Giants vs Patriots TNF Betting Preview, Odds and Free Prediction

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Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season starts with a Thursday night game between the visiting New York Giants and the hosting New England Patriots. The biggest buzz heading into this week’s matchup is the possibility of Giants running back Saquon Barkley playing.

Barkley was expected to miss between four and eight weeks but has shattered that timeframe. He was held out of Sunday’s game and had an outside chance to play on TNF this week. Unfortunately, he will be going up against the league’s best defense. Kickoff inside Gillette Stadium is at 8:20 PM ET.

Giants vs Patriots Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of our live odds feed:

Betting Data New York Giants New England Patriots
2019 Record 2-3 5-0
2019 Home 1-2 2-0
2019 Away 1-1 3-0
2019 ATS 2-3 3-2
2019 ATS Home 1-2 1-1
2019 ATS Away 1-1 2-1
2019 O/U 2-3 1-4
2019 O/U Home 0-3 1-1
2019 O/U Away 2-0 0-3

New York vs New England TNF Game Preview

These two teams have played against each other a total of 12 times. Each team has won six games apiece. However, it’s the Giants that have the edge in this rivalry, considering they defeated the Patriots in two Super Bowls: 2007 and 2011.

Their last game was four years ago, and the Patriots won 27 to 26. The Giants have won three of the previous four meetings.

New York (2-3) is coming off a tough loss at home against the Minnesota Vikings. They were unable to get much going on offense and their starting running back Gallman was injured early in the game and unable to play. Gallman is in the concussion protocol, and it’s highly doubtful that he will be cleared in time for TNF.

In addition to Gallman, receiver Sterling Sheppard is also in the protocol, and he could be there longer due to his recent history with concussions. The team is hoping that Barkley will be ready to play on Thursday; otherwise, they will be down to a 3rd string rusher. Starting TE Engram could also miss the game with a knee injury.

New England (5-0) is coming off a 33 to 7 win over Washington that ultimately cost head coach Jay Gruden his job. Nevertheless, the Patriots were sluggish at first before blowing the game wide open. This week, New England might also be without a few contributors on offense. But, does it matter as long as Brady is playing?

It’s no surprise that the Patriots opened up as a big betting favorite on NFL betting sites. Depending on which NFL betting site you looked at, the Patriots were anywhere from a -15 to -17 point home favorite. There’s a good chance that this spread goes up another point or so before the game starts on Thursday.

The over/under opened as high as 46 points before dropping down to 43.5 points. Most sports betting sites have the O/U listed at 44 total points.

Free TNF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Patriots -17 (-110)

I think it’s safe to say that most people believe the Patriots will win this matchup. But, let’s look at how they will win and cover the 17 points.

Defensively, the Patriots are considered the top defense in the NFL after five weeks of the season. They have completely shut down opposing offenses. They’re the biggest reason why the Patriots are undefeated.

For example, against Buffalo, the defense forced five turnovers and held the Bills to 10 points. The Patriots offense only scored 10 points that day, and Brady had his worst game in nearly a decade. This New England defense is legit and could propel the team to another Super Bowl win.

Coming into this game, the Patriots only allow 269.8 total yards per game, 191.8 passing ypg, 78 rushing ypg, and just 6.8 points per game. How’s an average Giants offense going to move the ball on this defense?

In short, the answer is – they won’t. Not to mention, head coach Bill Belichick is a guru against rookie QBs. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 11-0 at home against rookie QBs and 17-5 overall. Belichick talked positively about Giants QB Daniel Jones, but he saved his biggest praise for running back Saquon Barkley.

Belichick practically gushed over Barkley. And, it’s only Saquon that can give the Giants a fighting chance in this game. Even so, I would expect the Giants to stack the box and make Jones beat them. As of now, sources are claiming that Barkley won’t play in this game. Couple that with the other injuries, and the Giants could lose by 20 or more points.

Offensively, the Patriots have manhandled most opponents except for the Bills. As mentioned, New England scored just 10 points against Buffalo, but have put up 139 points against their other four opponents. They average 31 ppg, 390 total ypg, and 291 passing ypg.

The Giants defense allows 25 ppg, 427.6 total ypg, 297.6 passing ypg, and 130 rushing ypg. In their two road games, they’ve allowed 32 ppg.

I see the Patriots covering the 17 points spread mainly due to their defense shutting down the Giants offense. This will allow Brady and company to have more touches, which ultimately leads to more points.

The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine overall games, 5-0 ATS in their previous five games against the NFC, 6-1 ATS in their last seven October games, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games where they are a favorite of 10 points or more, 10-2 ATS when playing against teams with losing records, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games during Weeks 5 through 9.

During those same weeks, the Giants are 3-6 ATS. They’re also 7-17 ATS in turf games and 0-2 ATS in their last two games on Thursdays.

The Giants will try to play inspired football and take down the Patriots, but it’s not going to happen. Look for New England to open up the scoring in the second half and run away with this game. New England wins 31-10.

Giants vs Patriots Betting Recap

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Giants (+775) and New England (-1000)
  • Spread: Patriots -17 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 44 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Patriots 31 – Giants 10
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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