anderson Silva. Lawler has not fought at middleweight since a decision loss to Lorenz Larkin.

Overall, the physical stats between these are fairly even. Nick has a few advantages that may help him on fight night. Now, let’s talk about the best path to victory for each fighter.

Nick’s Goal

A huge number of questions surround the return of Nick Diaz. He has not fought since 2015 and hasn’t earned a victory in MMA since 2011. In his prime, Nick was one of the hardest fighters to deal with in all of mixed martial arts.

Diaz has a relentless pressure style. He moves forward with his elite boxing skills, favoring constant combinations over powerful one-shot punches. He is not the best wrestler, yet has world-class jiu-Jitsu skills once fights hit the mat. Those latter skills have led some fans to form a Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick of Nick winning via submission.

I expect Diaz to utilize his boxing in this fight as often as possible. He will want to avoid the kicking game of Lawler by keeping him on his back foot. This is a five-round fight, meaning Nick has ample time to wear Robbie down while looking for a stoppage. I believe slick boxing combinations with his pressure will be the best path to victory here. BetOnline has Nick listed as the +130 underdog.

Robbie’s Goal

Robbie Lawler has experienced ups and downs throughout his MMA career. In 2014, he shocked the world by earning the UFC’s welterweight title. He defended the belt twice in some of the most epic MMA fights in history. Unfortunately, Robbie has now gone just 1-5 in his past six bouts.

That does not mean that Lawler is no longer dangerous. He has only lost to the very best fighters in the world at 170 pounds. He seems motivated here and I expect him to take a kick-heavy approach to this bout. Robbie should try to chip away at Nick with hard kicks to the legs, body, and head. If Diaz gets too lazy with his boxing combinations, Lawler can look for his patented knockout punches, too.

I don’t expect to see Robbie Lawler trying to initiate the grappling here. Instead, he’ll work his strong kickboxing game. Diaz tends to get hit, and he needs to be very wary of taking big shots against a fighter with the power that Lawler possesses. It seems the oddsmakers feel he has a shot at earning the knockout, as he comes into this fight as the -150 favorite.

Final Diaz vs. Lawler Betting Pick

There is no doubt that the rematch between Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler is what is generating the most fan interest this weekend. UFC 266 is loaded with incredible matchups. Just about everyone is most curious to see how Nick looks after so many years away from the fight game.

It was extremely difficult to come up with this Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick. I have taken a close look at both of their latest fights. Both have evolved their styles and I expect a different bout from their first one in 2004.

You can check out my official fight prediction below!

Nick Diaz Wins Via Unanimous Decision

Coming up with this Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick was harder than I expected, no one really knows how Nick Diaz will look inside the Octagon. Time catches up with everyone and there is certainly a chance that Nick looks like a shell of himself inside the cage. I don’t expect that to be the case in this fight against Robbie Lawler.

Pick: Diaz
Odds: +130
$100 Could Win You...$230

Nick will utilize his elite boxing combinations early and often. I expect him to take some serious shots from Robbie’s hands and legs throughout this fight. As the rounds go on, however, Diaz will begin to take over with his constant punches to the head and body.

Striking volume will be key for the Stockton-based brawler. He needs to keep pressure on Lawler without leaving himself open to getting knocked out. That is certainly easier said than done.

This should be a war. In the end, Nick will have done enough to be awarded the winner via unanimous decision.


Many fans are likely to disagree with this Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick. Long layoffs tend to hurt fighters and Nick has not competed in more than half a decade. We should have a fairly good idea as to who will win this fight within the first minute of the opening round.

Feel free to head over to BetOnline today to check out a full list of odds for Diaz vs. Lawler 2. That includes unique prop betting options for this fight. Make sure to take a look at some of the lines for other bouts taking place on this card.

What do you think of my Diaz vs. Lawler betting pick? Will Nick Diaz make a triumphant return to the Octagon? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Oldroyd

A longtime sports and gambling enthusiast, Kevin looks to present up-to-date and reliable information for readers. If he’s not writing, he’s probably watching MMA or playing blackjack. ...

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