Japan vs. Mexico Tokyo 2021 Olympics Betting Odds and Pick

By in Olympics on
4 Minute Read
Japan vs. Mexico Pick
Japan vs. Mexico PickOver 2.5 (-122)
BetOnline Logo

The first round of the Tokyo 2020 Olympics football tournament is behind us. We’ve seen some crazy scores, crazy results, and splendid goals. The betting community won’t be pleased with how the first round went by. It was packed with surprises across the board, messing up people’s accumulators left and right.

Of course, those who prefer high-risk in soccer betting are probably in a great position right now. Those who don’t, no worries – our Japan vs. Mexico predictions are exactly what you need!

Both teams are coming into this match with first-round wins. Mexico defeated the heavy favorites France 4:1. The result suggests it was a blowout, but the match was intense right up until the final ten minutes. On the other end of the group, Japan defeated the South African Republic 1:0.

Wins are wins – Japan and Mexico are sitting atop group A with a clear shot at clinching the playoffs after just two matches. All they need to do is win the second round and that’s it. In case of a draw, they’ll still be in the front seat, but Japan will have a much more difficult experience because they face France in the final round.

Mexico Riding the Wave After France

Let’s start off with Mexico! Coming into the first match, no one really expected Mexico to annihilate France. Mind you, France are playing without Mbappe, but still, they’re packed with young talents and it was really puzzling to see them lose out (in such a manner) to a ferocious Mexico team.

Mexico did everything correctly on their end. They didn’t allow France to control the game, mainly the midfield portion. This prevented the French from creating chances or any passages of play in between Mexican lines. They were just too good with the interception and movement, both on and off the ball.

A quick reminder, Mexico won the CONCACAF qualifying tournament with style, suggesting even better things to come on the Olympics. They have a tremendously talented squad, one capable of finishing the group stage a match earlier.

Japan won’t be an easy opponent tho… but, mind you, neither was France. I reckon Mexico’s playstyle won’t bode well against Japan’s organized and structurally pitch-perfect gameplay. If Lozano’s men establish midfield domination early on, they should be able to close things out with style.

Ochoa between the posts breathes in a ton of confidence on the defensive end. He didn’t really have a lot of work against France, but that could change in round two. I guess it all depends on how well Japan’s wingers are able to penetrate Aguirre and Sanchez.

Japan Needs the Win Here

As mentioned earlier, Japan is in a tough position here, having to face France in the third round. If they fail to snatch at least a point off Mexico on Sunday, Japan will have to either win or draw against France (depending on other results) to clinch the playoffs.

Obviously, Moriyasu’s men will play extremely aggressively in this one. They need the three points, they need them much more than Mexico does. Remember, Mexico goes up against SAR in the final round, a match which should be a straightforward win for them. Even if they lose to Japan, they’re still the front runner to win group A.

Japan will have the home turf advantage, but with empty stadiums throughout the Olympics, the spirit of the Games just isn’t there. The home turf advantage won’t mean much in Sunday’s match as I’m positive Lainez and the company will take down Japan in the middle of Tokyo.

Japan vs. Mexico Betting Prediction

We’re going to see plenty of goals in this one. The first round of matches (eight) saw just three go over three goals. The second round, however, ought to be more aggressive. Most teams didn’t go full torque into the first one. They were testing the waters, seeing which playstyle fits their set of players. It’s nothing surprising for U23 OG teams like these.

Both Japan and Mexico have quality in attack; quality that should result in more than three goals. Are both teams going to score? Should you go for that combo? I wouldn’t. A simple total goals over 2.5 bet is what I’m going with here!

Total Goals Over 2.5 at -122

Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: -122
$100 Could Win You...$181.97

Total goals at -122 is the obvious choice here. Mexico have scored four goals in their opening match. They are coming into this match as the slightest of favorites because of it, and I expect them to swing at least two past Tani on Sunday.

If you’re all about moneylines, then I’d side with Mexico here. Japan is a fine team, no doubt about that, but I expect Mexico to continue riding the wave and clinch the playoffs after just two rounds of matches. If you want to be totally sure, go with double chance, draw and Mexico. The return isn’t superb, but it’s a fairly low-risk bet.

Pavo Jurkic

Pavo Jurkic has been in the esports betting industry since 2015, actively writing content related to this rapidly growing industry. A dedicated father by day and an avid gamer by night, Pavo Jurkic aims to bring you the freshest esports news and betting predictions. ...

View all posts by Pavo Jurkic
Email the author at: [email protected]