Will the Georgia Bulldogs Continue Their SEC Run by Beating Auburn?

By in NCAAF on

On Saturday, November 16th, the Georgia Bulldogs travel to Alabama to take on the Auburn Tigers in a huge SEC showdown between two Top 12 teams.

The #4 Bulldogs (8-1, 5-1 SEC) come into this game having won three straight SEC contests including an impressive win over the then #6 Florida Gators two weeks ago. They’ve rebounded nicely since a shocking loss to South Carolina last month.

The #12 Auburn Tigers (7-2, 4-2 SEC) have dropped two of their last four games with both of those contests coming against top ranked SEC opponents. Can Auburn snap this losing streak against Top 10 SEC foes or will it continue this weekend? Kickoff inside Jordan-Hare Stadium is at 3:30 PM ET.

Georgia vs Auburn Betting Preview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
Georgia Bulldogs -3 (-100) -135 Over 40.5 (-110)
Auburn Tigers +3 (-120) +115 Under 40.5 (-110)

These two SEC foes have played against each other 123 times with the Georgia Bulldogs holding the advantage at 59-56-8. The Bulldogs have won 11 of the last 14 head to head meetings including two straight.

Not only did Georgia defeat Auburn last year 27 to 10, but they also defeated the Tigers in the SEC title game two years ago by a score of 28-7. Georgia has outscored the Tigers 55 to 17 in their last two meetings. Auburn is 6-4 in their last 10 home meeting against the Bulldogs.

Head to Head Betting Trends

In the last 10 head to head meetings, the Bulldogs have gone 7-3 ATS. The Under is 3-7 during that span.

  • The Bulldogs are 5-1 SU against Auburn in the last six meetings.
  • Georgia is also 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends

  • Georgia is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
  • Georgia is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • The Bulldogs are 17-7 ATS and 20-5 SU in SEC games.
  • Georgia is 15-4 ATS versus teams with winning records
  • The Under is 6-1 in Georgia’s last seven overall games.
  • The Under is 6-1 in Georgia’s last seven Saturday games.

Auburn Tigers Betting Trends

  • Auburn is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Tigers are 11-9 ATS after an SEC game.
  • Auburn is 4-4 ATS in their last eight November games.
  • The Tigers are 8-8 ATS versus winning teams.
  • The Under is 13-7 in Auburn’s last 20 Saturday games.
  • The Under is 13-3 in Auburn’s last 16 games as an underdog.

Free SEC Betting Prediction: Georgia Bulldogs Moneyline -135

This game is all about defense. And, for many of us, that’s how football should be.

Auburn gives up 17.4 ppg, which ranks 3rd in the SEC. However, Georgia only allows 10.1 ppg which is second best in the nation. In conference play, Georgia allows just 9.5 ppg.

Additionally, the Bulldogs have the 5th best defense in the nation for yards allows at 260.3 ypg. Auburn gives up 334.1 total ypg.

Georgia also boasts of one of the top rushing defenses in the country at just 74.6 ypg allowed. This unit has not allowed a rushing TD all season. Auburn gives up 112.7 ypg on the ground.

A QB Battle Worth Watching

Auburn’s Bo Nix stepped onto the national stage in the opening week of the season when he led the Auburn Tigers to victory over the now #6 ranked Oregon Ducks. Nix showed poise in his first big time start and he played well down the stretch.

Since then, Nix has had an up and down season. For example, he only threw for 157 yards against LSU two games ago, but then bounced back last weekend for 340 yards against Ole Miss. His numbers on the season aren’t anything to brag about as he has 12 TDs to 6 INTs and 1,798 passing yards which is about 200 ypg.

Georgia’s junior QB Jake Fromm hasn’t blown away Nix in passing yards as he has just 1,858 yds on the season. However, he has 13 TDs to just 3 INTs, more experience in big games and the passing acumen to lead the Bulldogs to victory in a tight contest.

Against Florida, Fromm threw for 279 yards, 2 TDs, and zero turnovers. He was the driving force on offense that helped the Bulldogs win a huge SEC battle.

Whoever Stops the Run Will Win the Game

We talked about the defenses being stout, and the QBs that will try to beat them, but I believe the winner of this game will be the defense that does the best job at stopping the run.

Both teams have strong rushing attacks as the Tigers average 219.3 ypg and the Bulldogs average 215.9 ypg. One area that Auburn has the advantage at in QB play is that Nix is a legit dual threat quarterback as he has 214 rushing yards and 5 TDs on the ground.

Nix adds to the Auburn rushing attack, which means Georgia will have to account for him. In addition to Nix, Auburn also rolls out multiple running backs like Whitlow (553 yards), Williams (303 yards) and Martin (293 yards). Their depth has helped keep a running attack strong for four quarters.

Georgia features D’Andre Swift who has 921 yards and 7 rushing TDs this season. Against Florida he had 110 total yards with 86 on the ground. Against Notre Dame, he had 98 rushing yards and 1 TD. When Swift hasn’t carried the rock, Herrien has chipped in 366 yards and 5 Tds.

Against the two ranked teams that Georgia has played, they held Notre Dame to just 46 yards on the ground and Florida to just 21 yards. When Auburn played Florida they allowed 132 yards on the ground. Against LSU, they allowed 187 yards rushing.

Georgia is clearly the better overall defense, have better run stoppers, allows less points per game and will make Bo Nix’s life very difficult on Saturday.

Since this game will be low scoring, I really like Georgia’s moneyline of -135 odds. The game could be decided by a FG or less and most college football betting sites have Georgia listed at -3 points for odds of -100 to -110. Forget the points, go with the moneyline, and take Georgia to win another hard fought SEC battle.

Go ahead and pencil Georgia in for another SEC Title game as they will win the SEC East again, especially after defeating Auburn this weekend.

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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