Joe Joyce vs. Carlos Takam Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction

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Joe Joyce vs. Carlos Takam
Joyce vs Takam Pick – Joe Joyce (-1250)

Over 8.5 rounds (+100)

Fight Ends Inside the Distance (-350)

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On Saturday, July 24th, Joe Joyce (12-0, 11 KOs) will face off against Carlos Takam (39-5-1, 28 KOs) in a heavyweight title eliminator for the WBC.

This is a battle of Britain vs France as the UK’s Joyce looks to remain undefeated and score an all-Brit world title fight against Anthony Joshua provided that the latter can win his title defense as well.

France’s Takam is looking to get a huge win this Saturday and move up in the rankings to secure his own title shot. Can Joyce continue his upward trend or will Takam end the Brit’s world title dreams?

Joyce vs Takam will headline an event live from the SSE Arena in Wembley, London, UK. There expected ringwalk time is 5pm ET.

Joyce vs. Takam Odds

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Fighter Moneylines Over/Under
Joe Joyce -1250 Over 8.5 rounds (+100)
Carlos Takam +700 Under 8.5 rounds (-130)

Joe Joyce comes into this eliminator as a large favorite with odds ranging from -1000 to -1500. He returns to being the betting favorite after being listed as the underdog against Daniel Dubois in his last fight.

For Carlos Takam, this will be the first time he’s the underdog in a bout since he fought Anthony Joshua in October 2017 and lost. He had a stretch of five straight contests of being listed as the betting favorite with top boxing betting sites.

As of this writing, there are nearly 100 wagers available for this heavyweight fight. Currently, the Over/Under is set at 8.5 rounds with good value on both options.

Prop bets like the fight going the full 12 rounds and method of decision also offer potentially good money making opportunities.

Joyce vs Takam Preview

Stat Joe Joyce Carlos Takam
Age 35 40
Height 6’6” 6’1.5”
Reach 80” 80.5”
Total Fights 12 45
Record 12-0 39-5-1
Knockouts 11 28

Takam enters this eliminator having won four straight bouts after dropping two in a row. He lost to Anthony Joshua in October 2017 via 10th round TKO and the following fight against Dereck Chisora in July 2018 via 8th round TKO.

The French heavyweight last competed in July 2020 and beat Jerry Forrest via unanimous decision. It was his third straight victory via decision with all three of those bouts taking place in the United States.

Takam is five inches shorter than Joyce, but he has over 30 more professional fights than Joes. This experience is a big reason why Takam believes he will be a problem for Joyce this weekend:

“I am a problem because Joe has never fought someone like Carlos Takam. How am I going to fight him? It’s a surprise. I have experience. He has never fought anybody with my experience. That’s why I say he hasn’t fought anyone like me. He is going to try and put me down, I am going to try and put him down. Whoever puts someone down first is the winner. I want to hurt him like he is going to want to hurt me. We are going to punch each other and I am ready for that fight.”

28 of his 39 pro wins have come via KO which is a 71.7% knockout rate.

Joyce Looks Poised to Have Success on Saturday

The undefeated Joe Joyce has fought twice in the last 12 months and scored TKO/KO victories in both of them. One year ago, he beat Michael Wallisch via 3rd round TKO after knocking him down three times in the fight.

His last bout came in November when he beat the rising prospect Daniel Dubois who held several smaller titles for Britain, WBC and WBO.

Joyce surprised many by knocking out Dubois in the 10th round. Daniel was the betting favorite for that matchup and on the proverbial rocket to stardom. Instead, it’s now Joyce on the cusp of a world title fight if he can win on Saturday.

The undefeated Brit commented on Takam and even compared him to Dubois:

“It’s the dimensions of him, he’s a bit shorter but he’s got a long reach and throws big looping shots. He’s got good head movement, experience… it’s going to be a different kind of fight than Dubois, a tougher fight. He’s got a good chin and he can bang.”

11 of his 12 pro wins have come via KO which is a 91.6% knockout rate.

Over/Under 8.5 Rounds

  • Over 8.5 (+100)
  • Under 8.5 (-130)

This WBC heavyweight title eliminator is scheduled for 12 rounds with several betting options for Over/Unders. You can choose from O/Us that span from 3.5 to 10.5 rounds.

I like this 8.5 O/U due to the potential betting value for both options.

Joyce has gone over this mark in two of his last three fights as the competition has improved. Takam has gone over this mark in four of his last six bouts.

I see this contest going past the 9th round and into the latter portions of this contest.

Pick: Over 8.5
Odds: +100
$100 Could Win You...$200.00

Will The Fight Go The Distance?

  • Yes (+230)
  • No (-350)

Combined, these two men have gone the distance in just 15 of their 57 total fights. That’s just under one third of the time.

Joyce has gone the distance just once and Takam has gone 14 times including three in a row. With that said, I don’t believe this bout will go the full 12 rounds.

I like for it to end somewhere in rounds 10 through 12 via TKO/KO.

Pick: Distance - No
Odds: -350
$100 Could Win You...$128.57

Who Wins This Heavyweight Battle?

Both men have plenty of power to stop the other and similar lengths in reach. Yet, I believe this is Joyce’s chance to shine and I see him doing it in convincing fashion.

When Takam stepped up to face tougher competition (Chisora and Joshua) he lost via TKO in both contests. In fact, three of his last four losses have come via TKO/KO and they were all in 12 round bouts.

I see it happening again this weekend.

Joyce is the better overall boxer between the two and I believe he will wear down Takam before scoring the late round TKO/KO.

As mentioned above, I like for Joyce to win in round 10 to 12 (+430).

Joyce vs. Takam Pick:Joe Joyce (-1250)

Joyce wins via TKO/KO (-230)

Joyce wins in round 10 to 12 (+430)

What’s Next for Joyce If He Wins?

It’s pretty clear what happens next if he wins, Joyce will get a world title fight against the winner of Anthony Joshua and Oleksandr Usyk as he will become the mandatory challenger for the WBO title which is currently held by Joshua.

However, he will most likely have to wait until mid-to-late 2022 to get this title opportunity. The winners of Joshua vs Usyk and Fury vs Wilder 3 will more than likely end up in a title unification bout to become the undisputed champ in early 2022.

Joyce is better off waiting to fight for all the titles then trying to force a WBO title fight. Nevertheless, a win this weekend will put Joyce in contention for a WBO and WBC title shot.

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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