KBO Betting Picks for May 13th, 2021

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The NC Dinos, Samsung Lions, and Kiwoom Heroes were among the KBO winners on Wednesday, and the five current series around the league will come to a close tonight. The Lions still hold a 1.5-game lead over SSG Landers at the top of the standings as we enter the middle of May, though, KT, LG, NC, and Doosan are all just 2.5 games behind Samsung.

At this point in the season last year, the Dinos were already running away with the league. That isn’t the case this year, so we’ll hopefully have a fun and tight race to follow all summer long. Oddsmakers at the top baseball betting sites have already set the odds ahead of Thursday’s slate full of series finales, so let’s pick some winners as we get ready to head into the weekend.

Kiwoom Heroes vs Doosan Bears

Kiwoom picked up an impressive 3-0 win at Doosan on Wednesday thanks to a stellar showing out of Hyun-Hee Han. Han held the Bears’ mighty offense scoreless in seven dominant innings of work. Ariel Miranda allowed just a run while striking out 10 in yet another stellar start for Doosan, but the Bears were unable to give him any run support.

A sportsbook like MyBookie has Doosan to bounce back on Thursday as a -140 favorite at home. Je-young Cho is the scheduled starting pitcher for Doosan, while Seung-ho Lee will go for the Heroes.

Cho posted an ugly 10.50 ERA in just four games last season, though he has lowered that mark to 2.00 through his first four games of the new campaign. The right-hander has pitched exclusively in relief to this point, and this will be his first start of the year. He likely won’t be able to give the Bears a ton of depth after having topped out at 62 pitches through his first four games.

Lee will be making his 2021 debut after going 6-6 in 24 games a season ago. The southpaw has a decent 4.90 career ERA in the KBO, but he’s not a guy that misses many bats. Lee struck out just 73 in 118.2 innings last season, and it’s worth wondering whether he’ll be limited after missing the first month of this term.

A couple of dicey pitchers is the reason this game comes with a high over/under of 10.5 runs. I still think the over is the way to go here despite both offenses struggling on Wednesday. This has the potential to turn into a slugfest, so bet the over at -109.

Pick: Over 10.5
Odds: -109
$100 Could Win You...$191.74

LG Twins vs Kia Tigers

The Tigers beat the Twins again on Wednesday, this time by a score of 5-3. Kia surprisingly scored three runs on five hits against Andrew Suarez, who has been close to unhittable early in his first KBO campaign. The under on 8.5 was the play here yesterday, and that bet cashed by the slimmest of margins.

Kia will look to complete the three-game sweep of LG with Aaron Brooks on the mound on Thursday. He’ll be opposed by LG’s Sang-yung Lee with the Tigers listed as heavy -188 home favorites at MyBookie.

Brooks was excellent in 23 games last year with Kia, as evidenced by his 11-4 record and tidy 2.50 ERA. The 2021 season hasn’t been quite as friendly to him thus far, but his numbers are still solid. Brooks has pitched to a 3.38 ERA through seven games, though he’s been a bit unlucky in the win-loss department (1-3).

The Twins couldn’t get anything going offensively the last time they faced the right-hander. Brooks allowed one unearned run on six hits in six innings and picked up his lone win of the year over the Twins back on April 20.

Lee has made two starts this season, but he hasn’t lasted more than three innings in either of them. This will be just his fifth career game at the KBO level, and his 8.64 ERA certainly leaves plenty to be desired. Based on the lack of innings Lee has given the Twins to this point, it’s fair to assume LG is looking at a bullpen game in this one.

Brooks is probably the Tigers’ ace, so bet Kia to take care of business and finish the sweep in this one. The pitching matchup is heavily skewed in favor of the Tigers.

Pick: Kia Tigers
Odds: -188
$100 Could Win You...$153.19

NC Dinos vs Hanwha Eagles

Speaking of sweeps, the NC Dinos will look to complete one of their own tonight on the road against the Hanwha Eagles. The defending Korean Series champs have won the first two contests by a combined score of 13-5.

NC is a -140 favorite again on Thursday away from home. Nick Kingham will try and get the Eagles back into the win column in the final game of the series, while Young-kyu Kim will take another turn for the favored Dinos.

Kingham missed most of last year due to injury, but he has given the Eagles some solid work early this season. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.59 ERA to this point, though he has struggled a bit recently. Kingham has allowed 13 total runs in his last three starts after allowing just five through his first three games.

Kim has been the worst pitcher in the Dinos’ rotation, which is hardly much of a surprise considering this guy is still only 21. Kim has a 9.53 ERA with a 1-2 record through four games so far this season after posting ERAs well over 5.00 in each of his first two seasons with the club.

This is another game with a high over/under betting option (10.5), as it should be. Both offenses find themselves in favorable spots here, so it’s easy to see this one turning into another high-scoring affair. Bet the over in Dinos-Eagles.

Pick: Over 10.5
Odds: -103
$100 Could Win You...$197.09

Samsung Lions vs KT Wiz

The Lions bounced back from a rare defeat on Tuesday to topple the Wiz 7-5 on Wednesday. The two teams will play the rubber match on Thursday, with KT currently listed as -138 moneyline favorites at home.

Reliable right-hander Odrisamer Despaigne will look to help the Wiz beat the league leaders again on Thursday, while Tae-in Won will get the ball for Samsung. This is easily the best pitching matchup of the day, which is why this game has the lowest total of the day (8.5 runs).

Despaigne has been a tough customer for the Wiz this season. The former big leaguer hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any game, and he hasn’t allowed multiple earned runs in a start since April 17. Despaigne’s 2.16 ERA so far this season is vastly more impressive than the 4.33 mark he posted as a KBO rookie for the Wiz last season.

Won is one of the game’s elite young talents. The right-hander posted sub-5.00 ERAs in each of his first two years as a pro, but he seems to have made the leap in his third campaign. Won is 5-1 through six starts with a tiny 1.18 ERA. The most earned runs any foe has scored against him is two, and he has yielded one run or less in five of his six starts.

Oddsmakers seem reluctant to buy into Won’s status as an ace for the Lions, but I’m a believer. The under on 8.5 runs is perfectly viable given the quality of both starting pitchers here, but I prefer the value in taking Samsung to win this one on the road. Bet the Lions at +100.

Pick: Samsung Lions
Odds: +100
$100 Could Win You...$200.00

SSG Landers vs Lotte Giants

SSG Landers scored the most runs of any team on Wednesday’s slate in a 9-2 shellacking of Enderson Franco and the Giants. Jong-hun Park gave SSG six strong innings, while Jae-won Lee homered twice for the victors.

MyBookie’s online sportsbook likes the Giants to bounce back and claim the finale tonight. Se-woong Park and Lotte are listed as -126 moneyline favorites here over Wilmer Font’s SSG side.

Park, a right-hander, is 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA through six games this season. He was dealt a loss the last time out by Samsung despite yielding just two runs in six innings, but he has also allowed multiple runs in five of his six games so far this season. Park’s 5.15 career ERA in the KBO is fairly underwhelming, too.

Font has an ERA of 5.00 through four games, but there’s some reason for optimism here. The former LA Dodger started the season with a mediocre two-inning start against Hanwha, but he has allowed three runs or less in each of his last three games. Based on that, his bloated ERA looks like the product of a small sample size more than anything else.

I like SSG to pick up the win on the road in this one. Font should be one of SSG’s better pitchers over the course of the full season, and nothing about Park’s numbers really stands out. Take advantage of SSG Landers as a road moneyline underdog.

Pick: SSG Landers
Odds: -108
$100 Could Win You...$192.59
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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