Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans Pick – Tennessee (+185)
It’s a major AFC clash on Sunday afternoon when the Tennessee Titans host the Kansas City Chiefs. These two teams have the kind of showcase talent that should make for some spectacular highlights and what could be a wild shootout type of finish.
These two teams have battled in some memorable games in recent years and this one could be shaping up as another classic. You can watch it all starting at 1 PM Eastern Time from Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee.
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans Game Preview
These two franchises have been going at it since 1960 in the old AFL when they were the Dallas Texans (who became the Chiefs) and Houston Oilers (who became the Titans). They’ve continued as AFC rivals over the years as well. The Chiefs lead the series 30-24
Kansas City has endured a rollercoaster of a season even only six games into it. The offense has been as potent as ever but has hurt itself with turnovers in their losses. And their defense has been torched by just about all of the opponents that they’ve faced.
The Titans have had some head-scratching performances, such as a drubbing at the hands of Arizona and a loss to the lowly Jets. But they have proven resilient, especially last week when they knocked off Buffalo in a wild back-and-forth affair.
Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game
Bettors have been bullish on the Chiefs, even on the road, as the point spread makes clear. It started with Kansas City as a three-point favorite, but jumped as high as 5 1/2 points. The spread has since dropped back to 4 1/2, which is still a point-and-a-half higher than originally.
The over/under has been a little bit more stable than the spread. It started at the relatively high number of 57, and briefly moved down to 56.5. But it has since moved up to 57.5, which is where it stands at the time of this writing.
Head to Head Betting Trends
Kansas City’s victory over the Titans in the 2020 playoffs ended a streak of four wins in a row for Tennessee in the series
Tennessee has also covered the spread in four of the last five games in the series
The Titans were the underdog in all four games in which they won in that streak over the Chiefs
The over has been the correct bet in the last two games these two teams have played against each other
The home team has won the last two games in the series between Kansas City and Tennessee
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Although Kansas City is only 2-4 against the spread so far this year, both of their covers have come on the road
Four off the first six Chiefs games have gone over the spread, including two of three on the road
Going back to last year, Kansas City has covered just 3 of their last 17 games against the spread, with 13 losses and one push
Kansas City has covered just 10 percent of its last ten AFC games
The Chiefs are three games above .500 in road games since 2019
Kansas City has covered at a rate of 10-9 against teams with winning records since 2019
As a road favorite between 3 1/2 and 7 points, the Chiefs have covered the spread in 63 percent of those games in the last three seasons
As a favorite, Kansas City is two games above .500 since 2019
Tennessee Titans Betting Trends
The Titans have gone 4-2 against the spread to start the season
Tennessee has not been as successful at home, however, going just 1-2 on the road
The Titans have won four of their last five games against the AFC West
Tennessee has covered the spread in 75 percent of their last eight games played in October
As an underdog of between 3 1/2 and 9 1/2 points the last three years, the Titans have covered the spread 70 percent of the time
In all games as an underdog in that time span, Tennessee is three games over .500 against the spread
Tennessee is one game under .500 as the home team since the 2019 season
They are just 2-3 against the spread when playing AFC West teams over the past three years
Free Bet and Game Prediction:
When the Chiefs are cooking offensively, there isn’t a lot that the Titans are going to be able to do to stop them. What they’ll most likely do is try to put their safeties deep and keep Kansas City from making big plays, hoping that KC self-destructs on their own.
Between running back fumbles and sudden issues with Pat Mahomes making awful decisions, Kansas City has been stopping their own drives with turnovers. They are last in the league in giveaways. Tennessee isn’t a team that creates a lot of turnovers, but they’ll be ball conscious in this one.
But short of that, it should be business as usual for Mahomes and company. Tennessee’s secondary, already thin, lost rookie corner Caleb Farley for the season in their Monday night win. While Tyreek Hill has missed practice this week, all indications are that he is going to play.
The Titans offense versus the Chiefs defense would seem to be the irresistible force versus the movable object. Kansas City is 30th in the league in rushing yards per carry, while Tennessee is #5 in the league in yards per carry. And they’ll give the ball early and often to Derrick Henry.
The Chiefs definitely need Chris Jones to play to have any chance of slowing Henry. Ideally, they can keep him from snapping off the big run. But the moment that they start sneaking forward, that’s when Ryan Tannehill will play action to Julio Jones and A.J. Brown.
Brown and Jones have yet to have their real breakout games this year, but the Chiefs secondary might be just the tonic for that. This could be a game where whoever gets it last wins the game. The guess is that a Chief turnover will make the difference at the end for a Titan upset victory.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens Betting Recap:
Moneylines: Kansas City -215, Tennessee +185
Spread: Kansas City +4.5 (-110), Baltimore -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 57.5 (Over -113, Under -107)
Prediction: Tennessee Titans 35, Kansas City Chiefs 33
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...
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